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Every guideline and lecture on suicide risk assessment includes the message: “Do not use suicide contracts.” Yet, as forensic psychiatrists, we continue to see medical records that rely solely on the patient verbalizing, agreeing, or signing that they will be safe, in order to justify medical decision-making. A recent case we reviewed involving a grossly psychotic male spotlighted the meaninglessness of suicide contracts. In an attempt to understand the impulse by clinicians to use suicide contracts, we decided to review the topic.

Dr. Nicolas Badre, a forensic psychiatrist in San Diego
Dr. Nicolas Badre

Suicide risk assessment is a confusing and poorly explained skill in our field. Suicide risk assessment tools are well-intended. They are meant to identify and stratify risk, and help guide medical decision-making. Popular tools are startlingly different. How can two scales represent adequate psychiatric knowledge yet be completely different? SADPERSONS1 is widely used and still considered standard of care yet has nothing in common with the Columbia–Suicide Severity Rating Scale (CSSRS).2

Dr. Sanjay S. Rao, a San Diego-based psychiatrist
Dr. Sanjay S. Rao

For those of us working in forensic settings, we are aghast that neither assessment is modified for use in correctional settings or accounts for essential risk factors of suicide in jails and prisons (placement in solitary, significant charges, homeless, etc.) Yet, they are widely used in jails and prisons across the country. This can be extrapolated to all of us who work with specific populations yet are asked to follow generic scales by administrators.

In reviewing the literature, we are surprised to see the lack of acknowledgment that many tools used in suicide risk assessment have little to no evidence. Despite their numerous appearances in medical records that we review, we are not aware of existing evidence for asking patients whether patients are suicidal on an hourly basis, for psychotropic treatment other than lithium and clozapine (Clozaril), and for safety plans that involve telling the patient to call 911. Of even greater concern, suicide risk assessments themselves may have limited value because of a lack of evidence as suggested by large study findings. It may surprise some to learn that the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) in the United Kingdom includes the following statement in its guidelines: “Do not use risk assessment tools and scales to predict future suicide or repetition of self-harm.”3

In 2017, Carter et al.4 reviewed 70 studies using suicide risk scales to stratify patients in higher-risk groups for self-harm or suicide, during a follow-up period. The study reviewed biological tests such as the dexamethasone suppression test and 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid; as well as psychological scales, including Buglass & Horton, SADPERSONS, the Beck Hopelessness Scale, the Beck’s Depression Inventory, Manchester Self Harm Rule, and the Edinburgh Risk Rating Scale. Their conclusion was clear: “No individual predictive instrument or pooled subgroups of instruments were able to classify patients as being at high risk of suicidal behavior with a level of accuracy suitable to be used to allocate treatment.”

Despite the bad reputation, one must admit that suicide contracts intuitively feel right. Just as we ask patients whether they believe they will stay sober in the future, or ask patients if they will be compliant with their psychotropics, asking them if they feel that they can maintain safety seems relevant. Reading through the literature, one can even find articles promoting this approach. In 2011, researchers simply asked 147 patients in psychiatric hospitals considered to be high risk for suicide whether they would engage in self-harm in the following weeks. They followed those patients for 15 weeks after their discharge for acts of self-harm. They concluded that “self-perceptions of risk seem to perform as well as the best [standardized assessment tools] the field has to offer” for the prediction of self-harm.5 We are unconvinced that juries would find suicide contracts irrelevant despite the lack of evidence. American society values individual autonomy and self-decision making. Patients telling their clinicians, “I will be OK” is relevant to suicide risk assessment. One can argue that the problem is not with the suicide contract itself, but with its blind use as a marker of safety.

The standard of care dictates that we try to assess suicide risk using evidence-based techniques. To the providers who see merit in asking patients whether they will be able to maintain their safety, we empathize with this impulse despite the lack of evidence. We do not ask those providers to stop but to supplement suicide contracts with more evidence-based tools that could lessen their liability. This will contribute in our shared effort to minimize suicide.

We acknowledge that the evidence of any assessment is limited and might miss a greater point in this entire discussion: Why are new iterations of suicide risk assessments not an improvement on the prior ones but a competing theory? New assessments emphasizing different facets of suicidal thinking do not include key demographic factors, while older tools do not include more recent understanding, such as the importance of hopelessness. From a provider’s perspective, the debate appears to be a battle of trends, theories, and acronyms rather than comprehensive analysis of the latest evidence. We, therefore, are concerned by “suicide experts” who advocate for any one assessment as the only gold standard and give false hopes about its efficacy.

As suicide rates continue to climb across the country, one wonders what we, as psychiatrists, are trying to achieve. Promises of zero suicides by hospitals,6 academic institutions,7 and even governments8 are well-meaning but possibly misleading to families and patients. Psychiatry should advocate within the standard of care for reasonable attempts at suicide risk assessment, including demographic factors (see SADPERSONS), as well as examination of the actual suicidality (see the CSSRS). Our professional organizations should clarify expectations for clinicians while also clarifying the limitations of our current knowledge base.
 

References

1. Patterson WM et al. Evaluation of suicidal patients: the SADPERSONS scale. Psychosomatics. 1983 Apr;24[4]:343-5, 348-9.

2. Posner K et al. The Columbia-Suicide Severity Rating Scale: initial validity and internal consistency findings from three multisite studies with adolescents and adults. Am J Psychiatry. 2011 Dec;168(12):1266-77.

3. Kendall T et al. Longer term management of self harm: summary of NICE guidance. BMJ. 2011;343. doi: 10.1136/bmj.d7073.

4. Carter G et al. Predicting suicidal behaviors using clinical instruments: systematic review and meta-analysis of positive predictive values for risk scales. Br J Psychiatry. 2017 Jun;210(6):387-95.

5. Peterson J et al. If you want to know, consider asking: How likely is it that patients will hurt themselves in the future? Psychol Assess. 2011 Sep;23(3):626-34.

5. Byrne JM et al. Implementation and impact of the central district of California’s suicide prevention program for crime defendants. Federal Probation. 2012 Jun;76(1):3-13.

6. “R.I.’s Butler Hospital sets ‘zero suicide’ goal for patients”/audio. Providence Journal. May 15, 2018.

7. “NIMH funds 3 ‘zero suicide’ grants.” National Institute of Mental Health. Sep 16, 2016.

8. Rothschild N. “Is it possible to eliminate suicide?” Atlantic. Jun 5, 2015.
 

Dr. Badre is a forensic psychiatrist in San Diego and an expert in correctional mental health. He holds teaching positions at the University of California, San Diego, and the University of San Diego. Dr. Rao is a San Diego–based board-certified psychiatrist with expertise in forensic psychiatry, correctional psychiatry, telepsychiatry, and inpatient psychiatry.

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Every guideline and lecture on suicide risk assessment includes the message: “Do not use suicide contracts.” Yet, as forensic psychiatrists, we continue to see medical records that rely solely on the patient verbalizing, agreeing, or signing that they will be safe, in order to justify medical decision-making. A recent case we reviewed involving a grossly psychotic male spotlighted the meaninglessness of suicide contracts. In an attempt to understand the impulse by clinicians to use suicide contracts, we decided to review the topic.

Dr. Nicolas Badre, a forensic psychiatrist in San Diego
Dr. Nicolas Badre

Suicide risk assessment is a confusing and poorly explained skill in our field. Suicide risk assessment tools are well-intended. They are meant to identify and stratify risk, and help guide medical decision-making. Popular tools are startlingly different. How can two scales represent adequate psychiatric knowledge yet be completely different? SADPERSONS1 is widely used and still considered standard of care yet has nothing in common with the Columbia–Suicide Severity Rating Scale (CSSRS).2

Dr. Sanjay S. Rao, a San Diego-based psychiatrist
Dr. Sanjay S. Rao

For those of us working in forensic settings, we are aghast that neither assessment is modified for use in correctional settings or accounts for essential risk factors of suicide in jails and prisons (placement in solitary, significant charges, homeless, etc.) Yet, they are widely used in jails and prisons across the country. This can be extrapolated to all of us who work with specific populations yet are asked to follow generic scales by administrators.

In reviewing the literature, we are surprised to see the lack of acknowledgment that many tools used in suicide risk assessment have little to no evidence. Despite their numerous appearances in medical records that we review, we are not aware of existing evidence for asking patients whether patients are suicidal on an hourly basis, for psychotropic treatment other than lithium and clozapine (Clozaril), and for safety plans that involve telling the patient to call 911. Of even greater concern, suicide risk assessments themselves may have limited value because of a lack of evidence as suggested by large study findings. It may surprise some to learn that the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) in the United Kingdom includes the following statement in its guidelines: “Do not use risk assessment tools and scales to predict future suicide or repetition of self-harm.”3

In 2017, Carter et al.4 reviewed 70 studies using suicide risk scales to stratify patients in higher-risk groups for self-harm or suicide, during a follow-up period. The study reviewed biological tests such as the dexamethasone suppression test and 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid; as well as psychological scales, including Buglass & Horton, SADPERSONS, the Beck Hopelessness Scale, the Beck’s Depression Inventory, Manchester Self Harm Rule, and the Edinburgh Risk Rating Scale. Their conclusion was clear: “No individual predictive instrument or pooled subgroups of instruments were able to classify patients as being at high risk of suicidal behavior with a level of accuracy suitable to be used to allocate treatment.”

Despite the bad reputation, one must admit that suicide contracts intuitively feel right. Just as we ask patients whether they believe they will stay sober in the future, or ask patients if they will be compliant with their psychotropics, asking them if they feel that they can maintain safety seems relevant. Reading through the literature, one can even find articles promoting this approach. In 2011, researchers simply asked 147 patients in psychiatric hospitals considered to be high risk for suicide whether they would engage in self-harm in the following weeks. They followed those patients for 15 weeks after their discharge for acts of self-harm. They concluded that “self-perceptions of risk seem to perform as well as the best [standardized assessment tools] the field has to offer” for the prediction of self-harm.5 We are unconvinced that juries would find suicide contracts irrelevant despite the lack of evidence. American society values individual autonomy and self-decision making. Patients telling their clinicians, “I will be OK” is relevant to suicide risk assessment. One can argue that the problem is not with the suicide contract itself, but with its blind use as a marker of safety.

The standard of care dictates that we try to assess suicide risk using evidence-based techniques. To the providers who see merit in asking patients whether they will be able to maintain their safety, we empathize with this impulse despite the lack of evidence. We do not ask those providers to stop but to supplement suicide contracts with more evidence-based tools that could lessen their liability. This will contribute in our shared effort to minimize suicide.

We acknowledge that the evidence of any assessment is limited and might miss a greater point in this entire discussion: Why are new iterations of suicide risk assessments not an improvement on the prior ones but a competing theory? New assessments emphasizing different facets of suicidal thinking do not include key demographic factors, while older tools do not include more recent understanding, such as the importance of hopelessness. From a provider’s perspective, the debate appears to be a battle of trends, theories, and acronyms rather than comprehensive analysis of the latest evidence. We, therefore, are concerned by “suicide experts” who advocate for any one assessment as the only gold standard and give false hopes about its efficacy.

As suicide rates continue to climb across the country, one wonders what we, as psychiatrists, are trying to achieve. Promises of zero suicides by hospitals,6 academic institutions,7 and even governments8 are well-meaning but possibly misleading to families and patients. Psychiatry should advocate within the standard of care for reasonable attempts at suicide risk assessment, including demographic factors (see SADPERSONS), as well as examination of the actual suicidality (see the CSSRS). Our professional organizations should clarify expectations for clinicians while also clarifying the limitations of our current knowledge base.
 

References

1. Patterson WM et al. Evaluation of suicidal patients: the SADPERSONS scale. Psychosomatics. 1983 Apr;24[4]:343-5, 348-9.

2. Posner K et al. The Columbia-Suicide Severity Rating Scale: initial validity and internal consistency findings from three multisite studies with adolescents and adults. Am J Psychiatry. 2011 Dec;168(12):1266-77.

3. Kendall T et al. Longer term management of self harm: summary of NICE guidance. BMJ. 2011;343. doi: 10.1136/bmj.d7073.

4. Carter G et al. Predicting suicidal behaviors using clinical instruments: systematic review and meta-analysis of positive predictive values for risk scales. Br J Psychiatry. 2017 Jun;210(6):387-95.

5. Peterson J et al. If you want to know, consider asking: How likely is it that patients will hurt themselves in the future? Psychol Assess. 2011 Sep;23(3):626-34.

5. Byrne JM et al. Implementation and impact of the central district of California’s suicide prevention program for crime defendants. Federal Probation. 2012 Jun;76(1):3-13.

6. “R.I.’s Butler Hospital sets ‘zero suicide’ goal for patients”/audio. Providence Journal. May 15, 2018.

7. “NIMH funds 3 ‘zero suicide’ grants.” National Institute of Mental Health. Sep 16, 2016.

8. Rothschild N. “Is it possible to eliminate suicide?” Atlantic. Jun 5, 2015.
 

Dr. Badre is a forensic psychiatrist in San Diego and an expert in correctional mental health. He holds teaching positions at the University of California, San Diego, and the University of San Diego. Dr. Rao is a San Diego–based board-certified psychiatrist with expertise in forensic psychiatry, correctional psychiatry, telepsychiatry, and inpatient psychiatry.

 

Every guideline and lecture on suicide risk assessment includes the message: “Do not use suicide contracts.” Yet, as forensic psychiatrists, we continue to see medical records that rely solely on the patient verbalizing, agreeing, or signing that they will be safe, in order to justify medical decision-making. A recent case we reviewed involving a grossly psychotic male spotlighted the meaninglessness of suicide contracts. In an attempt to understand the impulse by clinicians to use suicide contracts, we decided to review the topic.

Dr. Nicolas Badre, a forensic psychiatrist in San Diego
Dr. Nicolas Badre

Suicide risk assessment is a confusing and poorly explained skill in our field. Suicide risk assessment tools are well-intended. They are meant to identify and stratify risk, and help guide medical decision-making. Popular tools are startlingly different. How can two scales represent adequate psychiatric knowledge yet be completely different? SADPERSONS1 is widely used and still considered standard of care yet has nothing in common with the Columbia–Suicide Severity Rating Scale (CSSRS).2

Dr. Sanjay S. Rao, a San Diego-based psychiatrist
Dr. Sanjay S. Rao

For those of us working in forensic settings, we are aghast that neither assessment is modified for use in correctional settings or accounts for essential risk factors of suicide in jails and prisons (placement in solitary, significant charges, homeless, etc.) Yet, they are widely used in jails and prisons across the country. This can be extrapolated to all of us who work with specific populations yet are asked to follow generic scales by administrators.

In reviewing the literature, we are surprised to see the lack of acknowledgment that many tools used in suicide risk assessment have little to no evidence. Despite their numerous appearances in medical records that we review, we are not aware of existing evidence for asking patients whether patients are suicidal on an hourly basis, for psychotropic treatment other than lithium and clozapine (Clozaril), and for safety plans that involve telling the patient to call 911. Of even greater concern, suicide risk assessments themselves may have limited value because of a lack of evidence as suggested by large study findings. It may surprise some to learn that the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) in the United Kingdom includes the following statement in its guidelines: “Do not use risk assessment tools and scales to predict future suicide or repetition of self-harm.”3

In 2017, Carter et al.4 reviewed 70 studies using suicide risk scales to stratify patients in higher-risk groups for self-harm or suicide, during a follow-up period. The study reviewed biological tests such as the dexamethasone suppression test and 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid; as well as psychological scales, including Buglass & Horton, SADPERSONS, the Beck Hopelessness Scale, the Beck’s Depression Inventory, Manchester Self Harm Rule, and the Edinburgh Risk Rating Scale. Their conclusion was clear: “No individual predictive instrument or pooled subgroups of instruments were able to classify patients as being at high risk of suicidal behavior with a level of accuracy suitable to be used to allocate treatment.”

Despite the bad reputation, one must admit that suicide contracts intuitively feel right. Just as we ask patients whether they believe they will stay sober in the future, or ask patients if they will be compliant with their psychotropics, asking them if they feel that they can maintain safety seems relevant. Reading through the literature, one can even find articles promoting this approach. In 2011, researchers simply asked 147 patients in psychiatric hospitals considered to be high risk for suicide whether they would engage in self-harm in the following weeks. They followed those patients for 15 weeks after their discharge for acts of self-harm. They concluded that “self-perceptions of risk seem to perform as well as the best [standardized assessment tools] the field has to offer” for the prediction of self-harm.5 We are unconvinced that juries would find suicide contracts irrelevant despite the lack of evidence. American society values individual autonomy and self-decision making. Patients telling their clinicians, “I will be OK” is relevant to suicide risk assessment. One can argue that the problem is not with the suicide contract itself, but with its blind use as a marker of safety.

The standard of care dictates that we try to assess suicide risk using evidence-based techniques. To the providers who see merit in asking patients whether they will be able to maintain their safety, we empathize with this impulse despite the lack of evidence. We do not ask those providers to stop but to supplement suicide contracts with more evidence-based tools that could lessen their liability. This will contribute in our shared effort to minimize suicide.

We acknowledge that the evidence of any assessment is limited and might miss a greater point in this entire discussion: Why are new iterations of suicide risk assessments not an improvement on the prior ones but a competing theory? New assessments emphasizing different facets of suicidal thinking do not include key demographic factors, while older tools do not include more recent understanding, such as the importance of hopelessness. From a provider’s perspective, the debate appears to be a battle of trends, theories, and acronyms rather than comprehensive analysis of the latest evidence. We, therefore, are concerned by “suicide experts” who advocate for any one assessment as the only gold standard and give false hopes about its efficacy.

As suicide rates continue to climb across the country, one wonders what we, as psychiatrists, are trying to achieve. Promises of zero suicides by hospitals,6 academic institutions,7 and even governments8 are well-meaning but possibly misleading to families and patients. Psychiatry should advocate within the standard of care for reasonable attempts at suicide risk assessment, including demographic factors (see SADPERSONS), as well as examination of the actual suicidality (see the CSSRS). Our professional organizations should clarify expectations for clinicians while also clarifying the limitations of our current knowledge base.
 

References

1. Patterson WM et al. Evaluation of suicidal patients: the SADPERSONS scale. Psychosomatics. 1983 Apr;24[4]:343-5, 348-9.

2. Posner K et al. The Columbia-Suicide Severity Rating Scale: initial validity and internal consistency findings from three multisite studies with adolescents and adults. Am J Psychiatry. 2011 Dec;168(12):1266-77.

3. Kendall T et al. Longer term management of self harm: summary of NICE guidance. BMJ. 2011;343. doi: 10.1136/bmj.d7073.

4. Carter G et al. Predicting suicidal behaviors using clinical instruments: systematic review and meta-analysis of positive predictive values for risk scales. Br J Psychiatry. 2017 Jun;210(6):387-95.

5. Peterson J et al. If you want to know, consider asking: How likely is it that patients will hurt themselves in the future? Psychol Assess. 2011 Sep;23(3):626-34.

5. Byrne JM et al. Implementation and impact of the central district of California’s suicide prevention program for crime defendants. Federal Probation. 2012 Jun;76(1):3-13.

6. “R.I.’s Butler Hospital sets ‘zero suicide’ goal for patients”/audio. Providence Journal. May 15, 2018.

7. “NIMH funds 3 ‘zero suicide’ grants.” National Institute of Mental Health. Sep 16, 2016.

8. Rothschild N. “Is it possible to eliminate suicide?” Atlantic. Jun 5, 2015.
 

Dr. Badre is a forensic psychiatrist in San Diego and an expert in correctional mental health. He holds teaching positions at the University of California, San Diego, and the University of San Diego. Dr. Rao is a San Diego–based board-certified psychiatrist with expertise in forensic psychiatry, correctional psychiatry, telepsychiatry, and inpatient psychiatry.

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