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Survival Analysis of Untreated Early-Stage Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) in a Veteran Population

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Introduction

Veterans with early-stage NSCLC who do not receive any form of treatment have been shown to have a worse overall survival compared to those who receive treatment. Factors that may influence the decision to administer treatment including age, performance status (PS), comorbidities, and racial disparity have not been assessed on a national level in recent years.

Methods

Data for 31,966 veterans diagnosed with early-stage (0, I) NSCLC between 2003-2017 was obtained from the Cancer cube registry (VACCR). IRB approval was obtained.

Results

Patients were divided into treatment (26,833/31,966, 83.16%) and no-treatment group (3096/31966, 9.68%). Of the no-treatment group, 3004 patients were stage I and 92 were stage 0 whereas in the treatment group, the distribution was 26,584 and 249 respectively. Gender, race, and histology distribution were comparable between the two. Patients with poor PS (defined as ECOG III and IV) received less treatment with any modality compared to those with good PS (ECOG I and II) (15.07% in no treatment group vs 4.03% in treatment group, p<0.05). The treatment group had a better 5-year overall survival (OS) as compared to no-treatment group (43.1% vs 14.7%, p<0.05). Regardless of treatment, patients above the age of 60 (41% vs 13.4%, p<0.05) and those with poor PS (19.6% vs 5.8%, p<0.05) had worse 5-year survival, with the effect being greater in the treatment group. Adenocarcinoma had a better 5-year survival compared to squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) in both groups (49.56% vs 39.1% p<0.05). There was no clinically significant OS difference in terms of race (Caucasian or African American) or tumor location (upper, middle, or lower lobe) in between the two groups. Our study was limited by lack of patient- level data including smoking status or reason why no treatment was given.

Conclusion

Patients with early-stage NSCLC who receive no treatment based on poor PS have a worse overall survival compared to the patients that receive treatment. Further investigation is required to assess what other criteria are used to decide treatment eligibility and whether these patients would be candidates for immunotherapy or targeted therapy in the future.

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