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Obesity Progression and Incident Diabetes

Diabetes Care; ePub 2018 Mar 5; Stokes, et al

Those who were obese between young adulthood and midlife and lost weight exhibited a significantly lower risk of diabetes compared with those with stable obesity, a recent study found. Using data from the National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey (NHANES), researchers investigated the association between self-reported weight change from young adulthood to midlife and incident diabetes. Participants were categorized into 4 weight-change groups: those who remained nonobese (stable nonobese), those who moved from an obese BMI to a nonobese BMI (losing), those who moved from a nonobese BMI to an obese BMI (gaining), and those who remained obese (stable obese). Among the findings:

  • Those who were obese and lost weight exhibited a significantly lower risk (HR, 0.33) of diabetes vs those with stable obesity.
  • There was also a lower risk among those who were stable nonobese (HR, 0.22) and those in the gaining category (HR, 0.70).
  • There was evidence of increased incidence of diabetes among obese individuals who lost weight vs those who were stable.
  • The study estimated that 9.1% of observed diabetes could have been averted over the 10-year period if those who were obese had become nonobese.

Citation:

Stokes A, Collins JM, Grant BF, et al. Obesity progression between young adulthood and midlife and incident diabetes: A retrospective cohort study of U.S. adults. [Published online ahead of print March 5, 2018]. Diabetes Care. doi:10.2337/dc17-2336.