Implementing a Telehealth Shared Counseling and Decision-Making Visit for Lung Cancer Screening in a Veterans Affairs Medical Center

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Lung cancer is the second most frequently diagnosed cancer among US veterans and the leading cause of cancer death.1 Clinical trials have shown that annual screening of high-risk persons with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) can reduce the risk of dying of lung cancer.2 In 2011, the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) reported that over a 3-year period, annual LDCT screening reduced the risk of dying of lung cancer by 20% compared with chest radiograph screening.3 Lung cancer screening (LCS), however, was associated with harms, including false-positive results, complications from invasive diagnostic procedures, incidental findings, overdiagnosis, and radiation exposure.

The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) began recommending annual screening of high-risk persons after publication of the NLST results.4 The Veterans Health Administration (VHA) recommended implementing LCS in 2017.5 Guidelines, however, have consistently highlighted the complexity of the decision and the importance of engaging patients in thorough discussions about the potential benefits and harms of screening (shared decision making [SDM]). The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) has issued coverage determinations mandating that eligible patients undergo a counseling visit that uses a decision aid to support SDM for LCS and addresses tobacco use.6,7 However, primary care practitioners (PCPs) face many challenges in delivering SDM, including a lack of awareness of clinical trial results and screening guidelines, competing clinical demands, being untrained in SDM, and not having educational resources.8 Patients in rural locations face travel burdens in attending counseling visits.9

We conducted a pilot study to address concerns with delivering SDM for LCS to veterans. We implemented a centralized screening model in which veterans were referred by clinicians to a trained decision coach who conducted telephone visits to discuss the initial LCS decision, addressed tobacco cessation, and placed LDCT orders. We evaluated the outcomes of this telemedicine visit by using decision quality metrics and tracking LCS uptake, referrals for tobacco cessation, and clinical outcomes. The University of Iowa Institutional Review Board considered this study to be a quality improvement project and waived informed consent and HIPAA (Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act) authorization requirements.

 

 

Implementation

We implemented the LCS program at the Iowa City Veterans Affairs Health Care System (ICVAHCS), which has both resident and staff clinicians, and 2 community-based outpatient clinics (Coralville, Cedar Rapids) with staff clinicians. The pilot study, conducted from November 2020 through July 2022, was led by a multidisciplinary team that included a nurse, primary care physician, pulmonologist, and radiologist. The team conducted online presentations to educate PCPs about the epidemiology of lung cancer, results of screening trials, LCS guidelines, the rationale for a centralized model of SDM, and the ICVAHCS screening protocols.

Screening Referrals

When the study began in 2020, we used the 2015 USPSTF criteria for annual LCS: individuals aged 55 to 80 years with a 30 pack-year smoking history and current tobacco user or who had quit within 15 years.4 We lowered the starting age to 50 years and the pack-year requirement to 20 after the USPSTF issued updated guidelines in 2021.10 Clinicians were notified about potentially eligible patients through the US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Computerized Personal Record System (CPRS) reminders or by the nurse program coordinator (NPC) who reviewed health records of patients with upcoming appointments. If the clinician determined that screening was appropriate, they ordered an LCS consult. The NPC called the veteran to confirm eligibility, mailed a decision aid, and scheduled a telephone visit to conduct SDM. We used the VA decision aid developed for the LCS demonstration project conducted at 8 academic VA medical centers between 2013 and 2017.11

Shared Decision-Making Telephone Visit

The NPC adapted a telephone script developed for a Cancer Prevention and Research Institute of Texas–funded project conducted by 2 coauthors (RJV and LML).12 The NPC asked about receipt/review of the decision aid, described the screening process, and addressed benefits and potential harms of screening. The NPC also offered smoking cessation interventions for veterans who were currently smoking, including referrals to the VA patient aligned care team clinical pharmacist for management of tobacco cessation or to the national VA Quit Line. The encounter ended by assessing the veteran’s understanding of screening issues and eliciting the veteran’s preferences for LDCT and willingness to adhere with the LCS program.

LDCT Imaging

The NPC placed LDCT orders for veterans interested in screening and alerted the referring clinician to sign the order. Veterans who agreed to be screened were placed in an LCS dashboard developed by the Veterans Integrated Services Network (VISN) 23 LCS program that was used as a patient management tool. The dashboard allowed the NPC to track patients, ensuring that veterans were being scheduled for and completing initial and follow-up testing. Radiologists used the Lung-RADS (Lung Imaging Reporting and Data System) to categorize LDCT results (1, normal; 2, benign nodule; 3, probably benign nodule; 4, suspicious nodule).13 Veterans with Lung-RADS 1 or 2 results were scheduled for an annual LDCT (if they remained eligible). Veterans with Lung-RADS 3 results were scheduled for a 6-month follow-up CT. The screening program sent electronic consults to pulmonary for veterans with Lung-RADS 4 to determine whether they should undergo additional imaging or be evaluated in the pulmonary clinic.

 

 

Evaluating Shared Decision Making

We audio taped and transcribed randomly selected SDM encounters to assess fidelity with the 2016 CMS required discussion elements for counseling about lung cancer, including the benefit of reducing lung cancer mortality; the potential for harms from false alarms, incidental findings, overdiagnosis, and radiation exposure; the need for annual screening; the importance of smoking cessation; and the possibility of undergoing follow-up testing and diagnostic procedures. An investigator coded the transcripts to assess for the presence of each required element and scored the encounter from 0 to 7.

We also surveyed veterans completing SDM, using a convenience sampling strategy to evaluate knowledge, the quality of the SDM process, and decisional conflict. Initially, we sent mailed surveys to subjects to be completed 1 week after the SDM visit. To increase the response rate, we subsequently called patients to complete the surveys by telephone 1 week after the SDM visit.

We used the validated LCS-12 knowledge measure to assess awareness of lung cancer risks, screening eligibility, and the benefits and harms of screening.14 We evaluated the quality of the SDM visit by using the 3-item CollaboRATE scale (Table 1).15

table 1
The response items were scored on a 9-point Likert scale (0, no effort; 9, every effort). The CollaboRATE developers recommend reporting the top score (ie, the proportion of subjects whose response to all 3 questions was 9).16 We used the 4-item SURE scale to assess decisional conflict, a measure of uncertainty about choosing an option.17 A yes response received 1 point; patients with scores of 4 were considered to have no decisional conflict.

The NPC also took field notes during interviews to help identify additional SDM issues. After each call, the NPC noted her impressions of the veteran’s engagement with SDM and understanding of the screening issues.

Clinical Outcomes

We used the screening dashboard and CPRS to track clinical outcomes, including screening uptake, referrals for tobacco cessation, appropriate (screening or diagnostic) follow-up testing, and cancer diagnoses. We used descriptive statistics to characterize demographic data and survey responses.

Initial Findings

We conducted 105 SDM telephone visits from November 2020 through July 2022 (Table 2).

table 2
We audio taped 27 encounters. Measures of SDM showed good fidelity with addressing required CMS elements. The mean number of elements addressed was 6.2 of 7. Reduction in lung cancer mortality was the issue least likely to be addressed (59%).

We surveyed 47 of the veterans completing SDM visits (45%) and received 37 completed surveys (79%). All respondents were male, mean age 61.9 years, 89% White, 38% married/partnered, 70% rural, 65% currently smoking, with a mean 44.8 pack-years smoking history. On average, veterans answered 6.3 (53%) of knowledge questions correctly (Table 3).

table 3
They were most likely to correctly answer questions about the harms of radiation exposure (65%), false-positive results (84%), false-negative results (78%), and overdiagnosis (86%).

Only 1 respondent (3%) correctly answered the multiple-choice question about indications for stopping screening. Two (5%) correctly answered the question on the magnitude of benefit, most overestimated or did not know. Similarly, 23 (62%) overestimated or did not know the predictive value of an abnormal scan. About two-thirds of veterans underestimated or did not know the attributable risk of lung cancer from tobacco, and about four-fifths did not know the mortality rank of lung cancer. Among the 37 respondents, 31 (84%) indicated not having any decisional conflict as defined by a score of 4 on the SURE scale.
table 4
Overall, 59% of respondents had a top box score on the CollaboRATE scale. Ratings for individual domains ranged from 65% to 73% (Table 4).

 

 

Implementing SDM

The NPC’s field notes indicated that many veterans did not perceive any need to discuss the screening decision and believed that their PCP had referred them just for screening. However, they reported having cursory discussions with their PCP, being told that only their history of heavy tobacco use meant they should be screened. For veterans who had not read the decision aid, the NPC attempted to summarize benefits and harms. However, the discussions were often inadequate because the veterans were not interested in receiving information, particularly numerical data, or indicated that they had limited time for the call.

Seventy-two (69%) of the veterans who met with the NPC were currently smoking. Tobacco cessation counseling was offered to 66; 29 were referred to the VA Quit Line, 10 were referred to the tobacco cessation pharmacist, and the NPC contacted the PCPs for 9 patients who wanted prescriptions for nicotine replacement therapy.

After the SDM visit, 91 veterans (87%) agreed to screening. By the end of the study period, 73 veterans (80%) completed testing. Most veterans had Lung-RADS 1 or 2 results, 11 (1%) had a Lung-RADS 3, and 7 (10%) had a Lung-RADS 4. All 9 veterans with Lung-RADS 3 results and at least 6 months of follow-up underwent repeat imaging within 4 to 13 months (median, 7). All veterans with a Lung-RADS 4 result were referred to pulmonary. One patient was diagnosed with an early-stage non–small cell lung cancer.

We identified several problems with LDCT coding. Radiologists did not consistently use Lung-RADS when interpreting screening LDCTs; some used the Fleischner lung nodule criteria.18 We also found discordant readings for abnormal LDCTs, where the assigned Lung-RADS score was not consistent with the nodule description in the radiology report.

Discussion

Efforts to implement LCS with a telemedicine SDM intervention were mixed. An NPC-led SDM phone call was successfully incorporated into the clinical workflow. Most veterans identified as being eligible for screening participated in the counseling visit and underwent screening. However, they were often reluctant to engage in SDM, feeling that their clinician had already recommended screening and that there was no need for further discussion. Unfortunately, many veterans had not received or reviewed the decision aid and were not interested in receiving information about benefits and harms. Because we relied on telephone calls, we could not share visual information in real time.

Overall, the surveys indicated that most veterans were very satisfied with the quality of the discussion and reported feeling no decisional conflict. However, based on the NPC’s field notes and audio recordings, we believe that the responses may have reflected earlier discussions with the PCP that reportedly emphasized only the veteran’s eligibility for screening. The fidelity assessments indicated that the NPC consistently addressed the harms and benefits of screening.

Nonetheless, the performance on knowledge measures was uneven. Veterans were generally aware of harms, including false alarms, overdiagnosis, radiation exposure, and incidental findings. They did not, however, appreciate when screening should stop. They also underestimated the risks of developing lung cancer and the portion of that risk attributable to tobacco use, and overestimated the benefits of screening. These results suggest that the veterans, at least those who completed the surveys, may not be making well-informed decisions.

Our findings echo those of other VA investigators in finding knowledge deficits among screened veterans, including being unaware that LDCT was for LCS, believing that screening could prevent cancer, receiving little information about screening harms, and feeling that negative tests meant they were among the “lucky ones” who would avoid harm from continued smoking.19,20

The VA is currently implementing centralized screening models with the Lung Precision Oncology Program and the VA partnership to increase access to lung screening (VA-PALS).5 The centralized model, which readily supports the tracking, monitoring, and reporting needs of a screening program, also has advantages in delivering SDM because counselors have been trained in SDM, are more familiar with LCS evidence and processes, can better incorporate decision tools, and do not face the same time constraints as clinicians.21 However, studies have shown that most patients have already decided to be screened when they show up for the SDM visit.22 In contrast, about one-third of patients in primary care settings who receive decision support chose not to be screened.23,24 We found that 13% of our patients decided against screening after a telephone discussion, suggesting that a virtually conducted SDM visit can meaningfully support decision making. Telemedicine also may reduce health inequities in centralized models arising from patients having limited access to screening centers.

Our results suggest that PCPs referring patients to a centralized program, even for virtual visits, should frame the decision to initiate LCS as SDM, where an informed patient is being supported in making a decision consistent with their values and preferences. Furthermore, engaging patients in SDM should not be construed as endorsing screening. When centralized support is less available, individual clinics may need to provide SDM, perhaps using a nonclinician decision coach if clinicians lack the time to lead the discussions. Decision coaches have been effectively used to increase patients’ knowledge about the benefits and harms of screening.12 Regardless of the program model, PCPs will also be responsible for determining whether patients are healthy enough to undergo invasive diagnostic testing and treatment and ensuring that tobacco use is addressed.

SDM delivered in any setting will be enhanced by ensuring that patients are provided with decision aids before a counseling visit. This will help them better understand the benefits and harms of screening and the need to elicit values. The discussion can then focus on areas of concern or questions raised by reviewing the decision aid. The clinician and patient could also use a decision aid during either a face-to-face or video clinical encounter to facilitate SDM. A Cochrane review has shown that using decision aids for people facing screening decisions increases knowledge, reduces decisional conflict, and effectively elicits values and preferences.25 Providing high-quality decision support is a patient-centered approach that respects a patient’s autonomy and may promote health equity and improve adherence.

We recognized the importance of having a multidisciplinary team, involving primary care, radiology, pulmonary, and nursing, with a shared understanding of the screening processes. These are essential features for a high-quality screening program where eligible veterans are readily identified and receive prompt and appropriate follow-up. Radiologists need to use Lung-RADS categories consistently and appropriately when reading LDCTs. This may require ongoing educational efforts, particularly given the new CMS guidelines accepting nonsubspecialist chest readers.7 Additionally, fellows and board-eligible residents may interpret images in academic settings and at VA facilities. The program needs to work closely with the pulmonary service to ensure that Lung-RADS 4 patients are promptly assessed. Radiologists and pulmonologists should calibrate the application of Lung-RADS categories to pulmonary nodules through jointly participating in meetings to review selected cases.

 

 

Challenges and Limitations

We faced some notable implementation challenges. The COVID-19 pandemic was extremely disruptive to LCS as it was to all health care. In addition, screening workflow processes were hampered by a lack of clinical reminders, which ideally would trigger for clinicians based on the tobacco history. The absence of this reminder meant that numerous patients were found to be ineligible for screening. We have a long-standing lung nodule clinic, and clinicians were confused about whether to order a surveillance imaging for an incidental nodule or a screening LDCT.

The radiology service was able to update order sets in CPRS to help guide clinicians in distinguishing indications and prerequisites for enrolling in LCS. This helped reduce the number of inappropriate orders and crossover orders between the VISN nodule tracking program and the LCS program.

Our results were preliminary and based on a small sample. We did not survey all veterans who underwent SDM, though the response rate was 79% and patient characteristics were similar to the larger cohort. Our results were potentially subject to selection bias, which could inflate the positive responses about decision quality and decisional conflict. However, the knowledge deficits are likely to be valid and suggest a need to better inform eligible veterans about the benefits and harms of screening. We did not have sufficient follow-up time to determine whether veterans were adherent to annual screenings. We showed that almost all those with abnormal imaging results completed diagnostic evaluations and/or were evaluated by pulmonary. As the program matures, we will be able to track outcomes related to cancer diagnoses and treatment.

Conclusions

A centralized LCS program was able to deliver SDM and enroll veterans in a screening program. While veterans were confident in their decision to screen and felt that they participated in decision making, knowledge testing indicated important deficits. Furthermore, we observed that many veterans did not meaningfully engage in SDM. Clinicians will need to frame the decision as patient centered at the time of referral, highlight the role of the NPC and importance of SDM, and be able to provide adequate decision support. The SDM visits can be enhanced by ensuring that veterans are able to review decision aids. Telemedicine is an acceptable and effective approach for supporting screening discussions, particularly for rural veterans.26

Acknowledgments

The authors thank the following individuals for their contributions to the study: John Paul Hornbeck, program support specialist; Kelly Miell, PhD; Bradley Mecham, PhD; Christopher C. Richards, MA; Bailey Noble, NP; Rebecca Barnhart, program analyst.

References

1. Zullig LL, Jackson GL, Dorn RA, et al. Cancer incidence among patients of the U.S. Veterans Affairs Health Care System. Mil Med. 2012;177(6):693-701. doi:10.7205/milmed-d-11-00434

2. Hoffman RM, Atallah RP, Struble RD, Badgett RG. Lung cancer screening with low-dose CT: a meta-analysis. J Gen Intern Med. 2020;35(10):3015-3025. doi:10.1007/s11606-020-05951-7

3. National Lung Screening Trial Research Team, Aberle DR, Adams AM, et al. Reduced lung-cancer mortality with low-dose computed tomographic screening. N Engl J Med. 2011;365(5):395-409. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1102873

4. Moyer VA, US Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for lung cancer: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement. Ann Intern Med. 2014;160(5):330-338. doi:10.7326/M13-2771

5. Maurice NM, Tanner NT. Lung cancer screening at the VA: past, present and future. Semin Oncol. 2022;S0093-7754(22)00041-0. doi:10.1053/j.seminoncol.2022.06.001

6. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Screening for lung cancer with low dose computed tomography (LDCT) (CAG-00439N). Published 2015. Accessed July 10, 2023. http://www.cms.gov/medicare-coverage-database/details/nca-decision-memo.aspx?NCAId=274

7. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Screening for lung cancer with low dose computed tomography (LDCT) (CAG-00439R). Published 2022. Accessed July 10, 2023. https://www.cms.gov/medicare-coverage-database/view/ncacal-decision-memo.aspx?proposed=N&ncaid=304

8. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine; Health and Medicine Division; Board on Health Care Services; National Cancer Policy Forum. Implementation of Lung Cancer Screening: Proceedings of a Workshop. The National Academies Press; November 17, 2016. doi:10.172216/23680

9. Bernstein E, Bade BC, Akgün KM, Rose MG, Cain HC. Barriers and facilitators to lung cancer screening and follow-up. Semin Oncol. 2022;S0093-7754(22)00058-6. doi:10.1053/j.seminoncol.2022.07.004

10. US Preventive Services Task Force, Krist AH, Davidson KW, et al. Screening for lung cancer: US Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement. JAMA. 2021;325(10):962-970. doi:10.1001/jama.2021.1117

11. Kinsinger LS, Atkins D, Provenzale D, Anderson C, Petzel R. Implementation of a new screening recommendation in health care: the Veterans Health Administration’s approach to lung cancer screening. Ann Intern Med. 2014;161(8):597-598. doi:10.7326/M14-1070

12. Lowenstein LM, Godoy MCB, Erasmus JJ, et al. Implementing decision coaching for lung cancer screening in the low-dose computed tomography setting. JCO Oncol Pract. 2020;16(8):e703-e725. doi:10.1200/JOP.19.00453

13. American College of Radiology Committee on Lung-RADS. Lung-RADS assessment categories 2022. Published November 2022. Accessed July 3, 2023. https://www.acr.org/-/media/ACR/Files/RADS/Lung-RADS/Lung-RADS-2022.pdf

14. Lowenstein LM, Richards VF, Leal VB, et al. A brief measure of smokers’ knowledge of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography. Prev Med Rep. 2016;4:351-356. doi:10.1016/j.pmedr.2016.07.008

15. Elwyn G, Barr PJ, Grande SW, Thompson R, Walsh T, Ozanne EM. Developing CollaboRATE: a fast and frugal patient-reported measure of shared decision making in clinical encounters. Patient Educ Couns. 2013;93(1):102-107. doi:10.1016/j.pec.2013.05.009

16. Barr PJ, Thompson R, Walsh T, Grande SW, Ozanne EM, Elwyn G. The psychometric properties of CollaboRATE: a fast and frugal patient-reported measure of the shared decision-making process. J Med Internet Res. 2014;16(1):e2. doi:10.2196/jmir.3085

17. Légaré F, Kearing S, Clay K, et al. Are you SURE?: Assessing patient decisional conflict with a 4-item screening test. Can Fam Physician. 2010;56(8):e308-e314.

18. MacMahon H, Naidich DP, Goo JM, et al. Guidelines for management of incidental pulmonary nodules detected on CT images: from the Fleischner Society 2017. Radiology. 2017;284(1):228-243. doi:10.1148/radiol.2017161659

19. Wiener RS, Koppelman E, Bolton R, et al. Patient and clinician perspectives on shared decision-making in early adopting lung cancer screening programs: a qualitative study. J Gen Intern Med. 2018;33(7):1035-1042. doi:10.1007/s11606-018-4350-9

20. Zeliadt SB, Heffner JL, Sayre G, et al. Attitudes and perceptions about smoking cessation in the context of lung cancer screening. JAMA Intern Med. 2015;175(9):1530-1537. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2015.3558

21. Mazzone PJ, White CS, Kazerooni EA, Smith RA, Thomson CC. Proposed quality metrics for lung cancer screening programs: a National Lung Cancer Roundtable Project. Chest. 2021;160(1):368-378. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2021.01.063

22. Mazzone PJ, Tenenbaum A, Seeley M, et al. Impact of a lung cancer screening counseling and shared decision-making visit. Chest. 2017;151(3):572-578. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2016.10.027

23. Reuland DS, Cubillos L, Brenner AT, Harris RP, Minish B, Pignone MP. A pre-post study testing a lung cancer screening decision aid in primary care. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2018;18(1):5. doi:10.1186/s12911-018-0582-1

24. Dharod A, Bellinger C, Foley K, Case LD, Miller D. The reach and feasibility of an interactive lung cancer screening decision aid delivered by patient portal. Appl Clin Inform. 2019;10(1):19-27. doi:10.1055/s-0038-1676807

25. Stacey D, Légaré F, Lewis K, et al. Decision aids for people facing health treatment or screening decisions. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2017;4:CD001431. doi:10.1002/14651858.CD001431.pub5

26. Tanner NT, Banas E, Yeager D, Dai L, Hughes Halbert C, Silvestri GA. In-person and telephonic shared decision-making visits for people considering lung cancer screening: an assessment of decision quality. Chest. 2019;155(1):236-238. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2018.07.046

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Author and Disclosure Information

Richard M. Hoffman, MD, MPHa,b,c; Julie A. Lang, RN, BSN, MBAd; George J. Baileyd; James A. Merchant, MSd;  Aaron S. Seaman, PhDa,b,c; Elizabeth A. Newbury, MAd; Rolando Sanchez, MD, MSa,b; Robert J. Volk, PhDe;  Lisa M. Lowenstein, PhDe; Sarah L. Averill, MDf

Correspondence:  Richard M. Hoffman  (richard-m-hoffman @uiowa.edu)

aIowa City Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Iowa

bUniversity of Iowa Carver College of Medicine, Iowa City

cHolden Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Iowa, Iowa City

dVeterans Rural Health Resource Center, Office of Rural Health, Veterans Health Administration, Iowa City, Iowa

eThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, HoustonfRoswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, New York

Author disclosures

The study was supported by a grant from the Office of Rural Health (ORH) (NOMAD #03526) awarded to Richard Hoffman. The funding body did not play a role in the design of the study or the collection and analysis of data. Lisa Lowenstein and Robert Volk are supported by a grant funded by the National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, USA, under award number P30CA016672, using the Shared Decision-Making Core, and by a grant from the Cancer Prevention and Research Institute of Texas (RP160674). None of the other authors have any disclosures. None of the authors have conflicts of interest with the work.

Disclaimer

The opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of Federal Practitioner, Frontline Medical Communications Inc., the US Government, or any of its agencies. This article may discuss unlabeled or investigational use of certain drugs. Please review the complete prescribing information for specific drugs or drug combinations—including indications, contraindications, warnings, and adverse effects—before administering pharmacologic therapy to patients.


Ethics and consent

The University of Iowa Hawk Institutional Review Board determined that this study did not include research on human subjects and was exempt from oversight.

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Author and Disclosure Information

Richard M. Hoffman, MD, MPHa,b,c; Julie A. Lang, RN, BSN, MBAd; George J. Baileyd; James A. Merchant, MSd;  Aaron S. Seaman, PhDa,b,c; Elizabeth A. Newbury, MAd; Rolando Sanchez, MD, MSa,b; Robert J. Volk, PhDe;  Lisa M. Lowenstein, PhDe; Sarah L. Averill, MDf

Correspondence:  Richard M. Hoffman  (richard-m-hoffman @uiowa.edu)

aIowa City Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Iowa

bUniversity of Iowa Carver College of Medicine, Iowa City

cHolden Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Iowa, Iowa City

dVeterans Rural Health Resource Center, Office of Rural Health, Veterans Health Administration, Iowa City, Iowa

eThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, HoustonfRoswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, New York

Author disclosures

The study was supported by a grant from the Office of Rural Health (ORH) (NOMAD #03526) awarded to Richard Hoffman. The funding body did not play a role in the design of the study or the collection and analysis of data. Lisa Lowenstein and Robert Volk are supported by a grant funded by the National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, USA, under award number P30CA016672, using the Shared Decision-Making Core, and by a grant from the Cancer Prevention and Research Institute of Texas (RP160674). None of the other authors have any disclosures. None of the authors have conflicts of interest with the work.

Disclaimer

The opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of Federal Practitioner, Frontline Medical Communications Inc., the US Government, or any of its agencies. This article may discuss unlabeled or investigational use of certain drugs. Please review the complete prescribing information for specific drugs or drug combinations—including indications, contraindications, warnings, and adverse effects—before administering pharmacologic therapy to patients.


Ethics and consent

The University of Iowa Hawk Institutional Review Board determined that this study did not include research on human subjects and was exempt from oversight.

Author and Disclosure Information

Richard M. Hoffman, MD, MPHa,b,c; Julie A. Lang, RN, BSN, MBAd; George J. Baileyd; James A. Merchant, MSd;  Aaron S. Seaman, PhDa,b,c; Elizabeth A. Newbury, MAd; Rolando Sanchez, MD, MSa,b; Robert J. Volk, PhDe;  Lisa M. Lowenstein, PhDe; Sarah L. Averill, MDf

Correspondence:  Richard M. Hoffman  (richard-m-hoffman @uiowa.edu)

aIowa City Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Iowa

bUniversity of Iowa Carver College of Medicine, Iowa City

cHolden Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Iowa, Iowa City

dVeterans Rural Health Resource Center, Office of Rural Health, Veterans Health Administration, Iowa City, Iowa

eThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, HoustonfRoswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, New York

Author disclosures

The study was supported by a grant from the Office of Rural Health (ORH) (NOMAD #03526) awarded to Richard Hoffman. The funding body did not play a role in the design of the study or the collection and analysis of data. Lisa Lowenstein and Robert Volk are supported by a grant funded by the National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, USA, under award number P30CA016672, using the Shared Decision-Making Core, and by a grant from the Cancer Prevention and Research Institute of Texas (RP160674). None of the other authors have any disclosures. None of the authors have conflicts of interest with the work.

Disclaimer

The opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of Federal Practitioner, Frontline Medical Communications Inc., the US Government, or any of its agencies. This article may discuss unlabeled or investigational use of certain drugs. Please review the complete prescribing information for specific drugs or drug combinations—including indications, contraindications, warnings, and adverse effects—before administering pharmacologic therapy to patients.


Ethics and consent

The University of Iowa Hawk Institutional Review Board determined that this study did not include research on human subjects and was exempt from oversight.

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Lung cancer is the second most frequently diagnosed cancer among US veterans and the leading cause of cancer death.1 Clinical trials have shown that annual screening of high-risk persons with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) can reduce the risk of dying of lung cancer.2 In 2011, the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) reported that over a 3-year period, annual LDCT screening reduced the risk of dying of lung cancer by 20% compared with chest radiograph screening.3 Lung cancer screening (LCS), however, was associated with harms, including false-positive results, complications from invasive diagnostic procedures, incidental findings, overdiagnosis, and radiation exposure.

The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) began recommending annual screening of high-risk persons after publication of the NLST results.4 The Veterans Health Administration (VHA) recommended implementing LCS in 2017.5 Guidelines, however, have consistently highlighted the complexity of the decision and the importance of engaging patients in thorough discussions about the potential benefits and harms of screening (shared decision making [SDM]). The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) has issued coverage determinations mandating that eligible patients undergo a counseling visit that uses a decision aid to support SDM for LCS and addresses tobacco use.6,7 However, primary care practitioners (PCPs) face many challenges in delivering SDM, including a lack of awareness of clinical trial results and screening guidelines, competing clinical demands, being untrained in SDM, and not having educational resources.8 Patients in rural locations face travel burdens in attending counseling visits.9

We conducted a pilot study to address concerns with delivering SDM for LCS to veterans. We implemented a centralized screening model in which veterans were referred by clinicians to a trained decision coach who conducted telephone visits to discuss the initial LCS decision, addressed tobacco cessation, and placed LDCT orders. We evaluated the outcomes of this telemedicine visit by using decision quality metrics and tracking LCS uptake, referrals for tobacco cessation, and clinical outcomes. The University of Iowa Institutional Review Board considered this study to be a quality improvement project and waived informed consent and HIPAA (Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act) authorization requirements.

 

 

Implementation

We implemented the LCS program at the Iowa City Veterans Affairs Health Care System (ICVAHCS), which has both resident and staff clinicians, and 2 community-based outpatient clinics (Coralville, Cedar Rapids) with staff clinicians. The pilot study, conducted from November 2020 through July 2022, was led by a multidisciplinary team that included a nurse, primary care physician, pulmonologist, and radiologist. The team conducted online presentations to educate PCPs about the epidemiology of lung cancer, results of screening trials, LCS guidelines, the rationale for a centralized model of SDM, and the ICVAHCS screening protocols.

Screening Referrals

When the study began in 2020, we used the 2015 USPSTF criteria for annual LCS: individuals aged 55 to 80 years with a 30 pack-year smoking history and current tobacco user or who had quit within 15 years.4 We lowered the starting age to 50 years and the pack-year requirement to 20 after the USPSTF issued updated guidelines in 2021.10 Clinicians were notified about potentially eligible patients through the US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Computerized Personal Record System (CPRS) reminders or by the nurse program coordinator (NPC) who reviewed health records of patients with upcoming appointments. If the clinician determined that screening was appropriate, they ordered an LCS consult. The NPC called the veteran to confirm eligibility, mailed a decision aid, and scheduled a telephone visit to conduct SDM. We used the VA decision aid developed for the LCS demonstration project conducted at 8 academic VA medical centers between 2013 and 2017.11

Shared Decision-Making Telephone Visit

The NPC adapted a telephone script developed for a Cancer Prevention and Research Institute of Texas–funded project conducted by 2 coauthors (RJV and LML).12 The NPC asked about receipt/review of the decision aid, described the screening process, and addressed benefits and potential harms of screening. The NPC also offered smoking cessation interventions for veterans who were currently smoking, including referrals to the VA patient aligned care team clinical pharmacist for management of tobacco cessation or to the national VA Quit Line. The encounter ended by assessing the veteran’s understanding of screening issues and eliciting the veteran’s preferences for LDCT and willingness to adhere with the LCS program.

LDCT Imaging

The NPC placed LDCT orders for veterans interested in screening and alerted the referring clinician to sign the order. Veterans who agreed to be screened were placed in an LCS dashboard developed by the Veterans Integrated Services Network (VISN) 23 LCS program that was used as a patient management tool. The dashboard allowed the NPC to track patients, ensuring that veterans were being scheduled for and completing initial and follow-up testing. Radiologists used the Lung-RADS (Lung Imaging Reporting and Data System) to categorize LDCT results (1, normal; 2, benign nodule; 3, probably benign nodule; 4, suspicious nodule).13 Veterans with Lung-RADS 1 or 2 results were scheduled for an annual LDCT (if they remained eligible). Veterans with Lung-RADS 3 results were scheduled for a 6-month follow-up CT. The screening program sent electronic consults to pulmonary for veterans with Lung-RADS 4 to determine whether they should undergo additional imaging or be evaluated in the pulmonary clinic.

 

 

Evaluating Shared Decision Making

We audio taped and transcribed randomly selected SDM encounters to assess fidelity with the 2016 CMS required discussion elements for counseling about lung cancer, including the benefit of reducing lung cancer mortality; the potential for harms from false alarms, incidental findings, overdiagnosis, and radiation exposure; the need for annual screening; the importance of smoking cessation; and the possibility of undergoing follow-up testing and diagnostic procedures. An investigator coded the transcripts to assess for the presence of each required element and scored the encounter from 0 to 7.

We also surveyed veterans completing SDM, using a convenience sampling strategy to evaluate knowledge, the quality of the SDM process, and decisional conflict. Initially, we sent mailed surveys to subjects to be completed 1 week after the SDM visit. To increase the response rate, we subsequently called patients to complete the surveys by telephone 1 week after the SDM visit.

We used the validated LCS-12 knowledge measure to assess awareness of lung cancer risks, screening eligibility, and the benefits and harms of screening.14 We evaluated the quality of the SDM visit by using the 3-item CollaboRATE scale (Table 1).15

table 1
The response items were scored on a 9-point Likert scale (0, no effort; 9, every effort). The CollaboRATE developers recommend reporting the top score (ie, the proportion of subjects whose response to all 3 questions was 9).16 We used the 4-item SURE scale to assess decisional conflict, a measure of uncertainty about choosing an option.17 A yes response received 1 point; patients with scores of 4 were considered to have no decisional conflict.

The NPC also took field notes during interviews to help identify additional SDM issues. After each call, the NPC noted her impressions of the veteran’s engagement with SDM and understanding of the screening issues.

Clinical Outcomes

We used the screening dashboard and CPRS to track clinical outcomes, including screening uptake, referrals for tobacco cessation, appropriate (screening or diagnostic) follow-up testing, and cancer diagnoses. We used descriptive statistics to characterize demographic data and survey responses.

Initial Findings

We conducted 105 SDM telephone visits from November 2020 through July 2022 (Table 2).

table 2
We audio taped 27 encounters. Measures of SDM showed good fidelity with addressing required CMS elements. The mean number of elements addressed was 6.2 of 7. Reduction in lung cancer mortality was the issue least likely to be addressed (59%).

We surveyed 47 of the veterans completing SDM visits (45%) and received 37 completed surveys (79%). All respondents were male, mean age 61.9 years, 89% White, 38% married/partnered, 70% rural, 65% currently smoking, with a mean 44.8 pack-years smoking history. On average, veterans answered 6.3 (53%) of knowledge questions correctly (Table 3).

table 3
They were most likely to correctly answer questions about the harms of radiation exposure (65%), false-positive results (84%), false-negative results (78%), and overdiagnosis (86%).

Only 1 respondent (3%) correctly answered the multiple-choice question about indications for stopping screening. Two (5%) correctly answered the question on the magnitude of benefit, most overestimated or did not know. Similarly, 23 (62%) overestimated or did not know the predictive value of an abnormal scan. About two-thirds of veterans underestimated or did not know the attributable risk of lung cancer from tobacco, and about four-fifths did not know the mortality rank of lung cancer. Among the 37 respondents, 31 (84%) indicated not having any decisional conflict as defined by a score of 4 on the SURE scale.
table 4
Overall, 59% of respondents had a top box score on the CollaboRATE scale. Ratings for individual domains ranged from 65% to 73% (Table 4).

 

 

Implementing SDM

The NPC’s field notes indicated that many veterans did not perceive any need to discuss the screening decision and believed that their PCP had referred them just for screening. However, they reported having cursory discussions with their PCP, being told that only their history of heavy tobacco use meant they should be screened. For veterans who had not read the decision aid, the NPC attempted to summarize benefits and harms. However, the discussions were often inadequate because the veterans were not interested in receiving information, particularly numerical data, or indicated that they had limited time for the call.

Seventy-two (69%) of the veterans who met with the NPC were currently smoking. Tobacco cessation counseling was offered to 66; 29 were referred to the VA Quit Line, 10 were referred to the tobacco cessation pharmacist, and the NPC contacted the PCPs for 9 patients who wanted prescriptions for nicotine replacement therapy.

After the SDM visit, 91 veterans (87%) agreed to screening. By the end of the study period, 73 veterans (80%) completed testing. Most veterans had Lung-RADS 1 or 2 results, 11 (1%) had a Lung-RADS 3, and 7 (10%) had a Lung-RADS 4. All 9 veterans with Lung-RADS 3 results and at least 6 months of follow-up underwent repeat imaging within 4 to 13 months (median, 7). All veterans with a Lung-RADS 4 result were referred to pulmonary. One patient was diagnosed with an early-stage non–small cell lung cancer.

We identified several problems with LDCT coding. Radiologists did not consistently use Lung-RADS when interpreting screening LDCTs; some used the Fleischner lung nodule criteria.18 We also found discordant readings for abnormal LDCTs, where the assigned Lung-RADS score was not consistent with the nodule description in the radiology report.

Discussion

Efforts to implement LCS with a telemedicine SDM intervention were mixed. An NPC-led SDM phone call was successfully incorporated into the clinical workflow. Most veterans identified as being eligible for screening participated in the counseling visit and underwent screening. However, they were often reluctant to engage in SDM, feeling that their clinician had already recommended screening and that there was no need for further discussion. Unfortunately, many veterans had not received or reviewed the decision aid and were not interested in receiving information about benefits and harms. Because we relied on telephone calls, we could not share visual information in real time.

Overall, the surveys indicated that most veterans were very satisfied with the quality of the discussion and reported feeling no decisional conflict. However, based on the NPC’s field notes and audio recordings, we believe that the responses may have reflected earlier discussions with the PCP that reportedly emphasized only the veteran’s eligibility for screening. The fidelity assessments indicated that the NPC consistently addressed the harms and benefits of screening.

Nonetheless, the performance on knowledge measures was uneven. Veterans were generally aware of harms, including false alarms, overdiagnosis, radiation exposure, and incidental findings. They did not, however, appreciate when screening should stop. They also underestimated the risks of developing lung cancer and the portion of that risk attributable to tobacco use, and overestimated the benefits of screening. These results suggest that the veterans, at least those who completed the surveys, may not be making well-informed decisions.

Our findings echo those of other VA investigators in finding knowledge deficits among screened veterans, including being unaware that LDCT was for LCS, believing that screening could prevent cancer, receiving little information about screening harms, and feeling that negative tests meant they were among the “lucky ones” who would avoid harm from continued smoking.19,20

The VA is currently implementing centralized screening models with the Lung Precision Oncology Program and the VA partnership to increase access to lung screening (VA-PALS).5 The centralized model, which readily supports the tracking, monitoring, and reporting needs of a screening program, also has advantages in delivering SDM because counselors have been trained in SDM, are more familiar with LCS evidence and processes, can better incorporate decision tools, and do not face the same time constraints as clinicians.21 However, studies have shown that most patients have already decided to be screened when they show up for the SDM visit.22 In contrast, about one-third of patients in primary care settings who receive decision support chose not to be screened.23,24 We found that 13% of our patients decided against screening after a telephone discussion, suggesting that a virtually conducted SDM visit can meaningfully support decision making. Telemedicine also may reduce health inequities in centralized models arising from patients having limited access to screening centers.

Our results suggest that PCPs referring patients to a centralized program, even for virtual visits, should frame the decision to initiate LCS as SDM, where an informed patient is being supported in making a decision consistent with their values and preferences. Furthermore, engaging patients in SDM should not be construed as endorsing screening. When centralized support is less available, individual clinics may need to provide SDM, perhaps using a nonclinician decision coach if clinicians lack the time to lead the discussions. Decision coaches have been effectively used to increase patients’ knowledge about the benefits and harms of screening.12 Regardless of the program model, PCPs will also be responsible for determining whether patients are healthy enough to undergo invasive diagnostic testing and treatment and ensuring that tobacco use is addressed.

SDM delivered in any setting will be enhanced by ensuring that patients are provided with decision aids before a counseling visit. This will help them better understand the benefits and harms of screening and the need to elicit values. The discussion can then focus on areas of concern or questions raised by reviewing the decision aid. The clinician and patient could also use a decision aid during either a face-to-face or video clinical encounter to facilitate SDM. A Cochrane review has shown that using decision aids for people facing screening decisions increases knowledge, reduces decisional conflict, and effectively elicits values and preferences.25 Providing high-quality decision support is a patient-centered approach that respects a patient’s autonomy and may promote health equity and improve adherence.

We recognized the importance of having a multidisciplinary team, involving primary care, radiology, pulmonary, and nursing, with a shared understanding of the screening processes. These are essential features for a high-quality screening program where eligible veterans are readily identified and receive prompt and appropriate follow-up. Radiologists need to use Lung-RADS categories consistently and appropriately when reading LDCTs. This may require ongoing educational efforts, particularly given the new CMS guidelines accepting nonsubspecialist chest readers.7 Additionally, fellows and board-eligible residents may interpret images in academic settings and at VA facilities. The program needs to work closely with the pulmonary service to ensure that Lung-RADS 4 patients are promptly assessed. Radiologists and pulmonologists should calibrate the application of Lung-RADS categories to pulmonary nodules through jointly participating in meetings to review selected cases.

 

 

Challenges and Limitations

We faced some notable implementation challenges. The COVID-19 pandemic was extremely disruptive to LCS as it was to all health care. In addition, screening workflow processes were hampered by a lack of clinical reminders, which ideally would trigger for clinicians based on the tobacco history. The absence of this reminder meant that numerous patients were found to be ineligible for screening. We have a long-standing lung nodule clinic, and clinicians were confused about whether to order a surveillance imaging for an incidental nodule or a screening LDCT.

The radiology service was able to update order sets in CPRS to help guide clinicians in distinguishing indications and prerequisites for enrolling in LCS. This helped reduce the number of inappropriate orders and crossover orders between the VISN nodule tracking program and the LCS program.

Our results were preliminary and based on a small sample. We did not survey all veterans who underwent SDM, though the response rate was 79% and patient characteristics were similar to the larger cohort. Our results were potentially subject to selection bias, which could inflate the positive responses about decision quality and decisional conflict. However, the knowledge deficits are likely to be valid and suggest a need to better inform eligible veterans about the benefits and harms of screening. We did not have sufficient follow-up time to determine whether veterans were adherent to annual screenings. We showed that almost all those with abnormal imaging results completed diagnostic evaluations and/or were evaluated by pulmonary. As the program matures, we will be able to track outcomes related to cancer diagnoses and treatment.

Conclusions

A centralized LCS program was able to deliver SDM and enroll veterans in a screening program. While veterans were confident in their decision to screen and felt that they participated in decision making, knowledge testing indicated important deficits. Furthermore, we observed that many veterans did not meaningfully engage in SDM. Clinicians will need to frame the decision as patient centered at the time of referral, highlight the role of the NPC and importance of SDM, and be able to provide adequate decision support. The SDM visits can be enhanced by ensuring that veterans are able to review decision aids. Telemedicine is an acceptable and effective approach for supporting screening discussions, particularly for rural veterans.26

Acknowledgments

The authors thank the following individuals for their contributions to the study: John Paul Hornbeck, program support specialist; Kelly Miell, PhD; Bradley Mecham, PhD; Christopher C. Richards, MA; Bailey Noble, NP; Rebecca Barnhart, program analyst.

Lung cancer is the second most frequently diagnosed cancer among US veterans and the leading cause of cancer death.1 Clinical trials have shown that annual screening of high-risk persons with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) can reduce the risk of dying of lung cancer.2 In 2011, the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) reported that over a 3-year period, annual LDCT screening reduced the risk of dying of lung cancer by 20% compared with chest radiograph screening.3 Lung cancer screening (LCS), however, was associated with harms, including false-positive results, complications from invasive diagnostic procedures, incidental findings, overdiagnosis, and radiation exposure.

The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) began recommending annual screening of high-risk persons after publication of the NLST results.4 The Veterans Health Administration (VHA) recommended implementing LCS in 2017.5 Guidelines, however, have consistently highlighted the complexity of the decision and the importance of engaging patients in thorough discussions about the potential benefits and harms of screening (shared decision making [SDM]). The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) has issued coverage determinations mandating that eligible patients undergo a counseling visit that uses a decision aid to support SDM for LCS and addresses tobacco use.6,7 However, primary care practitioners (PCPs) face many challenges in delivering SDM, including a lack of awareness of clinical trial results and screening guidelines, competing clinical demands, being untrained in SDM, and not having educational resources.8 Patients in rural locations face travel burdens in attending counseling visits.9

We conducted a pilot study to address concerns with delivering SDM for LCS to veterans. We implemented a centralized screening model in which veterans were referred by clinicians to a trained decision coach who conducted telephone visits to discuss the initial LCS decision, addressed tobacco cessation, and placed LDCT orders. We evaluated the outcomes of this telemedicine visit by using decision quality metrics and tracking LCS uptake, referrals for tobacco cessation, and clinical outcomes. The University of Iowa Institutional Review Board considered this study to be a quality improvement project and waived informed consent and HIPAA (Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act) authorization requirements.

 

 

Implementation

We implemented the LCS program at the Iowa City Veterans Affairs Health Care System (ICVAHCS), which has both resident and staff clinicians, and 2 community-based outpatient clinics (Coralville, Cedar Rapids) with staff clinicians. The pilot study, conducted from November 2020 through July 2022, was led by a multidisciplinary team that included a nurse, primary care physician, pulmonologist, and radiologist. The team conducted online presentations to educate PCPs about the epidemiology of lung cancer, results of screening trials, LCS guidelines, the rationale for a centralized model of SDM, and the ICVAHCS screening protocols.

Screening Referrals

When the study began in 2020, we used the 2015 USPSTF criteria for annual LCS: individuals aged 55 to 80 years with a 30 pack-year smoking history and current tobacco user or who had quit within 15 years.4 We lowered the starting age to 50 years and the pack-year requirement to 20 after the USPSTF issued updated guidelines in 2021.10 Clinicians were notified about potentially eligible patients through the US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Computerized Personal Record System (CPRS) reminders or by the nurse program coordinator (NPC) who reviewed health records of patients with upcoming appointments. If the clinician determined that screening was appropriate, they ordered an LCS consult. The NPC called the veteran to confirm eligibility, mailed a decision aid, and scheduled a telephone visit to conduct SDM. We used the VA decision aid developed for the LCS demonstration project conducted at 8 academic VA medical centers between 2013 and 2017.11

Shared Decision-Making Telephone Visit

The NPC adapted a telephone script developed for a Cancer Prevention and Research Institute of Texas–funded project conducted by 2 coauthors (RJV and LML).12 The NPC asked about receipt/review of the decision aid, described the screening process, and addressed benefits and potential harms of screening. The NPC also offered smoking cessation interventions for veterans who were currently smoking, including referrals to the VA patient aligned care team clinical pharmacist for management of tobacco cessation or to the national VA Quit Line. The encounter ended by assessing the veteran’s understanding of screening issues and eliciting the veteran’s preferences for LDCT and willingness to adhere with the LCS program.

LDCT Imaging

The NPC placed LDCT orders for veterans interested in screening and alerted the referring clinician to sign the order. Veterans who agreed to be screened were placed in an LCS dashboard developed by the Veterans Integrated Services Network (VISN) 23 LCS program that was used as a patient management tool. The dashboard allowed the NPC to track patients, ensuring that veterans were being scheduled for and completing initial and follow-up testing. Radiologists used the Lung-RADS (Lung Imaging Reporting and Data System) to categorize LDCT results (1, normal; 2, benign nodule; 3, probably benign nodule; 4, suspicious nodule).13 Veterans with Lung-RADS 1 or 2 results were scheduled for an annual LDCT (if they remained eligible). Veterans with Lung-RADS 3 results were scheduled for a 6-month follow-up CT. The screening program sent electronic consults to pulmonary for veterans with Lung-RADS 4 to determine whether they should undergo additional imaging or be evaluated in the pulmonary clinic.

 

 

Evaluating Shared Decision Making

We audio taped and transcribed randomly selected SDM encounters to assess fidelity with the 2016 CMS required discussion elements for counseling about lung cancer, including the benefit of reducing lung cancer mortality; the potential for harms from false alarms, incidental findings, overdiagnosis, and radiation exposure; the need for annual screening; the importance of smoking cessation; and the possibility of undergoing follow-up testing and diagnostic procedures. An investigator coded the transcripts to assess for the presence of each required element and scored the encounter from 0 to 7.

We also surveyed veterans completing SDM, using a convenience sampling strategy to evaluate knowledge, the quality of the SDM process, and decisional conflict. Initially, we sent mailed surveys to subjects to be completed 1 week after the SDM visit. To increase the response rate, we subsequently called patients to complete the surveys by telephone 1 week after the SDM visit.

We used the validated LCS-12 knowledge measure to assess awareness of lung cancer risks, screening eligibility, and the benefits and harms of screening.14 We evaluated the quality of the SDM visit by using the 3-item CollaboRATE scale (Table 1).15

table 1
The response items were scored on a 9-point Likert scale (0, no effort; 9, every effort). The CollaboRATE developers recommend reporting the top score (ie, the proportion of subjects whose response to all 3 questions was 9).16 We used the 4-item SURE scale to assess decisional conflict, a measure of uncertainty about choosing an option.17 A yes response received 1 point; patients with scores of 4 were considered to have no decisional conflict.

The NPC also took field notes during interviews to help identify additional SDM issues. After each call, the NPC noted her impressions of the veteran’s engagement with SDM and understanding of the screening issues.

Clinical Outcomes

We used the screening dashboard and CPRS to track clinical outcomes, including screening uptake, referrals for tobacco cessation, appropriate (screening or diagnostic) follow-up testing, and cancer diagnoses. We used descriptive statistics to characterize demographic data and survey responses.

Initial Findings

We conducted 105 SDM telephone visits from November 2020 through July 2022 (Table 2).

table 2
We audio taped 27 encounters. Measures of SDM showed good fidelity with addressing required CMS elements. The mean number of elements addressed was 6.2 of 7. Reduction in lung cancer mortality was the issue least likely to be addressed (59%).

We surveyed 47 of the veterans completing SDM visits (45%) and received 37 completed surveys (79%). All respondents were male, mean age 61.9 years, 89% White, 38% married/partnered, 70% rural, 65% currently smoking, with a mean 44.8 pack-years smoking history. On average, veterans answered 6.3 (53%) of knowledge questions correctly (Table 3).

table 3
They were most likely to correctly answer questions about the harms of radiation exposure (65%), false-positive results (84%), false-negative results (78%), and overdiagnosis (86%).

Only 1 respondent (3%) correctly answered the multiple-choice question about indications for stopping screening. Two (5%) correctly answered the question on the magnitude of benefit, most overestimated or did not know. Similarly, 23 (62%) overestimated or did not know the predictive value of an abnormal scan. About two-thirds of veterans underestimated or did not know the attributable risk of lung cancer from tobacco, and about four-fifths did not know the mortality rank of lung cancer. Among the 37 respondents, 31 (84%) indicated not having any decisional conflict as defined by a score of 4 on the SURE scale.
table 4
Overall, 59% of respondents had a top box score on the CollaboRATE scale. Ratings for individual domains ranged from 65% to 73% (Table 4).

 

 

Implementing SDM

The NPC’s field notes indicated that many veterans did not perceive any need to discuss the screening decision and believed that their PCP had referred them just for screening. However, they reported having cursory discussions with their PCP, being told that only their history of heavy tobacco use meant they should be screened. For veterans who had not read the decision aid, the NPC attempted to summarize benefits and harms. However, the discussions were often inadequate because the veterans were not interested in receiving information, particularly numerical data, or indicated that they had limited time for the call.

Seventy-two (69%) of the veterans who met with the NPC were currently smoking. Tobacco cessation counseling was offered to 66; 29 were referred to the VA Quit Line, 10 were referred to the tobacco cessation pharmacist, and the NPC contacted the PCPs for 9 patients who wanted prescriptions for nicotine replacement therapy.

After the SDM visit, 91 veterans (87%) agreed to screening. By the end of the study period, 73 veterans (80%) completed testing. Most veterans had Lung-RADS 1 or 2 results, 11 (1%) had a Lung-RADS 3, and 7 (10%) had a Lung-RADS 4. All 9 veterans with Lung-RADS 3 results and at least 6 months of follow-up underwent repeat imaging within 4 to 13 months (median, 7). All veterans with a Lung-RADS 4 result were referred to pulmonary. One patient was diagnosed with an early-stage non–small cell lung cancer.

We identified several problems with LDCT coding. Radiologists did not consistently use Lung-RADS when interpreting screening LDCTs; some used the Fleischner lung nodule criteria.18 We also found discordant readings for abnormal LDCTs, where the assigned Lung-RADS score was not consistent with the nodule description in the radiology report.

Discussion

Efforts to implement LCS with a telemedicine SDM intervention were mixed. An NPC-led SDM phone call was successfully incorporated into the clinical workflow. Most veterans identified as being eligible for screening participated in the counseling visit and underwent screening. However, they were often reluctant to engage in SDM, feeling that their clinician had already recommended screening and that there was no need for further discussion. Unfortunately, many veterans had not received or reviewed the decision aid and were not interested in receiving information about benefits and harms. Because we relied on telephone calls, we could not share visual information in real time.

Overall, the surveys indicated that most veterans were very satisfied with the quality of the discussion and reported feeling no decisional conflict. However, based on the NPC’s field notes and audio recordings, we believe that the responses may have reflected earlier discussions with the PCP that reportedly emphasized only the veteran’s eligibility for screening. The fidelity assessments indicated that the NPC consistently addressed the harms and benefits of screening.

Nonetheless, the performance on knowledge measures was uneven. Veterans were generally aware of harms, including false alarms, overdiagnosis, radiation exposure, and incidental findings. They did not, however, appreciate when screening should stop. They also underestimated the risks of developing lung cancer and the portion of that risk attributable to tobacco use, and overestimated the benefits of screening. These results suggest that the veterans, at least those who completed the surveys, may not be making well-informed decisions.

Our findings echo those of other VA investigators in finding knowledge deficits among screened veterans, including being unaware that LDCT was for LCS, believing that screening could prevent cancer, receiving little information about screening harms, and feeling that negative tests meant they were among the “lucky ones” who would avoid harm from continued smoking.19,20

The VA is currently implementing centralized screening models with the Lung Precision Oncology Program and the VA partnership to increase access to lung screening (VA-PALS).5 The centralized model, which readily supports the tracking, monitoring, and reporting needs of a screening program, also has advantages in delivering SDM because counselors have been trained in SDM, are more familiar with LCS evidence and processes, can better incorporate decision tools, and do not face the same time constraints as clinicians.21 However, studies have shown that most patients have already decided to be screened when they show up for the SDM visit.22 In contrast, about one-third of patients in primary care settings who receive decision support chose not to be screened.23,24 We found that 13% of our patients decided against screening after a telephone discussion, suggesting that a virtually conducted SDM visit can meaningfully support decision making. Telemedicine also may reduce health inequities in centralized models arising from patients having limited access to screening centers.

Our results suggest that PCPs referring patients to a centralized program, even for virtual visits, should frame the decision to initiate LCS as SDM, where an informed patient is being supported in making a decision consistent with their values and preferences. Furthermore, engaging patients in SDM should not be construed as endorsing screening. When centralized support is less available, individual clinics may need to provide SDM, perhaps using a nonclinician decision coach if clinicians lack the time to lead the discussions. Decision coaches have been effectively used to increase patients’ knowledge about the benefits and harms of screening.12 Regardless of the program model, PCPs will also be responsible for determining whether patients are healthy enough to undergo invasive diagnostic testing and treatment and ensuring that tobacco use is addressed.

SDM delivered in any setting will be enhanced by ensuring that patients are provided with decision aids before a counseling visit. This will help them better understand the benefits and harms of screening and the need to elicit values. The discussion can then focus on areas of concern or questions raised by reviewing the decision aid. The clinician and patient could also use a decision aid during either a face-to-face or video clinical encounter to facilitate SDM. A Cochrane review has shown that using decision aids for people facing screening decisions increases knowledge, reduces decisional conflict, and effectively elicits values and preferences.25 Providing high-quality decision support is a patient-centered approach that respects a patient’s autonomy and may promote health equity and improve adherence.

We recognized the importance of having a multidisciplinary team, involving primary care, radiology, pulmonary, and nursing, with a shared understanding of the screening processes. These are essential features for a high-quality screening program where eligible veterans are readily identified and receive prompt and appropriate follow-up. Radiologists need to use Lung-RADS categories consistently and appropriately when reading LDCTs. This may require ongoing educational efforts, particularly given the new CMS guidelines accepting nonsubspecialist chest readers.7 Additionally, fellows and board-eligible residents may interpret images in academic settings and at VA facilities. The program needs to work closely with the pulmonary service to ensure that Lung-RADS 4 patients are promptly assessed. Radiologists and pulmonologists should calibrate the application of Lung-RADS categories to pulmonary nodules through jointly participating in meetings to review selected cases.

 

 

Challenges and Limitations

We faced some notable implementation challenges. The COVID-19 pandemic was extremely disruptive to LCS as it was to all health care. In addition, screening workflow processes were hampered by a lack of clinical reminders, which ideally would trigger for clinicians based on the tobacco history. The absence of this reminder meant that numerous patients were found to be ineligible for screening. We have a long-standing lung nodule clinic, and clinicians were confused about whether to order a surveillance imaging for an incidental nodule or a screening LDCT.

The radiology service was able to update order sets in CPRS to help guide clinicians in distinguishing indications and prerequisites for enrolling in LCS. This helped reduce the number of inappropriate orders and crossover orders between the VISN nodule tracking program and the LCS program.

Our results were preliminary and based on a small sample. We did not survey all veterans who underwent SDM, though the response rate was 79% and patient characteristics were similar to the larger cohort. Our results were potentially subject to selection bias, which could inflate the positive responses about decision quality and decisional conflict. However, the knowledge deficits are likely to be valid and suggest a need to better inform eligible veterans about the benefits and harms of screening. We did not have sufficient follow-up time to determine whether veterans were adherent to annual screenings. We showed that almost all those with abnormal imaging results completed diagnostic evaluations and/or were evaluated by pulmonary. As the program matures, we will be able to track outcomes related to cancer diagnoses and treatment.

Conclusions

A centralized LCS program was able to deliver SDM and enroll veterans in a screening program. While veterans were confident in their decision to screen and felt that they participated in decision making, knowledge testing indicated important deficits. Furthermore, we observed that many veterans did not meaningfully engage in SDM. Clinicians will need to frame the decision as patient centered at the time of referral, highlight the role of the NPC and importance of SDM, and be able to provide adequate decision support. The SDM visits can be enhanced by ensuring that veterans are able to review decision aids. Telemedicine is an acceptable and effective approach for supporting screening discussions, particularly for rural veterans.26

Acknowledgments

The authors thank the following individuals for their contributions to the study: John Paul Hornbeck, program support specialist; Kelly Miell, PhD; Bradley Mecham, PhD; Christopher C. Richards, MA; Bailey Noble, NP; Rebecca Barnhart, program analyst.

References

1. Zullig LL, Jackson GL, Dorn RA, et al. Cancer incidence among patients of the U.S. Veterans Affairs Health Care System. Mil Med. 2012;177(6):693-701. doi:10.7205/milmed-d-11-00434

2. Hoffman RM, Atallah RP, Struble RD, Badgett RG. Lung cancer screening with low-dose CT: a meta-analysis. J Gen Intern Med. 2020;35(10):3015-3025. doi:10.1007/s11606-020-05951-7

3. National Lung Screening Trial Research Team, Aberle DR, Adams AM, et al. Reduced lung-cancer mortality with low-dose computed tomographic screening. N Engl J Med. 2011;365(5):395-409. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1102873

4. Moyer VA, US Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for lung cancer: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement. Ann Intern Med. 2014;160(5):330-338. doi:10.7326/M13-2771

5. Maurice NM, Tanner NT. Lung cancer screening at the VA: past, present and future. Semin Oncol. 2022;S0093-7754(22)00041-0. doi:10.1053/j.seminoncol.2022.06.001

6. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Screening for lung cancer with low dose computed tomography (LDCT) (CAG-00439N). Published 2015. Accessed July 10, 2023. http://www.cms.gov/medicare-coverage-database/details/nca-decision-memo.aspx?NCAId=274

7. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Screening for lung cancer with low dose computed tomography (LDCT) (CAG-00439R). Published 2022. Accessed July 10, 2023. https://www.cms.gov/medicare-coverage-database/view/ncacal-decision-memo.aspx?proposed=N&ncaid=304

8. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine; Health and Medicine Division; Board on Health Care Services; National Cancer Policy Forum. Implementation of Lung Cancer Screening: Proceedings of a Workshop. The National Academies Press; November 17, 2016. doi:10.172216/23680

9. Bernstein E, Bade BC, Akgün KM, Rose MG, Cain HC. Barriers and facilitators to lung cancer screening and follow-up. Semin Oncol. 2022;S0093-7754(22)00058-6. doi:10.1053/j.seminoncol.2022.07.004

10. US Preventive Services Task Force, Krist AH, Davidson KW, et al. Screening for lung cancer: US Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement. JAMA. 2021;325(10):962-970. doi:10.1001/jama.2021.1117

11. Kinsinger LS, Atkins D, Provenzale D, Anderson C, Petzel R. Implementation of a new screening recommendation in health care: the Veterans Health Administration’s approach to lung cancer screening. Ann Intern Med. 2014;161(8):597-598. doi:10.7326/M14-1070

12. Lowenstein LM, Godoy MCB, Erasmus JJ, et al. Implementing decision coaching for lung cancer screening in the low-dose computed tomography setting. JCO Oncol Pract. 2020;16(8):e703-e725. doi:10.1200/JOP.19.00453

13. American College of Radiology Committee on Lung-RADS. Lung-RADS assessment categories 2022. Published November 2022. Accessed July 3, 2023. https://www.acr.org/-/media/ACR/Files/RADS/Lung-RADS/Lung-RADS-2022.pdf

14. Lowenstein LM, Richards VF, Leal VB, et al. A brief measure of smokers’ knowledge of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography. Prev Med Rep. 2016;4:351-356. doi:10.1016/j.pmedr.2016.07.008

15. Elwyn G, Barr PJ, Grande SW, Thompson R, Walsh T, Ozanne EM. Developing CollaboRATE: a fast and frugal patient-reported measure of shared decision making in clinical encounters. Patient Educ Couns. 2013;93(1):102-107. doi:10.1016/j.pec.2013.05.009

16. Barr PJ, Thompson R, Walsh T, Grande SW, Ozanne EM, Elwyn G. The psychometric properties of CollaboRATE: a fast and frugal patient-reported measure of the shared decision-making process. J Med Internet Res. 2014;16(1):e2. doi:10.2196/jmir.3085

17. Légaré F, Kearing S, Clay K, et al. Are you SURE?: Assessing patient decisional conflict with a 4-item screening test. Can Fam Physician. 2010;56(8):e308-e314.

18. MacMahon H, Naidich DP, Goo JM, et al. Guidelines for management of incidental pulmonary nodules detected on CT images: from the Fleischner Society 2017. Radiology. 2017;284(1):228-243. doi:10.1148/radiol.2017161659

19. Wiener RS, Koppelman E, Bolton R, et al. Patient and clinician perspectives on shared decision-making in early adopting lung cancer screening programs: a qualitative study. J Gen Intern Med. 2018;33(7):1035-1042. doi:10.1007/s11606-018-4350-9

20. Zeliadt SB, Heffner JL, Sayre G, et al. Attitudes and perceptions about smoking cessation in the context of lung cancer screening. JAMA Intern Med. 2015;175(9):1530-1537. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2015.3558

21. Mazzone PJ, White CS, Kazerooni EA, Smith RA, Thomson CC. Proposed quality metrics for lung cancer screening programs: a National Lung Cancer Roundtable Project. Chest. 2021;160(1):368-378. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2021.01.063

22. Mazzone PJ, Tenenbaum A, Seeley M, et al. Impact of a lung cancer screening counseling and shared decision-making visit. Chest. 2017;151(3):572-578. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2016.10.027

23. Reuland DS, Cubillos L, Brenner AT, Harris RP, Minish B, Pignone MP. A pre-post study testing a lung cancer screening decision aid in primary care. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2018;18(1):5. doi:10.1186/s12911-018-0582-1

24. Dharod A, Bellinger C, Foley K, Case LD, Miller D. The reach and feasibility of an interactive lung cancer screening decision aid delivered by patient portal. Appl Clin Inform. 2019;10(1):19-27. doi:10.1055/s-0038-1676807

25. Stacey D, Légaré F, Lewis K, et al. Decision aids for people facing health treatment or screening decisions. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2017;4:CD001431. doi:10.1002/14651858.CD001431.pub5

26. Tanner NT, Banas E, Yeager D, Dai L, Hughes Halbert C, Silvestri GA. In-person and telephonic shared decision-making visits for people considering lung cancer screening: an assessment of decision quality. Chest. 2019;155(1):236-238. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2018.07.046

References

1. Zullig LL, Jackson GL, Dorn RA, et al. Cancer incidence among patients of the U.S. Veterans Affairs Health Care System. Mil Med. 2012;177(6):693-701. doi:10.7205/milmed-d-11-00434

2. Hoffman RM, Atallah RP, Struble RD, Badgett RG. Lung cancer screening with low-dose CT: a meta-analysis. J Gen Intern Med. 2020;35(10):3015-3025. doi:10.1007/s11606-020-05951-7

3. National Lung Screening Trial Research Team, Aberle DR, Adams AM, et al. Reduced lung-cancer mortality with low-dose computed tomographic screening. N Engl J Med. 2011;365(5):395-409. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1102873

4. Moyer VA, US Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for lung cancer: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement. Ann Intern Med. 2014;160(5):330-338. doi:10.7326/M13-2771

5. Maurice NM, Tanner NT. Lung cancer screening at the VA: past, present and future. Semin Oncol. 2022;S0093-7754(22)00041-0. doi:10.1053/j.seminoncol.2022.06.001

6. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Screening for lung cancer with low dose computed tomography (LDCT) (CAG-00439N). Published 2015. Accessed July 10, 2023. http://www.cms.gov/medicare-coverage-database/details/nca-decision-memo.aspx?NCAId=274

7. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Screening for lung cancer with low dose computed tomography (LDCT) (CAG-00439R). Published 2022. Accessed July 10, 2023. https://www.cms.gov/medicare-coverage-database/view/ncacal-decision-memo.aspx?proposed=N&ncaid=304

8. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine; Health and Medicine Division; Board on Health Care Services; National Cancer Policy Forum. Implementation of Lung Cancer Screening: Proceedings of a Workshop. The National Academies Press; November 17, 2016. doi:10.172216/23680

9. Bernstein E, Bade BC, Akgün KM, Rose MG, Cain HC. Barriers and facilitators to lung cancer screening and follow-up. Semin Oncol. 2022;S0093-7754(22)00058-6. doi:10.1053/j.seminoncol.2022.07.004

10. US Preventive Services Task Force, Krist AH, Davidson KW, et al. Screening for lung cancer: US Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement. JAMA. 2021;325(10):962-970. doi:10.1001/jama.2021.1117

11. Kinsinger LS, Atkins D, Provenzale D, Anderson C, Petzel R. Implementation of a new screening recommendation in health care: the Veterans Health Administration’s approach to lung cancer screening. Ann Intern Med. 2014;161(8):597-598. doi:10.7326/M14-1070

12. Lowenstein LM, Godoy MCB, Erasmus JJ, et al. Implementing decision coaching for lung cancer screening in the low-dose computed tomography setting. JCO Oncol Pract. 2020;16(8):e703-e725. doi:10.1200/JOP.19.00453

13. American College of Radiology Committee on Lung-RADS. Lung-RADS assessment categories 2022. Published November 2022. Accessed July 3, 2023. https://www.acr.org/-/media/ACR/Files/RADS/Lung-RADS/Lung-RADS-2022.pdf

14. Lowenstein LM, Richards VF, Leal VB, et al. A brief measure of smokers’ knowledge of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography. Prev Med Rep. 2016;4:351-356. doi:10.1016/j.pmedr.2016.07.008

15. Elwyn G, Barr PJ, Grande SW, Thompson R, Walsh T, Ozanne EM. Developing CollaboRATE: a fast and frugal patient-reported measure of shared decision making in clinical encounters. Patient Educ Couns. 2013;93(1):102-107. doi:10.1016/j.pec.2013.05.009

16. Barr PJ, Thompson R, Walsh T, Grande SW, Ozanne EM, Elwyn G. The psychometric properties of CollaboRATE: a fast and frugal patient-reported measure of the shared decision-making process. J Med Internet Res. 2014;16(1):e2. doi:10.2196/jmir.3085

17. Légaré F, Kearing S, Clay K, et al. Are you SURE?: Assessing patient decisional conflict with a 4-item screening test. Can Fam Physician. 2010;56(8):e308-e314.

18. MacMahon H, Naidich DP, Goo JM, et al. Guidelines for management of incidental pulmonary nodules detected on CT images: from the Fleischner Society 2017. Radiology. 2017;284(1):228-243. doi:10.1148/radiol.2017161659

19. Wiener RS, Koppelman E, Bolton R, et al. Patient and clinician perspectives on shared decision-making in early adopting lung cancer screening programs: a qualitative study. J Gen Intern Med. 2018;33(7):1035-1042. doi:10.1007/s11606-018-4350-9

20. Zeliadt SB, Heffner JL, Sayre G, et al. Attitudes and perceptions about smoking cessation in the context of lung cancer screening. JAMA Intern Med. 2015;175(9):1530-1537. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2015.3558

21. Mazzone PJ, White CS, Kazerooni EA, Smith RA, Thomson CC. Proposed quality metrics for lung cancer screening programs: a National Lung Cancer Roundtable Project. Chest. 2021;160(1):368-378. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2021.01.063

22. Mazzone PJ, Tenenbaum A, Seeley M, et al. Impact of a lung cancer screening counseling and shared decision-making visit. Chest. 2017;151(3):572-578. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2016.10.027

23. Reuland DS, Cubillos L, Brenner AT, Harris RP, Minish B, Pignone MP. A pre-post study testing a lung cancer screening decision aid in primary care. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2018;18(1):5. doi:10.1186/s12911-018-0582-1

24. Dharod A, Bellinger C, Foley K, Case LD, Miller D. The reach and feasibility of an interactive lung cancer screening decision aid delivered by patient portal. Appl Clin Inform. 2019;10(1):19-27. doi:10.1055/s-0038-1676807

25. Stacey D, Légaré F, Lewis K, et al. Decision aids for people facing health treatment or screening decisions. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2017;4:CD001431. doi:10.1002/14651858.CD001431.pub5

26. Tanner NT, Banas E, Yeager D, Dai L, Hughes Halbert C, Silvestri GA. In-person and telephonic shared decision-making visits for people considering lung cancer screening: an assessment of decision quality. Chest. 2019;155(1):236-238. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2018.07.046

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Applying a Text-Search Algorithm to Radiology Reports Can Find More Patients With Pulmonary Nodules Than Radiology Coding Alone (FULL)

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Applying a Text-Search Algorithm to Radiology Reports Can Find More Patients With Pulmonary Nodules Than Radiology Coding Alone

Rapid advances in imaging technology have led to better spatial resolution with lower radiation doses to patients. These advances have helped to increase the use of diagnostic chest imaging, particularly in emergency departments and oncology centers, and in screening for coronary artery disease. As a result, there has been an explosion of incidental findings on chest imaging—including indeterminate lung nodules.1,2

Lung nodules are rounded and well-circumscribed lung opacities (≤ 3 cm in diameter) that may present as solitary or multiple lesions in usually asymptomatic patients. Most lung nodules are benign, the result of an infectious or inflammatory process. Nodules that are ≤ 8 mm in diameter, unless they show increase in size over time, often can be safely followed with imaging surveillance. In contrast, lung nodules > 8 mm could represent an early-stage lung cancer, especially among patients with high-risk for developing lung cancer (ie, those with advanced age, heavy tobacco abuse, or emphysema) and should be further assessed with close imaging surveillance, either chest computed tomography (CT) alone or positron-emission tomography (PET)/CT, or tissue biopsy, based on the underlying likelihood of malignancy.

Patients who receive an early-stage lung cancer diagnosis can be offered curative treatments leading to improved 5-year survival rates.3,4 Consequently, health care systems need to be able to identify these nodules accurately, in order to categorize and manage them accordingly to the Fleischner radiographic and American College of Chest Physicians clinical guidelines.5,6 Unfortunately, many hospitals struggle to identify patients with incidental lung nodules found during diagnostic chest and abdominal imaging, due in part to poor adherence to Fleischner guidelines among radiologists for categorizing pulmonary nodules.7,8

The Veterans Health Administration (VHA) system is interested in effectively detecting patients with incidental lung nodules. Veterans have a higher risk of developing lung cancer when compared with the entire US population, mainly due to a higher incidence of tobacco use.6 The prevalence of lung nodules among veterans with significant risk factors for lung cancer is about 60% nationwide, and up to 85% in the Midwest, due to the high prevalence of histoplasmosis.7 However, only a small percentage of these nodules represent an early stage primary lung cancer.

Several Veterans Integrated Service Networks (VISNs) in the VHA use a radiology diagnostic code to systematically identify imaging studies with presence of lung nodules. In VISN 23, which includes Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa, and portions of neighboring states, the code used to identify these radiology studies is 44. However, there is high variability in the reporting and coding of imaging studies among radiologists, which could lead to misclassifying patients with lung nodules.8

Some studies suggest that using an automated text search algorithm within radiology reports can be a highly effective strategy to identify patients with lung nodules.9,10 In this study, we compared the diagnostic performance of a newly developed text search algorithm applied to radiology reports with the current standard practice of using a radiology diagnostic code for identifying patients with lung nodules at the Iowa City US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Health Care System (ICVAHCS) hospital in Iowa.

 

 

Methods

Since 2014, The ICVAHCS has used a radiology diagnostic code to identify any imaging studies with lung nodules. The radiologist enters “44” at the end of the reading process using the Nuance Powerscribe 360 radiation reporting system. The code is uploaded into the VHA Corporate Data Warehouse (CDW), and it is located within the radiology exam domain. This strategy was created and implemented by the Minneapolis VA Health Care System in Minnesota for all the VA hospitals in VISN 23. A lung nodule registry nurse was provided with a list of radiology studies flagged with this radiology diagnostic code every 2 weeks. A chart review was then performed for all these studies to determine the presence of a lung nodule. When detected, the ordering health care provider was alerted and given recommendations for managing the nodule.

We initially searched for the radiology studies with a presumptive lung nodule using the radiology code 44 within the CDW. Separately, we applied the text search strategy only to radiology reports from chest and abdomen studies (ie, X-rays, CT, magnetic resonance imaging [MRI], and PET) that contained any of the keyword phrases. The text search strategy was modeled based on a natural language processing (NLP) algorithm developed by the Puget Sound VA Healthcare System in Seattle, Washington to identify lung nodules on radiology reports.9 Our algorithm included a series of text searches using Microsoft SQL. After several simulations using a random group of radiology reports, we chose the keywords: “lung AND nodul”; “pulm AND nodul”; “pulm AND mass”; “lung AND mass”; and “ground glass”. We selected only chest and abdomen studies because on several simulations using a random group of radiology reports, the vast majority of lung nodules were identified on chest and abdomen imaging studies. Also, it would not have been feasible to chart review the approximately 30,000 total radiology reports that were generated during the study period.

From January 1, 2016 through November 30, 2016, we applied both search strategies independently: radiology diagnostic code for lung nodules to all imaging studies, and text search to all radiology reports of chest and abdomen imaging studies in the CDW (Figure). We also collected demographic (eg, age, sex, race, rurality) and clinical (eg, medical comorbidities, tobacco use) information that were uploaded to the database automatically from CDW using International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Edition and demographic codes. The VHA uses the Rural-Urban Commuting Areas (RUCA) system to define rurality, which takes into account population density and how closely a community is linked socioeconomically to larger urban centers.11 The protocol was reviewed and approved by the institutional review board of ICVAHCS and the University of Iowa.



The presence of a lung nodule was established by having the lung nodule registry nurse manually review the charts of every patient with a radiology report identified by either code 44 or the text search algorithm. The goal was to ensure that our text search strategy identified all reports with a code 44 to be compliant with VISN expectations. Cases in which a lung nodule was described in the radiology report were considered true positives, and those without a lung nodule description were considered false positives.

We compared the sociodemographic and clinical characteristics of patients with lung nodules between those identified with both code 44 and the text search and those identified with the text search alone. We used χ2 tests for categorical variables (eg, age, gender, RUCA, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), smoking status) and t tests for continuous variables (eg, Charlson comorbidity score). A P value ≤ .05 was considered statistically significant. To assess the yield of each search strategy, we determined the number of patients with lung nodules detected by the text search and the radiology diagnostic code. We also calculated the positive predictive value (PPV) and 95% CI of each search strategy.

 

 

Results

We identified 12,983 radiology studies that required manual review during the study period. We confirmed that 8,516 imaging studies had lung nodules, representing 2,912 patients. Subjects with lung nodules were predominantly male (96%), aged between 60 and 79 years (71%), and lived in a rural area (72%). More than 50% of these patients had COPD and over a third were current smokers (Table 1). The text search algorithm identified all of the patients identified by the radiology diagnostic code (n = 1,251). It also identified an additional 1,661 patients with lung nodules that otherwise would have been missed by the radiology code. Compared with those identified only by the text search, those identified by both the radiology coding and text search were older, had lower Charlson comorbidity scores, and were more likely to be a current smoker.

The text search algorithm identified more than twice as many patients with potential lung nodules compared with the radiology diagnostic code (4,071 vs 1,363) (Table 2). However, the text search algorithm was associated with a much higher number of false positives than was the diagnostic code (1,159 vs 112) and a lower PPV (72% [95% CI, 70.6-73.4] vs 92% [95% CI, 90.6-93.4], respectively). The text search algorithm identified 130 patients with lung nodules of moderate to high risk for malignancy (> 8 mm diameter) that were not identified by the radiology code. When the PPV of each search strategy was calculated based on imaging studies with nodules (most patients had > 1 imaging study), the results remained similar (98% for radiology code and 66% for text search). A larger proportion of the lung nodules detected by code 44 vs the text search algorithm were from CT chest studies.

Discussion

In a population of predominantly older male veterans with significant risk factors for lung cancer and high incidence of incidental lung nodules, applying a text search algorithm on radiology reports identified a substantial number of patients with lung nodules, including some with nodules > 8 mm, that were missed by the radiologist-generated code.9,10 Improving the yield of detection for lung nodules in a population with high risk for lung cancer would increase the likelihood of detecting patients with potentially curable early-stage lung cancers, decreasing lung cancer mortality.

The reasons for the high number of patients with lung nodules missed by the radiology code are unclear. Potential explanations may include the lack of standardization of imaging reports by the radiologists (ie, only 21% of chest CTs used a standardized template describing a lung nodule in our study), a problem well recognized both within and outside VHA.8,12

The text search algorithm identified more patients with lung nodules but had a higher rate of false positives when compared with the diagnostic code. The high rate of false positives resulted in more charts to review and an increased workload for the lung nodule registry team. The challenges presented by an increased workload should be balanced against the potential harms of missing nodules that develop into advanced cancer.

 

 

Text Search Adjustments

Refining the text search criteria algorithm and the chart review process may decrease the rate of false positives significantly without affecting detection of lung nodules. In subsequent simulations, we found that by adding an exclusion criteria to text search algorithm to remove reports with specific keywords we could substantially reduce the number of false positive reports without affecting the detection rate of the lung nodules. These exclusion criteria would exclude any reports that: (1) contain “nodul” within the next 8 words after mentioning “no”; (2) contain “clear” within the next 8 words after mentioning “lung” in the text (eg, “lungs appear to be clear”); (3) contain “clear” within the next 4 words after mentioning “otherwise” in the text (eg, “otherwise appear to be clear”). Based on our study results, we further refined the text search strategy by limiting the search to only chest imaging studies. When we applied the revised algorithm to a random sample of imaging reports, we found all the code 44 radiology reports were still captured, but we were able to reduce the number of radiology reports needing review by about 80%.

Although classification approaches are being refined to improve radiology performance in multiple categories of nodules, this study suggests that alternative approaches based on text algorithms can improve the capture of pulmonary nodules that require surveillance. These algorithms also can be used to augment radiologist reporting systems. This represents an investment in resources to build a team that should include a bioinformatics specialist, lung nodule registry personnel (review charts of the detected imaging studies with lung nodules, populating the lung nodule database, and determining and tracking the need of imaging follow up), a lung nodule clinic nurse coordinator, and a dedicated lung nodule clinic pulmonologist.

Radiology departments could employ this text search approach to identify missed nodules and use an audit and feedback system to train radiologists to code lung nodules consistently at the time of the initial reading to avoid delays in identifying patients with nodules. Alternatively, the more widespread use of a standardized CT chest radiology reports using Fleischner or the American College of Radiology Lung Imaging Reporting and Data System (Lung RADS) templates might improve the detection of patients with lung nodules.5,13,14

 

 


The VHA system should have an effective strategy for identifying incidental lung nodules during routine radiology examinations. Relying only on radiologists to identify and code pulmonary nodules can lead to missing a significant number of patients with lung nodules and some patients with early stage lung cancer who could receive curative therapy.12,14-16 The use of a standardized algorithm, like a text search strategy, might decrease the risk of variation in the execution and result in a more sensitive detection of patients with lung nodules. The text search strategy might be easily implemented and shared with other hospitals both within and outside the VHA.

Limitations

This study was performed in a single VHA hospital and the findings may not be generalizable to other settings of care. Second, our study design is susceptible to work-up bias because the results of a diagnostic test (eg, chest or abdomen imaging) affected whether the chart review was used to verify the test result. It was not feasible to review the patient records of all radiology studies done at the facility during the study period, consequently complete 2 × 2 tables could not be created to calculate sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value.

Conclusion

A text search algorithm of radiology reports increased the detection of patients with lung nodules when compared with radiology diagnostic coding alone. However, the improved detection was associated with a higher rate of false positives, which requires manually reviewing a larger number of patient’s chart reports. Future research and quality improvement should focus on standardizing the radiology reporting process and improving the efficiency and reliability of follow up and tracking of incidental lung nodules.

Acknowledgments

The work reported here was supported by a grant from the Office of Rural Health (N32-FY16Q1-S1-P01577), US Department of Veterans Affairs, Veterans Health Administration. We also had the support from the Veterans Rural Health Resource Center-Iowa City, and the Health Services Research and Development (HSR&D) Service through the Comprehensive Access and Delivery Research and Evaluation (CADRE) Center (REA 09-220).

References

1. Jacobs PC, Mali WP, Grobbee DE, van der Graaf Y. Prevalence of incidental findings in computed tomographic screening of the chest: a systematic review. Journal of computer assisted tomography. 2008;32(2):214-221.

2. Frank L, Quint LE. Chest CT incidentalomas: thyroid lesions, enlarged mediastinal lymph nodes, and lung nodules. Cancer Imaging. 2012;12(1):41-48.

3. National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. Cancer stat facts: lung and bronchus cancer. https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/lungb.html. Accessed April 8, 2020.

4. Alberg AJ, Brock MV, Ford JG, Samet JM, Spivack SD. Epidemiology of lung cancer: Diagnosis and management of lung cancer, 3rd ed: American College of Chest Physicians evidence-based clinical practice guidelines. Chest. 2013;143(5 Suppl):e1S-e29S.

5. MacMahon H, Naidich DP, Goo JM, et al. Guidelines for Management of Incidental Pulmonary Nodules Detected on CT Images: From the Fleischner Society 2017. Radiology. 2017;284(1):228-243.

6. Zullig LL, Jackson GL, Dorn RA, et al. Cancer incidence among patients of the U.S. Veterans Affairs Health Care System. Mil Med. 2012;177(6):693-701.

7. Kinsinger LS, Anderson C, Kim J, et al. Implementation of lung cancer screening in the Veterans Health Administration. JAMA Intern Med. 2017;177(3):399-406.

8. Iqbal MN, Stott E, Huml AM, et al. What’s in a name? Factors associated with documentation and evaluation of incidental pulmonary nodules. Ann Am Thorac Soc. 2016;13(10):1704-1711.

9. Farjah F, Halgrim S, Buist DS, et al. An automated method for identifying individuals with a lung nodule can be feasibly implemented across health systems. Egems (Wash DC). 2016;4(1):1254.

10. Danforth KN, Early MI, Ngan S, Kosco AE, Zheng C, Gould MK. Automated identification of patients with pulmonary nodules in an integrated health system using administrative health plan data, radiology reports, and natural language processing. J Thorac Oncol. 2012;7(8):1257-1262.

11. US Department of Veterans Affairs, Office of Rural Health. https://www.ruralhealth.va.gov/aboutus/ruralvets.asp. Updated January 28, 2020. Accessed April 8, 2020.

12. Blagev DP, Lloyd JF, Conner K, et al. Follow-up of incidental pulmonary nodules and the radiology report. J Am Coll Radiol. 2016;13(2 suppl):R18-R24.

13. Eisenberg RL, Fleischner S. Ways to improve radiologists’ adherence to Fleischner Society guidelines for management of pulmonary nodules. J Am Coll Radiol. 2013;10(6):439-441.

14. Aberle DR. Implementing lung cancer screening: the US experience. Clin Radiol. 2017;72(5):401-406.

15. Gould MK, Donington J, Lynch WR, et al. Evaluation of individuals with pulmonary nodules: when is it lung cancer? Diagnosis and management of lung cancer, 3rd ed: American College of Chest Physicians evidence-based clinical practice guidelines. Chest. 2013;143(5 Suppl):e93S-e120S.

16. Callister ME, Baldwin DR. How should pulmonary nodules be optimally investigated and managed? Lung Cancer. 2016;91:48-55.

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Rolando Sanchez is a Clinical Assistant Professor of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine; Peter Kaboli is a Professor of Internal Medicine; and Richard Hoffman is a Professor of Internal Medicine, all at the University of Iowa Carver College of Medicine in Iowa City. George Bailey is a Research Data Manager; Julie Lang is a Registered Nurse and Research Coordinator; and Peter Kaboli is an Associate Investigator, all in the Center for Access and Delivery Research and Evaluation (CADRE) at the Iowa City VA Healthcare System. Steven Zeliadt is a Research Professor of Public Health at the Seattle-Denver Center of Innovation for Veteran-Centered and Value-Driven Care, VA Puget Sound Health Care System and the University of Washington School of Public Health in Seattle.

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Rolando Sanchez is a Clinical Assistant Professor of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine; Peter Kaboli is a Professor of Internal Medicine; and Richard Hoffman is a Professor of Internal Medicine, all at the University of Iowa Carver College of Medicine in Iowa City. George Bailey is a Research Data Manager; Julie Lang is a Registered Nurse and Research Coordinator; and Peter Kaboli is an Associate Investigator, all in the Center for Access and Delivery Research and Evaluation (CADRE) at the Iowa City VA Healthcare System. Steven Zeliadt is a Research Professor of Public Health at the Seattle-Denver Center of Innovation for Veteran-Centered and Value-Driven Care, VA Puget Sound Health Care System and the University of Washington School of Public Health in Seattle.

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The authors report no actual or potential conflicts of interest with regard to the article.

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The opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of Federal Practitioner, Frontline Medical Communications Inc., the U.S. Government, or any of its agencies.

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Rolando Sanchez is a Clinical Assistant Professor of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine; Peter Kaboli is a Professor of Internal Medicine; and Richard Hoffman is a Professor of Internal Medicine, all at the University of Iowa Carver College of Medicine in Iowa City. George Bailey is a Research Data Manager; Julie Lang is a Registered Nurse and Research Coordinator; and Peter Kaboli is an Associate Investigator, all in the Center for Access and Delivery Research and Evaluation (CADRE) at the Iowa City VA Healthcare System. Steven Zeliadt is a Research Professor of Public Health at the Seattle-Denver Center of Innovation for Veteran-Centered and Value-Driven Care, VA Puget Sound Health Care System and the University of Washington School of Public Health in Seattle.

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The authors report no actual or potential conflicts of interest with regard to the article.

Disclaimer
The opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of Federal Practitioner, Frontline Medical Communications Inc., the U.S. Government, or any of its agencies.

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Rapid advances in imaging technology have led to better spatial resolution with lower radiation doses to patients. These advances have helped to increase the use of diagnostic chest imaging, particularly in emergency departments and oncology centers, and in screening for coronary artery disease. As a result, there has been an explosion of incidental findings on chest imaging—including indeterminate lung nodules.1,2

Lung nodules are rounded and well-circumscribed lung opacities (≤ 3 cm in diameter) that may present as solitary or multiple lesions in usually asymptomatic patients. Most lung nodules are benign, the result of an infectious or inflammatory process. Nodules that are ≤ 8 mm in diameter, unless they show increase in size over time, often can be safely followed with imaging surveillance. In contrast, lung nodules > 8 mm could represent an early-stage lung cancer, especially among patients with high-risk for developing lung cancer (ie, those with advanced age, heavy tobacco abuse, or emphysema) and should be further assessed with close imaging surveillance, either chest computed tomography (CT) alone or positron-emission tomography (PET)/CT, or tissue biopsy, based on the underlying likelihood of malignancy.

Patients who receive an early-stage lung cancer diagnosis can be offered curative treatments leading to improved 5-year survival rates.3,4 Consequently, health care systems need to be able to identify these nodules accurately, in order to categorize and manage them accordingly to the Fleischner radiographic and American College of Chest Physicians clinical guidelines.5,6 Unfortunately, many hospitals struggle to identify patients with incidental lung nodules found during diagnostic chest and abdominal imaging, due in part to poor adherence to Fleischner guidelines among radiologists for categorizing pulmonary nodules.7,8

The Veterans Health Administration (VHA) system is interested in effectively detecting patients with incidental lung nodules. Veterans have a higher risk of developing lung cancer when compared with the entire US population, mainly due to a higher incidence of tobacco use.6 The prevalence of lung nodules among veterans with significant risk factors for lung cancer is about 60% nationwide, and up to 85% in the Midwest, due to the high prevalence of histoplasmosis.7 However, only a small percentage of these nodules represent an early stage primary lung cancer.

Several Veterans Integrated Service Networks (VISNs) in the VHA use a radiology diagnostic code to systematically identify imaging studies with presence of lung nodules. In VISN 23, which includes Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa, and portions of neighboring states, the code used to identify these radiology studies is 44. However, there is high variability in the reporting and coding of imaging studies among radiologists, which could lead to misclassifying patients with lung nodules.8

Some studies suggest that using an automated text search algorithm within radiology reports can be a highly effective strategy to identify patients with lung nodules.9,10 In this study, we compared the diagnostic performance of a newly developed text search algorithm applied to radiology reports with the current standard practice of using a radiology diagnostic code for identifying patients with lung nodules at the Iowa City US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Health Care System (ICVAHCS) hospital in Iowa.

 

 

Methods

Since 2014, The ICVAHCS has used a radiology diagnostic code to identify any imaging studies with lung nodules. The radiologist enters “44” at the end of the reading process using the Nuance Powerscribe 360 radiation reporting system. The code is uploaded into the VHA Corporate Data Warehouse (CDW), and it is located within the radiology exam domain. This strategy was created and implemented by the Minneapolis VA Health Care System in Minnesota for all the VA hospitals in VISN 23. A lung nodule registry nurse was provided with a list of radiology studies flagged with this radiology diagnostic code every 2 weeks. A chart review was then performed for all these studies to determine the presence of a lung nodule. When detected, the ordering health care provider was alerted and given recommendations for managing the nodule.

We initially searched for the radiology studies with a presumptive lung nodule using the radiology code 44 within the CDW. Separately, we applied the text search strategy only to radiology reports from chest and abdomen studies (ie, X-rays, CT, magnetic resonance imaging [MRI], and PET) that contained any of the keyword phrases. The text search strategy was modeled based on a natural language processing (NLP) algorithm developed by the Puget Sound VA Healthcare System in Seattle, Washington to identify lung nodules on radiology reports.9 Our algorithm included a series of text searches using Microsoft SQL. After several simulations using a random group of radiology reports, we chose the keywords: “lung AND nodul”; “pulm AND nodul”; “pulm AND mass”; “lung AND mass”; and “ground glass”. We selected only chest and abdomen studies because on several simulations using a random group of radiology reports, the vast majority of lung nodules were identified on chest and abdomen imaging studies. Also, it would not have been feasible to chart review the approximately 30,000 total radiology reports that were generated during the study period.

From January 1, 2016 through November 30, 2016, we applied both search strategies independently: radiology diagnostic code for lung nodules to all imaging studies, and text search to all radiology reports of chest and abdomen imaging studies in the CDW (Figure). We also collected demographic (eg, age, sex, race, rurality) and clinical (eg, medical comorbidities, tobacco use) information that were uploaded to the database automatically from CDW using International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Edition and demographic codes. The VHA uses the Rural-Urban Commuting Areas (RUCA) system to define rurality, which takes into account population density and how closely a community is linked socioeconomically to larger urban centers.11 The protocol was reviewed and approved by the institutional review board of ICVAHCS and the University of Iowa.



The presence of a lung nodule was established by having the lung nodule registry nurse manually review the charts of every patient with a radiology report identified by either code 44 or the text search algorithm. The goal was to ensure that our text search strategy identified all reports with a code 44 to be compliant with VISN expectations. Cases in which a lung nodule was described in the radiology report were considered true positives, and those without a lung nodule description were considered false positives.

We compared the sociodemographic and clinical characteristics of patients with lung nodules between those identified with both code 44 and the text search and those identified with the text search alone. We used χ2 tests for categorical variables (eg, age, gender, RUCA, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), smoking status) and t tests for continuous variables (eg, Charlson comorbidity score). A P value ≤ .05 was considered statistically significant. To assess the yield of each search strategy, we determined the number of patients with lung nodules detected by the text search and the radiology diagnostic code. We also calculated the positive predictive value (PPV) and 95% CI of each search strategy.

 

 

Results

We identified 12,983 radiology studies that required manual review during the study period. We confirmed that 8,516 imaging studies had lung nodules, representing 2,912 patients. Subjects with lung nodules were predominantly male (96%), aged between 60 and 79 years (71%), and lived in a rural area (72%). More than 50% of these patients had COPD and over a third were current smokers (Table 1). The text search algorithm identified all of the patients identified by the radiology diagnostic code (n = 1,251). It also identified an additional 1,661 patients with lung nodules that otherwise would have been missed by the radiology code. Compared with those identified only by the text search, those identified by both the radiology coding and text search were older, had lower Charlson comorbidity scores, and were more likely to be a current smoker.

The text search algorithm identified more than twice as many patients with potential lung nodules compared with the radiology diagnostic code (4,071 vs 1,363) (Table 2). However, the text search algorithm was associated with a much higher number of false positives than was the diagnostic code (1,159 vs 112) and a lower PPV (72% [95% CI, 70.6-73.4] vs 92% [95% CI, 90.6-93.4], respectively). The text search algorithm identified 130 patients with lung nodules of moderate to high risk for malignancy (> 8 mm diameter) that were not identified by the radiology code. When the PPV of each search strategy was calculated based on imaging studies with nodules (most patients had > 1 imaging study), the results remained similar (98% for radiology code and 66% for text search). A larger proportion of the lung nodules detected by code 44 vs the text search algorithm were from CT chest studies.

Discussion

In a population of predominantly older male veterans with significant risk factors for lung cancer and high incidence of incidental lung nodules, applying a text search algorithm on radiology reports identified a substantial number of patients with lung nodules, including some with nodules > 8 mm, that were missed by the radiologist-generated code.9,10 Improving the yield of detection for lung nodules in a population with high risk for lung cancer would increase the likelihood of detecting patients with potentially curable early-stage lung cancers, decreasing lung cancer mortality.

The reasons for the high number of patients with lung nodules missed by the radiology code are unclear. Potential explanations may include the lack of standardization of imaging reports by the radiologists (ie, only 21% of chest CTs used a standardized template describing a lung nodule in our study), a problem well recognized both within and outside VHA.8,12

The text search algorithm identified more patients with lung nodules but had a higher rate of false positives when compared with the diagnostic code. The high rate of false positives resulted in more charts to review and an increased workload for the lung nodule registry team. The challenges presented by an increased workload should be balanced against the potential harms of missing nodules that develop into advanced cancer.

 

 

Text Search Adjustments

Refining the text search criteria algorithm and the chart review process may decrease the rate of false positives significantly without affecting detection of lung nodules. In subsequent simulations, we found that by adding an exclusion criteria to text search algorithm to remove reports with specific keywords we could substantially reduce the number of false positive reports without affecting the detection rate of the lung nodules. These exclusion criteria would exclude any reports that: (1) contain “nodul” within the next 8 words after mentioning “no”; (2) contain “clear” within the next 8 words after mentioning “lung” in the text (eg, “lungs appear to be clear”); (3) contain “clear” within the next 4 words after mentioning “otherwise” in the text (eg, “otherwise appear to be clear”). Based on our study results, we further refined the text search strategy by limiting the search to only chest imaging studies. When we applied the revised algorithm to a random sample of imaging reports, we found all the code 44 radiology reports were still captured, but we were able to reduce the number of radiology reports needing review by about 80%.

Although classification approaches are being refined to improve radiology performance in multiple categories of nodules, this study suggests that alternative approaches based on text algorithms can improve the capture of pulmonary nodules that require surveillance. These algorithms also can be used to augment radiologist reporting systems. This represents an investment in resources to build a team that should include a bioinformatics specialist, lung nodule registry personnel (review charts of the detected imaging studies with lung nodules, populating the lung nodule database, and determining and tracking the need of imaging follow up), a lung nodule clinic nurse coordinator, and a dedicated lung nodule clinic pulmonologist.

Radiology departments could employ this text search approach to identify missed nodules and use an audit and feedback system to train radiologists to code lung nodules consistently at the time of the initial reading to avoid delays in identifying patients with nodules. Alternatively, the more widespread use of a standardized CT chest radiology reports using Fleischner or the American College of Radiology Lung Imaging Reporting and Data System (Lung RADS) templates might improve the detection of patients with lung nodules.5,13,14

 

 


The VHA system should have an effective strategy for identifying incidental lung nodules during routine radiology examinations. Relying only on radiologists to identify and code pulmonary nodules can lead to missing a significant number of patients with lung nodules and some patients with early stage lung cancer who could receive curative therapy.12,14-16 The use of a standardized algorithm, like a text search strategy, might decrease the risk of variation in the execution and result in a more sensitive detection of patients with lung nodules. The text search strategy might be easily implemented and shared with other hospitals both within and outside the VHA.

Limitations

This study was performed in a single VHA hospital and the findings may not be generalizable to other settings of care. Second, our study design is susceptible to work-up bias because the results of a diagnostic test (eg, chest or abdomen imaging) affected whether the chart review was used to verify the test result. It was not feasible to review the patient records of all radiology studies done at the facility during the study period, consequently complete 2 × 2 tables could not be created to calculate sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value.

Conclusion

A text search algorithm of radiology reports increased the detection of patients with lung nodules when compared with radiology diagnostic coding alone. However, the improved detection was associated with a higher rate of false positives, which requires manually reviewing a larger number of patient’s chart reports. Future research and quality improvement should focus on standardizing the radiology reporting process and improving the efficiency and reliability of follow up and tracking of incidental lung nodules.

Acknowledgments

The work reported here was supported by a grant from the Office of Rural Health (N32-FY16Q1-S1-P01577), US Department of Veterans Affairs, Veterans Health Administration. We also had the support from the Veterans Rural Health Resource Center-Iowa City, and the Health Services Research and Development (HSR&D) Service through the Comprehensive Access and Delivery Research and Evaluation (CADRE) Center (REA 09-220).

Rapid advances in imaging technology have led to better spatial resolution with lower radiation doses to patients. These advances have helped to increase the use of diagnostic chest imaging, particularly in emergency departments and oncology centers, and in screening for coronary artery disease. As a result, there has been an explosion of incidental findings on chest imaging—including indeterminate lung nodules.1,2

Lung nodules are rounded and well-circumscribed lung opacities (≤ 3 cm in diameter) that may present as solitary or multiple lesions in usually asymptomatic patients. Most lung nodules are benign, the result of an infectious or inflammatory process. Nodules that are ≤ 8 mm in diameter, unless they show increase in size over time, often can be safely followed with imaging surveillance. In contrast, lung nodules > 8 mm could represent an early-stage lung cancer, especially among patients with high-risk for developing lung cancer (ie, those with advanced age, heavy tobacco abuse, or emphysema) and should be further assessed with close imaging surveillance, either chest computed tomography (CT) alone or positron-emission tomography (PET)/CT, or tissue biopsy, based on the underlying likelihood of malignancy.

Patients who receive an early-stage lung cancer diagnosis can be offered curative treatments leading to improved 5-year survival rates.3,4 Consequently, health care systems need to be able to identify these nodules accurately, in order to categorize and manage them accordingly to the Fleischner radiographic and American College of Chest Physicians clinical guidelines.5,6 Unfortunately, many hospitals struggle to identify patients with incidental lung nodules found during diagnostic chest and abdominal imaging, due in part to poor adherence to Fleischner guidelines among radiologists for categorizing pulmonary nodules.7,8

The Veterans Health Administration (VHA) system is interested in effectively detecting patients with incidental lung nodules. Veterans have a higher risk of developing lung cancer when compared with the entire US population, mainly due to a higher incidence of tobacco use.6 The prevalence of lung nodules among veterans with significant risk factors for lung cancer is about 60% nationwide, and up to 85% in the Midwest, due to the high prevalence of histoplasmosis.7 However, only a small percentage of these nodules represent an early stage primary lung cancer.

Several Veterans Integrated Service Networks (VISNs) in the VHA use a radiology diagnostic code to systematically identify imaging studies with presence of lung nodules. In VISN 23, which includes Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa, and portions of neighboring states, the code used to identify these radiology studies is 44. However, there is high variability in the reporting and coding of imaging studies among radiologists, which could lead to misclassifying patients with lung nodules.8

Some studies suggest that using an automated text search algorithm within radiology reports can be a highly effective strategy to identify patients with lung nodules.9,10 In this study, we compared the diagnostic performance of a newly developed text search algorithm applied to radiology reports with the current standard practice of using a radiology diagnostic code for identifying patients with lung nodules at the Iowa City US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Health Care System (ICVAHCS) hospital in Iowa.

 

 

Methods

Since 2014, The ICVAHCS has used a radiology diagnostic code to identify any imaging studies with lung nodules. The radiologist enters “44” at the end of the reading process using the Nuance Powerscribe 360 radiation reporting system. The code is uploaded into the VHA Corporate Data Warehouse (CDW), and it is located within the radiology exam domain. This strategy was created and implemented by the Minneapolis VA Health Care System in Minnesota for all the VA hospitals in VISN 23. A lung nodule registry nurse was provided with a list of radiology studies flagged with this radiology diagnostic code every 2 weeks. A chart review was then performed for all these studies to determine the presence of a lung nodule. When detected, the ordering health care provider was alerted and given recommendations for managing the nodule.

We initially searched for the radiology studies with a presumptive lung nodule using the radiology code 44 within the CDW. Separately, we applied the text search strategy only to radiology reports from chest and abdomen studies (ie, X-rays, CT, magnetic resonance imaging [MRI], and PET) that contained any of the keyword phrases. The text search strategy was modeled based on a natural language processing (NLP) algorithm developed by the Puget Sound VA Healthcare System in Seattle, Washington to identify lung nodules on radiology reports.9 Our algorithm included a series of text searches using Microsoft SQL. After several simulations using a random group of radiology reports, we chose the keywords: “lung AND nodul”; “pulm AND nodul”; “pulm AND mass”; “lung AND mass”; and “ground glass”. We selected only chest and abdomen studies because on several simulations using a random group of radiology reports, the vast majority of lung nodules were identified on chest and abdomen imaging studies. Also, it would not have been feasible to chart review the approximately 30,000 total radiology reports that were generated during the study period.

From January 1, 2016 through November 30, 2016, we applied both search strategies independently: radiology diagnostic code for lung nodules to all imaging studies, and text search to all radiology reports of chest and abdomen imaging studies in the CDW (Figure). We also collected demographic (eg, age, sex, race, rurality) and clinical (eg, medical comorbidities, tobacco use) information that were uploaded to the database automatically from CDW using International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Edition and demographic codes. The VHA uses the Rural-Urban Commuting Areas (RUCA) system to define rurality, which takes into account population density and how closely a community is linked socioeconomically to larger urban centers.11 The protocol was reviewed and approved by the institutional review board of ICVAHCS and the University of Iowa.



The presence of a lung nodule was established by having the lung nodule registry nurse manually review the charts of every patient with a radiology report identified by either code 44 or the text search algorithm. The goal was to ensure that our text search strategy identified all reports with a code 44 to be compliant with VISN expectations. Cases in which a lung nodule was described in the radiology report were considered true positives, and those without a lung nodule description were considered false positives.

We compared the sociodemographic and clinical characteristics of patients with lung nodules between those identified with both code 44 and the text search and those identified with the text search alone. We used χ2 tests for categorical variables (eg, age, gender, RUCA, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), smoking status) and t tests for continuous variables (eg, Charlson comorbidity score). A P value ≤ .05 was considered statistically significant. To assess the yield of each search strategy, we determined the number of patients with lung nodules detected by the text search and the radiology diagnostic code. We also calculated the positive predictive value (PPV) and 95% CI of each search strategy.

 

 

Results

We identified 12,983 radiology studies that required manual review during the study period. We confirmed that 8,516 imaging studies had lung nodules, representing 2,912 patients. Subjects with lung nodules were predominantly male (96%), aged between 60 and 79 years (71%), and lived in a rural area (72%). More than 50% of these patients had COPD and over a third were current smokers (Table 1). The text search algorithm identified all of the patients identified by the radiology diagnostic code (n = 1,251). It also identified an additional 1,661 patients with lung nodules that otherwise would have been missed by the radiology code. Compared with those identified only by the text search, those identified by both the radiology coding and text search were older, had lower Charlson comorbidity scores, and were more likely to be a current smoker.

The text search algorithm identified more than twice as many patients with potential lung nodules compared with the radiology diagnostic code (4,071 vs 1,363) (Table 2). However, the text search algorithm was associated with a much higher number of false positives than was the diagnostic code (1,159 vs 112) and a lower PPV (72% [95% CI, 70.6-73.4] vs 92% [95% CI, 90.6-93.4], respectively). The text search algorithm identified 130 patients with lung nodules of moderate to high risk for malignancy (> 8 mm diameter) that were not identified by the radiology code. When the PPV of each search strategy was calculated based on imaging studies with nodules (most patients had > 1 imaging study), the results remained similar (98% for radiology code and 66% for text search). A larger proportion of the lung nodules detected by code 44 vs the text search algorithm were from CT chest studies.

Discussion

In a population of predominantly older male veterans with significant risk factors for lung cancer and high incidence of incidental lung nodules, applying a text search algorithm on radiology reports identified a substantial number of patients with lung nodules, including some with nodules > 8 mm, that were missed by the radiologist-generated code.9,10 Improving the yield of detection for lung nodules in a population with high risk for lung cancer would increase the likelihood of detecting patients with potentially curable early-stage lung cancers, decreasing lung cancer mortality.

The reasons for the high number of patients with lung nodules missed by the radiology code are unclear. Potential explanations may include the lack of standardization of imaging reports by the radiologists (ie, only 21% of chest CTs used a standardized template describing a lung nodule in our study), a problem well recognized both within and outside VHA.8,12

The text search algorithm identified more patients with lung nodules but had a higher rate of false positives when compared with the diagnostic code. The high rate of false positives resulted in more charts to review and an increased workload for the lung nodule registry team. The challenges presented by an increased workload should be balanced against the potential harms of missing nodules that develop into advanced cancer.

 

 

Text Search Adjustments

Refining the text search criteria algorithm and the chart review process may decrease the rate of false positives significantly without affecting detection of lung nodules. In subsequent simulations, we found that by adding an exclusion criteria to text search algorithm to remove reports with specific keywords we could substantially reduce the number of false positive reports without affecting the detection rate of the lung nodules. These exclusion criteria would exclude any reports that: (1) contain “nodul” within the next 8 words after mentioning “no”; (2) contain “clear” within the next 8 words after mentioning “lung” in the text (eg, “lungs appear to be clear”); (3) contain “clear” within the next 4 words after mentioning “otherwise” in the text (eg, “otherwise appear to be clear”). Based on our study results, we further refined the text search strategy by limiting the search to only chest imaging studies. When we applied the revised algorithm to a random sample of imaging reports, we found all the code 44 radiology reports were still captured, but we were able to reduce the number of radiology reports needing review by about 80%.

Although classification approaches are being refined to improve radiology performance in multiple categories of nodules, this study suggests that alternative approaches based on text algorithms can improve the capture of pulmonary nodules that require surveillance. These algorithms also can be used to augment radiologist reporting systems. This represents an investment in resources to build a team that should include a bioinformatics specialist, lung nodule registry personnel (review charts of the detected imaging studies with lung nodules, populating the lung nodule database, and determining and tracking the need of imaging follow up), a lung nodule clinic nurse coordinator, and a dedicated lung nodule clinic pulmonologist.

Radiology departments could employ this text search approach to identify missed nodules and use an audit and feedback system to train radiologists to code lung nodules consistently at the time of the initial reading to avoid delays in identifying patients with nodules. Alternatively, the more widespread use of a standardized CT chest radiology reports using Fleischner or the American College of Radiology Lung Imaging Reporting and Data System (Lung RADS) templates might improve the detection of patients with lung nodules.5,13,14

 

 


The VHA system should have an effective strategy for identifying incidental lung nodules during routine radiology examinations. Relying only on radiologists to identify and code pulmonary nodules can lead to missing a significant number of patients with lung nodules and some patients with early stage lung cancer who could receive curative therapy.12,14-16 The use of a standardized algorithm, like a text search strategy, might decrease the risk of variation in the execution and result in a more sensitive detection of patients with lung nodules. The text search strategy might be easily implemented and shared with other hospitals both within and outside the VHA.

Limitations

This study was performed in a single VHA hospital and the findings may not be generalizable to other settings of care. Second, our study design is susceptible to work-up bias because the results of a diagnostic test (eg, chest or abdomen imaging) affected whether the chart review was used to verify the test result. It was not feasible to review the patient records of all radiology studies done at the facility during the study period, consequently complete 2 × 2 tables could not be created to calculate sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value.

Conclusion

A text search algorithm of radiology reports increased the detection of patients with lung nodules when compared with radiology diagnostic coding alone. However, the improved detection was associated with a higher rate of false positives, which requires manually reviewing a larger number of patient’s chart reports. Future research and quality improvement should focus on standardizing the radiology reporting process and improving the efficiency and reliability of follow up and tracking of incidental lung nodules.

Acknowledgments

The work reported here was supported by a grant from the Office of Rural Health (N32-FY16Q1-S1-P01577), US Department of Veterans Affairs, Veterans Health Administration. We also had the support from the Veterans Rural Health Resource Center-Iowa City, and the Health Services Research and Development (HSR&D) Service through the Comprehensive Access and Delivery Research and Evaluation (CADRE) Center (REA 09-220).

References

1. Jacobs PC, Mali WP, Grobbee DE, van der Graaf Y. Prevalence of incidental findings in computed tomographic screening of the chest: a systematic review. Journal of computer assisted tomography. 2008;32(2):214-221.

2. Frank L, Quint LE. Chest CT incidentalomas: thyroid lesions, enlarged mediastinal lymph nodes, and lung nodules. Cancer Imaging. 2012;12(1):41-48.

3. National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. Cancer stat facts: lung and bronchus cancer. https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/lungb.html. Accessed April 8, 2020.

4. Alberg AJ, Brock MV, Ford JG, Samet JM, Spivack SD. Epidemiology of lung cancer: Diagnosis and management of lung cancer, 3rd ed: American College of Chest Physicians evidence-based clinical practice guidelines. Chest. 2013;143(5 Suppl):e1S-e29S.

5. MacMahon H, Naidich DP, Goo JM, et al. Guidelines for Management of Incidental Pulmonary Nodules Detected on CT Images: From the Fleischner Society 2017. Radiology. 2017;284(1):228-243.

6. Zullig LL, Jackson GL, Dorn RA, et al. Cancer incidence among patients of the U.S. Veterans Affairs Health Care System. Mil Med. 2012;177(6):693-701.

7. Kinsinger LS, Anderson C, Kim J, et al. Implementation of lung cancer screening in the Veterans Health Administration. JAMA Intern Med. 2017;177(3):399-406.

8. Iqbal MN, Stott E, Huml AM, et al. What’s in a name? Factors associated with documentation and evaluation of incidental pulmonary nodules. Ann Am Thorac Soc. 2016;13(10):1704-1711.

9. Farjah F, Halgrim S, Buist DS, et al. An automated method for identifying individuals with a lung nodule can be feasibly implemented across health systems. Egems (Wash DC). 2016;4(1):1254.

10. Danforth KN, Early MI, Ngan S, Kosco AE, Zheng C, Gould MK. Automated identification of patients with pulmonary nodules in an integrated health system using administrative health plan data, radiology reports, and natural language processing. J Thorac Oncol. 2012;7(8):1257-1262.

11. US Department of Veterans Affairs, Office of Rural Health. https://www.ruralhealth.va.gov/aboutus/ruralvets.asp. Updated January 28, 2020. Accessed April 8, 2020.

12. Blagev DP, Lloyd JF, Conner K, et al. Follow-up of incidental pulmonary nodules and the radiology report. J Am Coll Radiol. 2016;13(2 suppl):R18-R24.

13. Eisenberg RL, Fleischner S. Ways to improve radiologists’ adherence to Fleischner Society guidelines for management of pulmonary nodules. J Am Coll Radiol. 2013;10(6):439-441.

14. Aberle DR. Implementing lung cancer screening: the US experience. Clin Radiol. 2017;72(5):401-406.

15. Gould MK, Donington J, Lynch WR, et al. Evaluation of individuals with pulmonary nodules: when is it lung cancer? Diagnosis and management of lung cancer, 3rd ed: American College of Chest Physicians evidence-based clinical practice guidelines. Chest. 2013;143(5 Suppl):e93S-e120S.

16. Callister ME, Baldwin DR. How should pulmonary nodules be optimally investigated and managed? Lung Cancer. 2016;91:48-55.

References

1. Jacobs PC, Mali WP, Grobbee DE, van der Graaf Y. Prevalence of incidental findings in computed tomographic screening of the chest: a systematic review. Journal of computer assisted tomography. 2008;32(2):214-221.

2. Frank L, Quint LE. Chest CT incidentalomas: thyroid lesions, enlarged mediastinal lymph nodes, and lung nodules. Cancer Imaging. 2012;12(1):41-48.

3. National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. Cancer stat facts: lung and bronchus cancer. https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/lungb.html. Accessed April 8, 2020.

4. Alberg AJ, Brock MV, Ford JG, Samet JM, Spivack SD. Epidemiology of lung cancer: Diagnosis and management of lung cancer, 3rd ed: American College of Chest Physicians evidence-based clinical practice guidelines. Chest. 2013;143(5 Suppl):e1S-e29S.

5. MacMahon H, Naidich DP, Goo JM, et al. Guidelines for Management of Incidental Pulmonary Nodules Detected on CT Images: From the Fleischner Society 2017. Radiology. 2017;284(1):228-243.

6. Zullig LL, Jackson GL, Dorn RA, et al. Cancer incidence among patients of the U.S. Veterans Affairs Health Care System. Mil Med. 2012;177(6):693-701.

7. Kinsinger LS, Anderson C, Kim J, et al. Implementation of lung cancer screening in the Veterans Health Administration. JAMA Intern Med. 2017;177(3):399-406.

8. Iqbal MN, Stott E, Huml AM, et al. What’s in a name? Factors associated with documentation and evaluation of incidental pulmonary nodules. Ann Am Thorac Soc. 2016;13(10):1704-1711.

9. Farjah F, Halgrim S, Buist DS, et al. An automated method for identifying individuals with a lung nodule can be feasibly implemented across health systems. Egems (Wash DC). 2016;4(1):1254.

10. Danforth KN, Early MI, Ngan S, Kosco AE, Zheng C, Gould MK. Automated identification of patients with pulmonary nodules in an integrated health system using administrative health plan data, radiology reports, and natural language processing. J Thorac Oncol. 2012;7(8):1257-1262.

11. US Department of Veterans Affairs, Office of Rural Health. https://www.ruralhealth.va.gov/aboutus/ruralvets.asp. Updated January 28, 2020. Accessed April 8, 2020.

12. Blagev DP, Lloyd JF, Conner K, et al. Follow-up of incidental pulmonary nodules and the radiology report. J Am Coll Radiol. 2016;13(2 suppl):R18-R24.

13. Eisenberg RL, Fleischner S. Ways to improve radiologists’ adherence to Fleischner Society guidelines for management of pulmonary nodules. J Am Coll Radiol. 2013;10(6):439-441.

14. Aberle DR. Implementing lung cancer screening: the US experience. Clin Radiol. 2017;72(5):401-406.

15. Gould MK, Donington J, Lynch WR, et al. Evaluation of individuals with pulmonary nodules: when is it lung cancer? Diagnosis and management of lung cancer, 3rd ed: American College of Chest Physicians evidence-based clinical practice guidelines. Chest. 2013;143(5 Suppl):e93S-e120S.

16. Callister ME, Baldwin DR. How should pulmonary nodules be optimally investigated and managed? Lung Cancer. 2016;91:48-55.

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The Medical Roundtable: Prostate-Specific Antigen Screening for Prostate Cancer: Yes, No, or Maybe?
Moderator: Richard M. Hoffman, MD, MPH Discussants: David F. Penson, MD, MPH; Robert J. Volk, PhD; Andrew M.D. Wolf, MD FoxP2 Media LLC, is the publisher of The Medical Roundtable.

DR. HOFFMAN: Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing was introduced in the 1980s as a tumor marker for cancer surveillance. However, it was rapidly and widely adopted for prostate cancer screening. From the beginning, PSA screening has been controversial. Based largely on diagnostic performance data, The American Urological Association (AUA)1 and the American Cancer Society (ACS)2 began recommending routine PSA screening and digital rectal examination (DRE) in the early 1990s. In contrast, the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) did not endorse screening because they believed that the available evidence was insufficient to either recommend or oppose screening. Large randomized screening trials were initiated in Europe (the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer [ERSPC]3) and in America (the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian [PLCO] Cancer Screening Trial4).

The introduction of PSA screening was associated with a decreased incidence of advanced stage disease and a slight decrease in prostate cancer mortality. However, screening often detected indolent localized cancers that did not require treatment. Observational studies also suggested that treating localized cancers could adversely affect urinary, bowel, and sexual function.5 Consequently, while awaiting results from the randomized trials, the guidelines began acknowledging the complexity of screening decisions and encouraging clinicians to help patients make informed decisions.

In 2009, the publication of the long-awaited mortality results from 2 large randomized prostate cancer screening trials did not provide sufficient data to resolve controversies. The ERSPC showed a small benefit from screening after 9 years, but the American PLCO Cancer Screening Trial reported only negative findings. Recent updates with longer follow-ups confirmed the original findings.6,7 Revised guidelines have actually heightened the controversies.8 The ACS and AUA still recommend helping men make informed decisions regarding screening, though the 2009 AUA guideline expanded the age range for screening as well as criteria for biopsy referral.9 Meanwhile, the USPSTF recently recommended against prostate screening under any circumstances.10 Regardless of this, after more than 20 years of use, PSA testing is not going to be suddenly discontinued. Patients and physicians will still face the challenging decisions of whether and how to screen for prostate cancer. We’ve assembled a panel of experts to discuss clinical trial results, guideline controversies, and strategies for supporting informed decision making for prostate cancer screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: I’m Dr. Richard Hoffman, Professor of Medicine at the University of New Mexico and a staff physician at the Albuquerque VA Medical Center. I’ll be moderating this discussion.

DR. PENSON: I am David Penson; I’m Professor of Urologic Surgery at Vanderbilt University. I direct our Center for Surgical Quality and Outcomes Research.

DR. VOLK: I’m Bob Volk. I’m a professor in the Department of General Internal Medicine at the MD Anderson Cancer Center. I’m a decision scientist and a developer of patient decision aids.

DR. WOLF: I’m Andy Wolf. I am an Associate Professor of Medicine at the University of Virginia School of Medicine. I was the first author of the ACS Guideline for the Early Detection of Prostate Cancer that came out in 2010.

DR. HOFFMAN: I want to start briefly by talking about the epidemiology of prostate cancer with regard to PSA screening. We’ve seen a large and persistent increase in cancer incidence rates. Cancer mortality rates initially increased slightly after the introduction of PSA testing followed by a decrease in mortality rates. Dr. Penson, can you comment on this?

DR. PENSON: When we assess prostate cancer mortality rates in the United States, interestingly, we see a spike in the early 1990s, which we have alluded to, that’s consistent with the introduction of PSA testing. We also see a spike for incidence, and as we examine that spike, we see that incidence remains higher than it was before the introduction of PSA testing.

Certainly, that’s what you’d expect with a new screening test, but what’s interesting is that when we follow-up the patients into the late 90s and the early 21st century, we see a decline in prostate cancer mortality when we look at the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) data.11 This gives rise to the question of why we are seeing this decline in mortality.

Proponents of screening will tell you this is proof that screening works and that we’re catching cancers earlier and treating them earlier. However, although it certainly makes those of us who believe that screening is a positive thing feel optimistic, it isn’t conclusive evidence.

The problem is that there are other possible influences that may reduce mortality. The first is the change in the way we treat prostate cancer. There was an increase in the use of hormone therapy in the late 1990s and early 2000s, and some people have said that this may be the cause of the decline in mortality.

Some models have tried to account for changing patterns of treatment and for the potential benefit of hormone therapy. Most of the work has been done by a group called the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET), which is a group of biostatisticians and modelers who are funded by the National Cancer Institute (NCI).

I’ve actually participated in that group, and there was a paper in Cancer Causes and Control12 approximately 3 or 4 years ago that is often quoted. We were able to show that even after accounting for these changes in treatment, over time, you’re going to see that PSA screening or prostate cancer screening is responsible for anywhere from 40% to 70% of the observed drop in mortality.

Again, this is a model. It’s not a randomized clinical trial, so it is looked at quite skeptically. That being said, we are definitely seeing a decline in mortality. There is some preliminary evidence showing that this may be due to screening, but it’s not conclusive.13

DR. WOLF: Dr. Penson, interestingly, when you review the European Randomized trial data, which shows a potential reduction in mortality due to screening, it seemed that the benefit was observed approximately 10 years after the onset of screening.14 And yet, the initial decline in prostate cancer mortality seemed to begin only 2 or 3 years following the advent of PSA screening. The critics of screening say that the mortality decline occurred too soon after the advent of PSA for it to be attributed to PSA screening. I’m sure you’ve thought about that, but is that a legitimate criticism of PSA screening?

DR. PENSON: I think it is a legitimate criticism to some degree. If you only observed a decline in the first few years after screening was introduced, which then dissipated, it would be a very valid criticism, but here, you continue to see the decline. A recently published study from Austria observed a decline within 1 to 2 years of prostate cancer screening.15 No one gives that result credit because of exactly what you said: It occurs too early. When you look at these models that Ruth Etzioni and Alex Tsodikov have developed,16 you notice that some of the decline in mortality, but not all of it, is attributed to screening. The former change may be related directly to treatment that was stopped after the first 2 or 3 years as patients were receiving hormonal treatments earlier. I think that’s what accounts for that initial drop, but the fact is, you see a prolonged drop over time.

When I look at that decline in mortality—and again, this is an opinion because it has not been shown in a randomized clinical trial—my opinion is that prostate cancer screening has an effect, but we can’t say that the entire decline in mortality is due to screening. It’s probably due to other reasons as well, and that’s why the models make more sense to me when you say, “Somewhere between 40% and 70% of the decline can be attributed to screening.”

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Wolf, that’s actually a good lead in, because clearly, the epidemiologic data are not going to be conclusive with regard to whether screening accounts for a decline in mortality. We awaited publication of the results from the ERSPC and PLCO randomized screening trials for many years. Can you tell us about the ERSPC study design and results and how you have interpreted the findings?

DR. WOLF: The European trial was more of a meta-analysis of multiple trials going on simultaneously because it involved 7 European countries. It started in 1991 and included randomized 162,000 men who were between the ages of 55 and 69 years, to PSA screening or routine care.

However, this trial was being conducted in 7 different European countries, and there were some real differences in the methodologies between the countries. In addition, there were differences in the PSA level cutoffs that prompted further evaluation and also differences in screening intervals. Therefore, it wasn’t a pure randomized trial; it was more of a meta-analysis. Nonetheless, it provided a very large cohort of men who were randomized. They were followed up for a mean period of approximately 11 years at the most recent update, which was published in 2012.

In that study, there was a statistically significant difference in prostate cancer mortality in the men who underwent PSA screening compared with those who received routine care. There was a 21% relative risk reduction in prostate cancer death in the screened group as compared to the unscreened group at 11 years of follow-up. Thus, approximately 1000 men needed to be screened to save 1 life and approximately 37 men needed to be diagnosed with prostate cancer to save 1 life over 11 years. These findings highlight an important limitation of prostate cancer screening: overdiagnosis and overtreatment. Although screening may reduce cancer mortality overall, many men who undergo screening will be diagnosed with and treated for prostate cancer, who never would have developed clinically apparent disease if they had not been screened. In other words, they would have lived a normal life and died of an unrelated cause before their prostate cancer became apparent. This is an issue with many conditions that are screened for, but it is a particularly prominent issue for prostate cancer screening, because of the often long latency between cancer onset and the development of clinical illness.

Of note, the European trial did not show any impact on overall all-cause mortality, although this is often the case in most cancer screening trials. They’re aimed at assessing cancer-specific mortality reduction. Therefore, this study did show a statistically significant decline in prostate cancer-specific mortality.

The European study has been criticized for a number of reasons. Perhaps the most serious criticism is that there was some concern that the men in whom prostate cancer was diagnosed in the screening arm were more likely to receive treatment in university settings than those in whom prostate cancer was diagnosed in the routine care arm or control arm, who may have been more likely to receive care in community hospitals. That difference, if big enough, may have affected the outcome.

Another criticism is that the study is, in fact, a meta-analysis and that the methodologies differed significantly between the countries. In fact, one of the concerns of the USPSTF was that only 2 of the countries—Sweden and the Netherlands—showed a statistically significant mortality reduction that was not seen in the other 5 countries. This raised the question of whether the reduction in mortality was a generalizable finding.

The contamination rate, referring to the number of patients who were in the control arm and who were actually screened, was relatively low; it was only 10% compared to an approximately 40% to 50% contamination rate in the American study, which we will discuss further on.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Penson, the American PLCO Cancer Screening Trial is essentially negative. Can you comment on that study?

DR. PENSON: It’s really nice to follow that great discussion of the ERSPC trial. At the same time that ERSPC was being conducted, there was a similar trial in the United States—the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial—involving prostate, lung, colorectal, and ovarian cancer screening.

In the prostate arm of that trial, the researchers randomized just over 76,000 men for either screening or routine care. This was accomplished at 10 centers from 1993 through 2001, and they originally published their results in The New England Journal of Medicine.17 They have published a longer-term follow-up earlier this year in the Journal of the National Cancer Institute.18 This study was essentially a negative study. With 13 years of follow-up, there was no difference between the intervention arm and the control arm.

However, I don’t view this study as a screening versus no-screening one. This is a study of a little bit of screening versus a lot of screening. In the intervention arm, there were patients undergoing annual screening as would be suggested if a patient decided to undergo screening via various guidelines. However, there is high contamination in the control arm because at 3 years of the study, just over 40% of the men in the control arm underwent a PSA screening test, and by the end of the study, more than half the men—I believe it was 52%—had a PSA screening test. So, it’s not really a fair comparison of screening versus no screening, but the study does provide us with some important information.

Screening is not to be performed for everyone. For example, in an older patient who has more comorbid diseases, screening is probably not worth it because, as was discussed earlier, the life expectancy should be adequate in order to see a benefit (if one exists). You have to live long enough to get that benefit—I would say, at least 10 years.

There was another analysis of PLCO Cancer Screening Trial that was published in The Journal of Clinical Oncology,, with David Crawford as the lead author, that looked at the subgroup of patients in the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial who were younger and healthier.19 In that subgroup, they found prostate cancer screening to have a benefit. We should keep in mind that this study was a subgroup analysis, but I think it starts influencing our decision making because it helps us understand which patients are going to benefit from the screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Penson, as a urologist, what do you think about the potential biases in ERSPC in that screened patients were more likely to be treated at university centers? Is that a real concern?

DR. PENSON: I think that’s a very fair criticism of the study. One of the problems that you have with the European study—and to some degree, even the American study—is that there was really no protocol for treatment once a diagnosis was made. There are treatment differences not only in the European study but also in the American study. For example, we know for a fact that there are differences in the quality of surgical interventions between high-volume and low-volume hospitals. I suspect that the same differences exist for radiation therapy. Therefore, I think there are differences with regard to who underwent treatment and where the patients were treated in the European study.

People wish to compare the European study to the American study, but as stated earlier, the European study is a meta-analysis with a number of different screening protocols, and the patients involved in those screening protocols aren’t necessarily a representative population of the United States. So, my take-home message is that we should not generalize the results of either study to all patients. Results of each study can only be applied to patients that reflect those enrolled in that particular study.

DR. HOFFMAN: Over the last 2 decades, professional organizations have issued a number of screening guidelines. Initially, the AUA and ACS were very pro-screening. However, over time, they have acknowledged the fact that screening decisions are complicated, involving tradeoffs between benefits and harms, and that we need to help men make informed decisions. The USPSTF argued for years that there was insufficient evidence either for or against screening.

After the long-awaited publication of the randomized screening trial results, the AUA revised their guidelines. Dr. Penson, can you tell us about these guidelines?

DR. PENSON: As a urologist, I am affiliated with the AUA, which is the primary specialty organization for urology. The AUA’s guidelines are more of best practice statements than guidelines, per se, because they were released immediately after the randomized clinical trials were completed; thus, these trials didn’t have a prominent role in the document as they should have. So, now, AUA is revising the guidelines again, as they do every few years.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Wolf, you were the lead author on the recently revised ACS guidelines. Can you highlight your recommendations and talk about how they contrasted with the AUA guidelines?

DR. WOLF: The ACS guideline, similar to that of the AUA, calls for informed decision making as the centerpiece of the guideline. I think the exact wording was, “Men should have an opportunity to make an informed decision with their healthcare provider about whether to be screened for prostate cancer.” It really does highlight the importance of informed decision making. In fact, in the guideline, it specifically states, “Prostate cancer screening should not occur without an informed decision-making process.”

One difference is the age at which that informed discussion begins. The ACS recommends that the discussion between doctor and patient about whether to screen begin at the age of 50 years. We also recommend that men whose life expectancy is below 10 years not be engaged in that discussion. In other words, the ACS determined that if the patient does not have a 10-year life expectancy, he would not benefit from early detection. In contrast, the AUA guideline, which was just published in 2013, recommends initiating the informed decision-making process at the age of 55 years in average-risk men.20 For men who choose to be screened, they recommend screening until the age of 69 years, rather than following the 10-year life expectancy guideline. In general, the AUA appears to be adhering more strictly to the protocol of the ERSPC.

Other elements of the ACS guideline are also risk-based in the sense that for men whose initial PSA level is below 2.5 ng/mL, the recommendation is now to conduct screening every 2 years rather than annually. If a man’s PSA level is between 2.5 and 4.0 ng/mL, the ACS still calls for annual screening. The AUA guideline, again adhering closely to the European trial protocol, calls for screening every 2 to 4 years.

The ACS guideline also indicates that community-based screening should be discouraged, unless thorough informed decision making can be done at the time of the screening. If that cannot be established, then community-based screening should not be offered. By community-based, I mean in public settings or hospital-based settings where there is a significant chance that decision making would not occur. Such screening should be discouraged.

The ACS guideline includes a delineation of the core elements that should be included in the discussion to assure that informed decision making occurs. These include the potential benefits; for example, prostate cancer can be found earlier with screening than without screening, and early detection may reduce the chance of dying from prostate cancer. However, we also included the disadvantages of screening, including the significant risk of overdiagnosis and overtreatment; the risk of false-positive and false-negative results; the risks of prostate biopsy; and the significant risk of sexual dysfunction, urinary incontinence, and bowel injury that are associated with treatment of screen-detected cancer: these are the key elements.

Another new aspect of the ACS guideline included our recommendation that the DRE be included only as an optional component of screening. This is just based on the lack of data to suggest that it’s an effective screening tool at the population level. The European study did not include the DRE as a part of the screening in most countries, and this study showed a mortality benefit. The PLCO Cancer Screening Trial included the DRE, and it was a negative study. Therefore, on the basis of the randomized trial evidence and other evidence, the ACS elected to make the DRE an optional element of the screening process.

DR. HOFFMAN: To lead the discussion into the last guideline from the USPSTF, I’d like to turn to Dr. Volk, who’s written a number of very thoughtful commentaries on this topic. Dr. Volk, can you summarize the USPSTF recommendation and explain why you question it?

DR. VOLK: First, I’d like to spend a moment describing the Task Force. I think the USPSTF is often misunderstood with respect to their composition, function, etc. The USPSTF was authorized by Congress in 1984 to make evidence-based recommendations about clinical preventive services, including, but not limited to, cancer screening. Members of the USPSTF belong to fields of preventive medicine and primary care, and they volunteer their time to serve on the Task Force. They make these recommendations based on a careful assessment of evidence regarding the benefits and harms of a particular preventive health service.

In 2010, the Affordable Care Act legislation authorized the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) to provide administrative, research, and communications support to the USPSTF. The current prostate cancer-screening recommendation from the Task Force is a result of a careful comparative effectiveness review that was commissioned by the AHRQ.

The USPSTF functions autonomously from other government agencies. Their guidelines are not vetted by the AHRQ or any other entity with the Department of Health and Human Services. They have independent authority to make recommendations.

A couple of things to keep in mind: The recommendations are evidence-based, and the Task Force is looking at the same evidence that the other organizations are considering. The USPSTF does function autonomously, as I mentioned earlier, and an interesting aspect of their work is that they consider the cost of an intervention only because that cost relates to people’s ability to partake in the intervention.

In July 2012, the USPSTF issued its recommendation about screening for prostate cancer, and we did have a heads up about the update. The USPSTF has implemented a new process in which they post drafts of their recommendations and have a comment period where people can indicate their reactions to an upcoming recommendation. Therefore, we knew that this guideline was going to be released.

This is a “D” level recommendation from the Task Force, and it reads, “The Task Force recommends against PSA-based screening for prostate cancer. This recommendation applies to all men in the general US population, regardless of age.”

They go on to talk about the guidelines not addressing issues such as using PSA for surveillance.

In summary, what the USPSTF has done is review the evidence largely from the 2 screening trials that have been mentioned previously. They have concluded that the harms of screening, which are well known and well documented, exceed the potential benefit of screening; in effect, they recommend against prostate cancer screening.

This is different from their recommendation of 2008 where the USPSTF issued an “I” recommendation, arguing that the evidence was insufficient to recommend for or against screening. Therefore, the USPSTF is a bit of an outlier when considering the recommendations of other groups.

This is a controversial recommendation, and there have been quite a few comments and criticisms about it. We’ve talked about the concerns regarding the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial, and perhaps, the USPSTF gave too much importance to the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial findings, especially considering the high (>50%) contamination rate among the control men.

Additionally, there have been concerns about the USPSTF not giving enough importance to the European trial. In particular, the trial from Goteborg21 showed a significant benefit in terms of prostate cancer mortality and a much lower number needed to be screened as compared to the overall trial.

Then again, they released a “D” level recommendation. People would have been much more comfortable with the recommendation if it had been a “C.” A “C” recommendation would recommend against routine screening, which would be very much in line with the recommendation of other groups that endorse an informed or a shared decision-making process.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Wolf, regarding the informed decision-making process, ACS has consistently supported this concept. Can you define informed decision making and explain its importance?

DR. WOLF: In general, whenever there is an intervention or a diagnostic tool where the balance between the benefits and potential harms is too close to call, it is really incumbent on physicians to engage patients in an informed decision as to whether they wish to proceed.

This is particularly relevant to the prostate issue. Because prostate cancer screening, by definition, involves men who are asymptomatic at the time that we’re proposing it, and given that there’s clearly uncertainty regarding the overall balance between benefits and harms, it really is vital to allow the patient to be part of the decision.

This is essentially an ethical issue. Before we potentially cause harm, we should certainly have the patients agreement; we should know that they want to proceed with the intervention—in this case, prostate cancer screening. That’s the reason why informed decision making—and in this case, shared decision making—is so important.

Shared decision making implies not only that the patient is informed but also that the healthcare provider is engaged in the decision-making process by assisting the patient in making the decision whether or not to be tested for prostate cancer.

One element of this process is that the patient has the information to understand why screening is controversial. The patient should understand the potential benefits of screening, which, of course, include potentially preventing death from prostate cancer.

There are many potential harms, including harms related to the initial PSA screening with or without the DRE, which are negligible risks; however, the problems associated with biopsy are not insubstantial, primarily in terms of the infection risk and bleeding risk. One Medicare database study reported a hospitalization rate of up to 0.45% for urinary or prostate infection in men who have had a prostate biopsy.22

The problems associated with treating screen-detected prostate cancer are well known and include sexual dysfunction, urinary incontinence, bowel injury from radiation, death on the operating table, and postoperative death. Patients should be aware of these elements before they launch into the screening process.

Since this is such a value-dependent decision, physicians can play a critical role in helping patients to articulate their values and subsequently integrate these values into the screening decision. For example, is it more important to the patient to try to avert death due to prostate cancer or to avoid complications such as sexual dysfunction, urinary incontinence, or bowel injury incurred while treating a cancer that might never have harmed them?

DR. HOFFMAN: One thing that I really appreciate about the ACS guidelines is that while encouraging informed decision making, they recognize that physicians and patients often don’t have the time to adequately discuss screening. The physicians may also not have readily available information on benefits and harms; therefore, the ACS recommends using decision aids. Dr. Volk, could you describe decision aids and how we should use them? Do we know whether they’re effective?

DR. VOLK: The question really is that with all this wonderful evidence, how can we expect clinicians to have a conversation with patients about the potential harms and benefits of screening, all within the context of a very limited encounter? It just takes a lot of time, and decision aids can be quite helpful in this situation.

Decision aids are tools that help patients think about their choices. They provide patients with information about their options in a balanced way. They help people to deliberate or think about their options, pursue more information, and consider what it would be like if they decided to choose either option.

For prostate cancer screening, some very useful tools have been developed. We mentioned that the ACS developed a prostate cancer-screening decision aid after its guidelines were released, and there are other aids too. The Informed Medical Decisions Foundation has a very useful tool, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has a tool as well. Thus, there are some very helpful decision aids that are available.23–25

Decision aids are developed to help move some of the educational burden off the clinician and help the patient to have a meaningful conversation about what their values and preferences are so that they can make a decision in collaboration with their health care provider that’s best for them.

A large number of randomized trials examining patient decision aids have been completed. Many are specific to prostate cancer screening, and invariably, they show that men learn a lot about the harms and benefits of screening. The tools don’t make men more anxious about cancer or making a decision, and they become more assured about the choices they make.

DR. HOFFMAN: I wanted to get everyone’s thoughts on what the future of screening is. Dr. Penson, what do you think lies ahead for prostate cancer screening?

DR. PENSON: This concept of risk-based screening is the future of prostate cancer screening. Eventually, we are probably performing too many PSA tests. We probably don’t need them on an annual basis, and we need to develop a more intelligent way to approach this topic in the men who want to undergo PSA testing. The biggest problem with screening, which we alluded to earlier, is the problem of overdiagnosis and overtreatment. We know that probably, one-third of the patients who are screened and in whom prostate cancer is detected have an overdiagnosed cancer. So, potentially, screening less often and screening only the patients who are most likely to have an increased risk for prostate cancer may reduce the overdiagnosis rate.

The other point that we really haven’t talked about—and I do think this is important for the future—is the concept of divorcing screening from treatment. We discussed about the harms of screening a little, and people tend to clump the harms of screening and treatment together.

There are harms to screening, specifically the harms of a biopsy if the screening test is positive. However, the harms of treatment (if the biopsy is positive) are avoidable by increasing the use of active surveillance as a treatment strategy. In other words, instead of taking a patient who has been diagnosed with prostate cancer, particularly a low-grade prostate cancer, and immediately operating on him or performing a radiation treatment for him, we manage him with active surveillance. There may be a real role for following those patients closely, with regard to monitoring their PSA levels, repeating biopsies over time, and effectively and actively surveying them. This reduces the complications associated with aggressive intervention and potentially improves the efficacy of screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Volk, you have actually worked on a decision aid for prostate cancer treatment. Can you discuss the challenges of convincing men to select active surveillance?

DR. VOLK: I have done some work with the Eisenberg Center and the AHRQ on a web-based decision aid for prostate cancer treatment.26 We released this decision aid before the results of the Prostate Cancer Intervention Versus Observation Trial (PIVOT) were published, but we were certainly aware of the main findings from that important study.27

It takes some rethinking about prostate cancer. For example, a challenging idea for patients is that there is a spectrum of risk: some cancers can have a lesser chance of progressing than others. What we’ve done with our decision aid tool is try to emphasize that patients should understand this spectrum of risk and talk with their healthcare provider about their options, including the option of careful monitoring of their cancer, if the risk is really low.

Active surveillance is more than watchful waiting—it is carefully monitoring the cancer for progression. Thus, it is a challenge to communicate the idea of a spectrum of risk and how this is related to treatment or management decision making. Active surveillance involves carefully monitoring, and if there is progression, there is still time to act.

DR. HOFFMAN: Finally, Dr. Wolf, do you have any other thoughts on the future of prostate cancer screening?

DR. WOLF: I have concerns about it, just because there is now such a divergence of national recommendations. When you have competing recommendations, which is the situation we are now in, physicians understandably don’t know what to do and they tend to continue whatever they were doing before. We don’t want physicians to be conducting blanket screening without informed decision making; on the other hand, we may lose opportunities to target screening for men who might want it and benefit from it but won’t be offered screening based on the USPSTF recommendation.

I think that the USPSTF made an important error in giving prostate cancer screening a “D” recommendation. My feeling is that the evidence would best support a “C” recommendation, meaning that men should not be routinely screened but instead should be informed of the risks and benefits and allowed to decide for themselves.

I also agree with the others in that active surveillance should be part of what is offered if a low- or moderate-grade prostate cancer is detected. That approach is used much more readily in Europe and may partly explain why the Goteborg European trial demonstrated such a low “number needed to treat” (12 men with screen-detected prostate cancer treated to avert one cancer death over 14 years of follow-up).21 This number is much lower than that in the European study overall and compares favorably with other cancer screens such as mammography and even colorectal cancer screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: Thank you, everyone. I really appreciate your participation and very insightful comments.

UPDATE

The AUA recently updated their position on PSA screening.20 The previous AUA recommendations were based upon expert opinion and the consensus process, while the new guidelines are evidence-based developed using a process based upon the Institute of Medicine's recommendations on guideline development. In short, the AUA guidelines now recommend informed decision making for PSA screening for men aged 55-69 years at average risk for the disease. In this setting, men should be informed of the risks and benefits of screening and should undergo screening if they feel it is in their best interests after this discussion. In men over age 70 years at average risk or those with less than a 10-year life expectancy, the guidelines recommend against routine screening, although they do acknowledge that there may be a role for informed decision making in particularly healthy men over the age of 70 years. Perhaps, the most controversial element of the new AUA guidelines is the fact that they do not recommend routine screening in men aged 40-54 years at average risk for prostate cancer. This is somewhat different from explicitly recommending against screening. The panel felt that because there was currently no evidence showing a significant benefit to screening in this age group, while there were some documented harms associated with screening, it could not endorse routine population-wide screening. However, the panel did note some evidence showing a relationship between elevated PSA levels in men in their 40s and increased risk of prostate cancer metastases and death later in life. Because of this, the panel felt that “the absence of evidence does not mean an evidence of absence” and stopped short of explicitly recommending against screening in this younger age group. It is important to remember that the AUA guidelines only apply to men at average risk and that men at an increased risk of disease (strong family history and African-American race) are encouraged to discuss screening with their provider and make an informed decision regarding testing, regardless of their age.

The American College of Physicians (ACP) also recently issued a guidance statement based on their review of screening guidelines developed by other organizations.28 The ACP also supported shared decision making for men between the ages of 50 and 69 years, advising clinicians to inform these men about “the limited potential benefits and substantial harms of [PSA] screening for prostate cancer.” They also recommended against PSA testing for average-risk men under the age of 50 years or over the age of 69 years and for men with a life expectancy less than 10 years. With these new publications, there is now a consensus among professional organizations against routine screening. Instead, men between the ages of 50 and 69 years should be supported in making informed decisions that reflect their preferences.

FoxP2 Media LLC, is the publisher of The Medical Roundtable.

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Moderator: Richard M. Hoffman, MD, MPH Discussants: David F. Penson, MD, MPH; Robert J. Volk, PhD; Andrew M.D. Wolf, MD FoxP2 Media LLC, is the publisher of The Medical Roundtable.
Moderator: Richard M. Hoffman, MD, MPH Discussants: David F. Penson, MD, MPH; Robert J. Volk, PhD; Andrew M.D. Wolf, MD FoxP2 Media LLC, is the publisher of The Medical Roundtable.

DR. HOFFMAN: Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing was introduced in the 1980s as a tumor marker for cancer surveillance. However, it was rapidly and widely adopted for prostate cancer screening. From the beginning, PSA screening has been controversial. Based largely on diagnostic performance data, The American Urological Association (AUA)1 and the American Cancer Society (ACS)2 began recommending routine PSA screening and digital rectal examination (DRE) in the early 1990s. In contrast, the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) did not endorse screening because they believed that the available evidence was insufficient to either recommend or oppose screening. Large randomized screening trials were initiated in Europe (the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer [ERSPC]3) and in America (the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian [PLCO] Cancer Screening Trial4).

The introduction of PSA screening was associated with a decreased incidence of advanced stage disease and a slight decrease in prostate cancer mortality. However, screening often detected indolent localized cancers that did not require treatment. Observational studies also suggested that treating localized cancers could adversely affect urinary, bowel, and sexual function.5 Consequently, while awaiting results from the randomized trials, the guidelines began acknowledging the complexity of screening decisions and encouraging clinicians to help patients make informed decisions.

In 2009, the publication of the long-awaited mortality results from 2 large randomized prostate cancer screening trials did not provide sufficient data to resolve controversies. The ERSPC showed a small benefit from screening after 9 years, but the American PLCO Cancer Screening Trial reported only negative findings. Recent updates with longer follow-ups confirmed the original findings.6,7 Revised guidelines have actually heightened the controversies.8 The ACS and AUA still recommend helping men make informed decisions regarding screening, though the 2009 AUA guideline expanded the age range for screening as well as criteria for biopsy referral.9 Meanwhile, the USPSTF recently recommended against prostate screening under any circumstances.10 Regardless of this, after more than 20 years of use, PSA testing is not going to be suddenly discontinued. Patients and physicians will still face the challenging decisions of whether and how to screen for prostate cancer. We’ve assembled a panel of experts to discuss clinical trial results, guideline controversies, and strategies for supporting informed decision making for prostate cancer screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: I’m Dr. Richard Hoffman, Professor of Medicine at the University of New Mexico and a staff physician at the Albuquerque VA Medical Center. I’ll be moderating this discussion.

DR. PENSON: I am David Penson; I’m Professor of Urologic Surgery at Vanderbilt University. I direct our Center for Surgical Quality and Outcomes Research.

DR. VOLK: I’m Bob Volk. I’m a professor in the Department of General Internal Medicine at the MD Anderson Cancer Center. I’m a decision scientist and a developer of patient decision aids.

DR. WOLF: I’m Andy Wolf. I am an Associate Professor of Medicine at the University of Virginia School of Medicine. I was the first author of the ACS Guideline for the Early Detection of Prostate Cancer that came out in 2010.

DR. HOFFMAN: I want to start briefly by talking about the epidemiology of prostate cancer with regard to PSA screening. We’ve seen a large and persistent increase in cancer incidence rates. Cancer mortality rates initially increased slightly after the introduction of PSA testing followed by a decrease in mortality rates. Dr. Penson, can you comment on this?

DR. PENSON: When we assess prostate cancer mortality rates in the United States, interestingly, we see a spike in the early 1990s, which we have alluded to, that’s consistent with the introduction of PSA testing. We also see a spike for incidence, and as we examine that spike, we see that incidence remains higher than it was before the introduction of PSA testing.

Certainly, that’s what you’d expect with a new screening test, but what’s interesting is that when we follow-up the patients into the late 90s and the early 21st century, we see a decline in prostate cancer mortality when we look at the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) data.11 This gives rise to the question of why we are seeing this decline in mortality.

Proponents of screening will tell you this is proof that screening works and that we’re catching cancers earlier and treating them earlier. However, although it certainly makes those of us who believe that screening is a positive thing feel optimistic, it isn’t conclusive evidence.

The problem is that there are other possible influences that may reduce mortality. The first is the change in the way we treat prostate cancer. There was an increase in the use of hormone therapy in the late 1990s and early 2000s, and some people have said that this may be the cause of the decline in mortality.

Some models have tried to account for changing patterns of treatment and for the potential benefit of hormone therapy. Most of the work has been done by a group called the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET), which is a group of biostatisticians and modelers who are funded by the National Cancer Institute (NCI).

I’ve actually participated in that group, and there was a paper in Cancer Causes and Control12 approximately 3 or 4 years ago that is often quoted. We were able to show that even after accounting for these changes in treatment, over time, you’re going to see that PSA screening or prostate cancer screening is responsible for anywhere from 40% to 70% of the observed drop in mortality.

Again, this is a model. It’s not a randomized clinical trial, so it is looked at quite skeptically. That being said, we are definitely seeing a decline in mortality. There is some preliminary evidence showing that this may be due to screening, but it’s not conclusive.13

DR. WOLF: Dr. Penson, interestingly, when you review the European Randomized trial data, which shows a potential reduction in mortality due to screening, it seemed that the benefit was observed approximately 10 years after the onset of screening.14 And yet, the initial decline in prostate cancer mortality seemed to begin only 2 or 3 years following the advent of PSA screening. The critics of screening say that the mortality decline occurred too soon after the advent of PSA for it to be attributed to PSA screening. I’m sure you’ve thought about that, but is that a legitimate criticism of PSA screening?

DR. PENSON: I think it is a legitimate criticism to some degree. If you only observed a decline in the first few years after screening was introduced, which then dissipated, it would be a very valid criticism, but here, you continue to see the decline. A recently published study from Austria observed a decline within 1 to 2 years of prostate cancer screening.15 No one gives that result credit because of exactly what you said: It occurs too early. When you look at these models that Ruth Etzioni and Alex Tsodikov have developed,16 you notice that some of the decline in mortality, but not all of it, is attributed to screening. The former change may be related directly to treatment that was stopped after the first 2 or 3 years as patients were receiving hormonal treatments earlier. I think that’s what accounts for that initial drop, but the fact is, you see a prolonged drop over time.

When I look at that decline in mortality—and again, this is an opinion because it has not been shown in a randomized clinical trial—my opinion is that prostate cancer screening has an effect, but we can’t say that the entire decline in mortality is due to screening. It’s probably due to other reasons as well, and that’s why the models make more sense to me when you say, “Somewhere between 40% and 70% of the decline can be attributed to screening.”

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Wolf, that’s actually a good lead in, because clearly, the epidemiologic data are not going to be conclusive with regard to whether screening accounts for a decline in mortality. We awaited publication of the results from the ERSPC and PLCO randomized screening trials for many years. Can you tell us about the ERSPC study design and results and how you have interpreted the findings?

DR. WOLF: The European trial was more of a meta-analysis of multiple trials going on simultaneously because it involved 7 European countries. It started in 1991 and included randomized 162,000 men who were between the ages of 55 and 69 years, to PSA screening or routine care.

However, this trial was being conducted in 7 different European countries, and there were some real differences in the methodologies between the countries. In addition, there were differences in the PSA level cutoffs that prompted further evaluation and also differences in screening intervals. Therefore, it wasn’t a pure randomized trial; it was more of a meta-analysis. Nonetheless, it provided a very large cohort of men who were randomized. They were followed up for a mean period of approximately 11 years at the most recent update, which was published in 2012.

In that study, there was a statistically significant difference in prostate cancer mortality in the men who underwent PSA screening compared with those who received routine care. There was a 21% relative risk reduction in prostate cancer death in the screened group as compared to the unscreened group at 11 years of follow-up. Thus, approximately 1000 men needed to be screened to save 1 life and approximately 37 men needed to be diagnosed with prostate cancer to save 1 life over 11 years. These findings highlight an important limitation of prostate cancer screening: overdiagnosis and overtreatment. Although screening may reduce cancer mortality overall, many men who undergo screening will be diagnosed with and treated for prostate cancer, who never would have developed clinically apparent disease if they had not been screened. In other words, they would have lived a normal life and died of an unrelated cause before their prostate cancer became apparent. This is an issue with many conditions that are screened for, but it is a particularly prominent issue for prostate cancer screening, because of the often long latency between cancer onset and the development of clinical illness.

Of note, the European trial did not show any impact on overall all-cause mortality, although this is often the case in most cancer screening trials. They’re aimed at assessing cancer-specific mortality reduction. Therefore, this study did show a statistically significant decline in prostate cancer-specific mortality.

The European study has been criticized for a number of reasons. Perhaps the most serious criticism is that there was some concern that the men in whom prostate cancer was diagnosed in the screening arm were more likely to receive treatment in university settings than those in whom prostate cancer was diagnosed in the routine care arm or control arm, who may have been more likely to receive care in community hospitals. That difference, if big enough, may have affected the outcome.

Another criticism is that the study is, in fact, a meta-analysis and that the methodologies differed significantly between the countries. In fact, one of the concerns of the USPSTF was that only 2 of the countries—Sweden and the Netherlands—showed a statistically significant mortality reduction that was not seen in the other 5 countries. This raised the question of whether the reduction in mortality was a generalizable finding.

The contamination rate, referring to the number of patients who were in the control arm and who were actually screened, was relatively low; it was only 10% compared to an approximately 40% to 50% contamination rate in the American study, which we will discuss further on.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Penson, the American PLCO Cancer Screening Trial is essentially negative. Can you comment on that study?

DR. PENSON: It’s really nice to follow that great discussion of the ERSPC trial. At the same time that ERSPC was being conducted, there was a similar trial in the United States—the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial—involving prostate, lung, colorectal, and ovarian cancer screening.

In the prostate arm of that trial, the researchers randomized just over 76,000 men for either screening or routine care. This was accomplished at 10 centers from 1993 through 2001, and they originally published their results in The New England Journal of Medicine.17 They have published a longer-term follow-up earlier this year in the Journal of the National Cancer Institute.18 This study was essentially a negative study. With 13 years of follow-up, there was no difference between the intervention arm and the control arm.

However, I don’t view this study as a screening versus no-screening one. This is a study of a little bit of screening versus a lot of screening. In the intervention arm, there were patients undergoing annual screening as would be suggested if a patient decided to undergo screening via various guidelines. However, there is high contamination in the control arm because at 3 years of the study, just over 40% of the men in the control arm underwent a PSA screening test, and by the end of the study, more than half the men—I believe it was 52%—had a PSA screening test. So, it’s not really a fair comparison of screening versus no screening, but the study does provide us with some important information.

Screening is not to be performed for everyone. For example, in an older patient who has more comorbid diseases, screening is probably not worth it because, as was discussed earlier, the life expectancy should be adequate in order to see a benefit (if one exists). You have to live long enough to get that benefit—I would say, at least 10 years.

There was another analysis of PLCO Cancer Screening Trial that was published in The Journal of Clinical Oncology,, with David Crawford as the lead author, that looked at the subgroup of patients in the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial who were younger and healthier.19 In that subgroup, they found prostate cancer screening to have a benefit. We should keep in mind that this study was a subgroup analysis, but I think it starts influencing our decision making because it helps us understand which patients are going to benefit from the screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Penson, as a urologist, what do you think about the potential biases in ERSPC in that screened patients were more likely to be treated at university centers? Is that a real concern?

DR. PENSON: I think that’s a very fair criticism of the study. One of the problems that you have with the European study—and to some degree, even the American study—is that there was really no protocol for treatment once a diagnosis was made. There are treatment differences not only in the European study but also in the American study. For example, we know for a fact that there are differences in the quality of surgical interventions between high-volume and low-volume hospitals. I suspect that the same differences exist for radiation therapy. Therefore, I think there are differences with regard to who underwent treatment and where the patients were treated in the European study.

People wish to compare the European study to the American study, but as stated earlier, the European study is a meta-analysis with a number of different screening protocols, and the patients involved in those screening protocols aren’t necessarily a representative population of the United States. So, my take-home message is that we should not generalize the results of either study to all patients. Results of each study can only be applied to patients that reflect those enrolled in that particular study.

DR. HOFFMAN: Over the last 2 decades, professional organizations have issued a number of screening guidelines. Initially, the AUA and ACS were very pro-screening. However, over time, they have acknowledged the fact that screening decisions are complicated, involving tradeoffs between benefits and harms, and that we need to help men make informed decisions. The USPSTF argued for years that there was insufficient evidence either for or against screening.

After the long-awaited publication of the randomized screening trial results, the AUA revised their guidelines. Dr. Penson, can you tell us about these guidelines?

DR. PENSON: As a urologist, I am affiliated with the AUA, which is the primary specialty organization for urology. The AUA’s guidelines are more of best practice statements than guidelines, per se, because they were released immediately after the randomized clinical trials were completed; thus, these trials didn’t have a prominent role in the document as they should have. So, now, AUA is revising the guidelines again, as they do every few years.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Wolf, you were the lead author on the recently revised ACS guidelines. Can you highlight your recommendations and talk about how they contrasted with the AUA guidelines?

DR. WOLF: The ACS guideline, similar to that of the AUA, calls for informed decision making as the centerpiece of the guideline. I think the exact wording was, “Men should have an opportunity to make an informed decision with their healthcare provider about whether to be screened for prostate cancer.” It really does highlight the importance of informed decision making. In fact, in the guideline, it specifically states, “Prostate cancer screening should not occur without an informed decision-making process.”

One difference is the age at which that informed discussion begins. The ACS recommends that the discussion between doctor and patient about whether to screen begin at the age of 50 years. We also recommend that men whose life expectancy is below 10 years not be engaged in that discussion. In other words, the ACS determined that if the patient does not have a 10-year life expectancy, he would not benefit from early detection. In contrast, the AUA guideline, which was just published in 2013, recommends initiating the informed decision-making process at the age of 55 years in average-risk men.20 For men who choose to be screened, they recommend screening until the age of 69 years, rather than following the 10-year life expectancy guideline. In general, the AUA appears to be adhering more strictly to the protocol of the ERSPC.

Other elements of the ACS guideline are also risk-based in the sense that for men whose initial PSA level is below 2.5 ng/mL, the recommendation is now to conduct screening every 2 years rather than annually. If a man’s PSA level is between 2.5 and 4.0 ng/mL, the ACS still calls for annual screening. The AUA guideline, again adhering closely to the European trial protocol, calls for screening every 2 to 4 years.

The ACS guideline also indicates that community-based screening should be discouraged, unless thorough informed decision making can be done at the time of the screening. If that cannot be established, then community-based screening should not be offered. By community-based, I mean in public settings or hospital-based settings where there is a significant chance that decision making would not occur. Such screening should be discouraged.

The ACS guideline includes a delineation of the core elements that should be included in the discussion to assure that informed decision making occurs. These include the potential benefits; for example, prostate cancer can be found earlier with screening than without screening, and early detection may reduce the chance of dying from prostate cancer. However, we also included the disadvantages of screening, including the significant risk of overdiagnosis and overtreatment; the risk of false-positive and false-negative results; the risks of prostate biopsy; and the significant risk of sexual dysfunction, urinary incontinence, and bowel injury that are associated with treatment of screen-detected cancer: these are the key elements.

Another new aspect of the ACS guideline included our recommendation that the DRE be included only as an optional component of screening. This is just based on the lack of data to suggest that it’s an effective screening tool at the population level. The European study did not include the DRE as a part of the screening in most countries, and this study showed a mortality benefit. The PLCO Cancer Screening Trial included the DRE, and it was a negative study. Therefore, on the basis of the randomized trial evidence and other evidence, the ACS elected to make the DRE an optional element of the screening process.

DR. HOFFMAN: To lead the discussion into the last guideline from the USPSTF, I’d like to turn to Dr. Volk, who’s written a number of very thoughtful commentaries on this topic. Dr. Volk, can you summarize the USPSTF recommendation and explain why you question it?

DR. VOLK: First, I’d like to spend a moment describing the Task Force. I think the USPSTF is often misunderstood with respect to their composition, function, etc. The USPSTF was authorized by Congress in 1984 to make evidence-based recommendations about clinical preventive services, including, but not limited to, cancer screening. Members of the USPSTF belong to fields of preventive medicine and primary care, and they volunteer their time to serve on the Task Force. They make these recommendations based on a careful assessment of evidence regarding the benefits and harms of a particular preventive health service.

In 2010, the Affordable Care Act legislation authorized the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) to provide administrative, research, and communications support to the USPSTF. The current prostate cancer-screening recommendation from the Task Force is a result of a careful comparative effectiveness review that was commissioned by the AHRQ.

The USPSTF functions autonomously from other government agencies. Their guidelines are not vetted by the AHRQ or any other entity with the Department of Health and Human Services. They have independent authority to make recommendations.

A couple of things to keep in mind: The recommendations are evidence-based, and the Task Force is looking at the same evidence that the other organizations are considering. The USPSTF does function autonomously, as I mentioned earlier, and an interesting aspect of their work is that they consider the cost of an intervention only because that cost relates to people’s ability to partake in the intervention.

In July 2012, the USPSTF issued its recommendation about screening for prostate cancer, and we did have a heads up about the update. The USPSTF has implemented a new process in which they post drafts of their recommendations and have a comment period where people can indicate their reactions to an upcoming recommendation. Therefore, we knew that this guideline was going to be released.

This is a “D” level recommendation from the Task Force, and it reads, “The Task Force recommends against PSA-based screening for prostate cancer. This recommendation applies to all men in the general US population, regardless of age.”

They go on to talk about the guidelines not addressing issues such as using PSA for surveillance.

In summary, what the USPSTF has done is review the evidence largely from the 2 screening trials that have been mentioned previously. They have concluded that the harms of screening, which are well known and well documented, exceed the potential benefit of screening; in effect, they recommend against prostate cancer screening.

This is different from their recommendation of 2008 where the USPSTF issued an “I” recommendation, arguing that the evidence was insufficient to recommend for or against screening. Therefore, the USPSTF is a bit of an outlier when considering the recommendations of other groups.

This is a controversial recommendation, and there have been quite a few comments and criticisms about it. We’ve talked about the concerns regarding the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial, and perhaps, the USPSTF gave too much importance to the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial findings, especially considering the high (>50%) contamination rate among the control men.

Additionally, there have been concerns about the USPSTF not giving enough importance to the European trial. In particular, the trial from Goteborg21 showed a significant benefit in terms of prostate cancer mortality and a much lower number needed to be screened as compared to the overall trial.

Then again, they released a “D” level recommendation. People would have been much more comfortable with the recommendation if it had been a “C.” A “C” recommendation would recommend against routine screening, which would be very much in line with the recommendation of other groups that endorse an informed or a shared decision-making process.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Wolf, regarding the informed decision-making process, ACS has consistently supported this concept. Can you define informed decision making and explain its importance?

DR. WOLF: In general, whenever there is an intervention or a diagnostic tool where the balance between the benefits and potential harms is too close to call, it is really incumbent on physicians to engage patients in an informed decision as to whether they wish to proceed.

This is particularly relevant to the prostate issue. Because prostate cancer screening, by definition, involves men who are asymptomatic at the time that we’re proposing it, and given that there’s clearly uncertainty regarding the overall balance between benefits and harms, it really is vital to allow the patient to be part of the decision.

This is essentially an ethical issue. Before we potentially cause harm, we should certainly have the patients agreement; we should know that they want to proceed with the intervention—in this case, prostate cancer screening. That’s the reason why informed decision making—and in this case, shared decision making—is so important.

Shared decision making implies not only that the patient is informed but also that the healthcare provider is engaged in the decision-making process by assisting the patient in making the decision whether or not to be tested for prostate cancer.

One element of this process is that the patient has the information to understand why screening is controversial. The patient should understand the potential benefits of screening, which, of course, include potentially preventing death from prostate cancer.

There are many potential harms, including harms related to the initial PSA screening with or without the DRE, which are negligible risks; however, the problems associated with biopsy are not insubstantial, primarily in terms of the infection risk and bleeding risk. One Medicare database study reported a hospitalization rate of up to 0.45% for urinary or prostate infection in men who have had a prostate biopsy.22

The problems associated with treating screen-detected prostate cancer are well known and include sexual dysfunction, urinary incontinence, bowel injury from radiation, death on the operating table, and postoperative death. Patients should be aware of these elements before they launch into the screening process.

Since this is such a value-dependent decision, physicians can play a critical role in helping patients to articulate their values and subsequently integrate these values into the screening decision. For example, is it more important to the patient to try to avert death due to prostate cancer or to avoid complications such as sexual dysfunction, urinary incontinence, or bowel injury incurred while treating a cancer that might never have harmed them?

DR. HOFFMAN: One thing that I really appreciate about the ACS guidelines is that while encouraging informed decision making, they recognize that physicians and patients often don’t have the time to adequately discuss screening. The physicians may also not have readily available information on benefits and harms; therefore, the ACS recommends using decision aids. Dr. Volk, could you describe decision aids and how we should use them? Do we know whether they’re effective?

DR. VOLK: The question really is that with all this wonderful evidence, how can we expect clinicians to have a conversation with patients about the potential harms and benefits of screening, all within the context of a very limited encounter? It just takes a lot of time, and decision aids can be quite helpful in this situation.

Decision aids are tools that help patients think about their choices. They provide patients with information about their options in a balanced way. They help people to deliberate or think about their options, pursue more information, and consider what it would be like if they decided to choose either option.

For prostate cancer screening, some very useful tools have been developed. We mentioned that the ACS developed a prostate cancer-screening decision aid after its guidelines were released, and there are other aids too. The Informed Medical Decisions Foundation has a very useful tool, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has a tool as well. Thus, there are some very helpful decision aids that are available.23–25

Decision aids are developed to help move some of the educational burden off the clinician and help the patient to have a meaningful conversation about what their values and preferences are so that they can make a decision in collaboration with their health care provider that’s best for them.

A large number of randomized trials examining patient decision aids have been completed. Many are specific to prostate cancer screening, and invariably, they show that men learn a lot about the harms and benefits of screening. The tools don’t make men more anxious about cancer or making a decision, and they become more assured about the choices they make.

DR. HOFFMAN: I wanted to get everyone’s thoughts on what the future of screening is. Dr. Penson, what do you think lies ahead for prostate cancer screening?

DR. PENSON: This concept of risk-based screening is the future of prostate cancer screening. Eventually, we are probably performing too many PSA tests. We probably don’t need them on an annual basis, and we need to develop a more intelligent way to approach this topic in the men who want to undergo PSA testing. The biggest problem with screening, which we alluded to earlier, is the problem of overdiagnosis and overtreatment. We know that probably, one-third of the patients who are screened and in whom prostate cancer is detected have an overdiagnosed cancer. So, potentially, screening less often and screening only the patients who are most likely to have an increased risk for prostate cancer may reduce the overdiagnosis rate.

The other point that we really haven’t talked about—and I do think this is important for the future—is the concept of divorcing screening from treatment. We discussed about the harms of screening a little, and people tend to clump the harms of screening and treatment together.

There are harms to screening, specifically the harms of a biopsy if the screening test is positive. However, the harms of treatment (if the biopsy is positive) are avoidable by increasing the use of active surveillance as a treatment strategy. In other words, instead of taking a patient who has been diagnosed with prostate cancer, particularly a low-grade prostate cancer, and immediately operating on him or performing a radiation treatment for him, we manage him with active surveillance. There may be a real role for following those patients closely, with regard to monitoring their PSA levels, repeating biopsies over time, and effectively and actively surveying them. This reduces the complications associated with aggressive intervention and potentially improves the efficacy of screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Volk, you have actually worked on a decision aid for prostate cancer treatment. Can you discuss the challenges of convincing men to select active surveillance?

DR. VOLK: I have done some work with the Eisenberg Center and the AHRQ on a web-based decision aid for prostate cancer treatment.26 We released this decision aid before the results of the Prostate Cancer Intervention Versus Observation Trial (PIVOT) were published, but we were certainly aware of the main findings from that important study.27

It takes some rethinking about prostate cancer. For example, a challenging idea for patients is that there is a spectrum of risk: some cancers can have a lesser chance of progressing than others. What we’ve done with our decision aid tool is try to emphasize that patients should understand this spectrum of risk and talk with their healthcare provider about their options, including the option of careful monitoring of their cancer, if the risk is really low.

Active surveillance is more than watchful waiting—it is carefully monitoring the cancer for progression. Thus, it is a challenge to communicate the idea of a spectrum of risk and how this is related to treatment or management decision making. Active surveillance involves carefully monitoring, and if there is progression, there is still time to act.

DR. HOFFMAN: Finally, Dr. Wolf, do you have any other thoughts on the future of prostate cancer screening?

DR. WOLF: I have concerns about it, just because there is now such a divergence of national recommendations. When you have competing recommendations, which is the situation we are now in, physicians understandably don’t know what to do and they tend to continue whatever they were doing before. We don’t want physicians to be conducting blanket screening without informed decision making; on the other hand, we may lose opportunities to target screening for men who might want it and benefit from it but won’t be offered screening based on the USPSTF recommendation.

I think that the USPSTF made an important error in giving prostate cancer screening a “D” recommendation. My feeling is that the evidence would best support a “C” recommendation, meaning that men should not be routinely screened but instead should be informed of the risks and benefits and allowed to decide for themselves.

I also agree with the others in that active surveillance should be part of what is offered if a low- or moderate-grade prostate cancer is detected. That approach is used much more readily in Europe and may partly explain why the Goteborg European trial demonstrated such a low “number needed to treat” (12 men with screen-detected prostate cancer treated to avert one cancer death over 14 years of follow-up).21 This number is much lower than that in the European study overall and compares favorably with other cancer screens such as mammography and even colorectal cancer screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: Thank you, everyone. I really appreciate your participation and very insightful comments.

UPDATE

The AUA recently updated their position on PSA screening.20 The previous AUA recommendations were based upon expert opinion and the consensus process, while the new guidelines are evidence-based developed using a process based upon the Institute of Medicine's recommendations on guideline development. In short, the AUA guidelines now recommend informed decision making for PSA screening for men aged 55-69 years at average risk for the disease. In this setting, men should be informed of the risks and benefits of screening and should undergo screening if they feel it is in their best interests after this discussion. In men over age 70 years at average risk or those with less than a 10-year life expectancy, the guidelines recommend against routine screening, although they do acknowledge that there may be a role for informed decision making in particularly healthy men over the age of 70 years. Perhaps, the most controversial element of the new AUA guidelines is the fact that they do not recommend routine screening in men aged 40-54 years at average risk for prostate cancer. This is somewhat different from explicitly recommending against screening. The panel felt that because there was currently no evidence showing a significant benefit to screening in this age group, while there were some documented harms associated with screening, it could not endorse routine population-wide screening. However, the panel did note some evidence showing a relationship between elevated PSA levels in men in their 40s and increased risk of prostate cancer metastases and death later in life. Because of this, the panel felt that “the absence of evidence does not mean an evidence of absence” and stopped short of explicitly recommending against screening in this younger age group. It is important to remember that the AUA guidelines only apply to men at average risk and that men at an increased risk of disease (strong family history and African-American race) are encouraged to discuss screening with their provider and make an informed decision regarding testing, regardless of their age.

The American College of Physicians (ACP) also recently issued a guidance statement based on their review of screening guidelines developed by other organizations.28 The ACP also supported shared decision making for men between the ages of 50 and 69 years, advising clinicians to inform these men about “the limited potential benefits and substantial harms of [PSA] screening for prostate cancer.” They also recommended against PSA testing for average-risk men under the age of 50 years or over the age of 69 years and for men with a life expectancy less than 10 years. With these new publications, there is now a consensus among professional organizations against routine screening. Instead, men between the ages of 50 and 69 years should be supported in making informed decisions that reflect their preferences.

FoxP2 Media LLC, is the publisher of The Medical Roundtable.

DR. HOFFMAN: Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing was introduced in the 1980s as a tumor marker for cancer surveillance. However, it was rapidly and widely adopted for prostate cancer screening. From the beginning, PSA screening has been controversial. Based largely on diagnostic performance data, The American Urological Association (AUA)1 and the American Cancer Society (ACS)2 began recommending routine PSA screening and digital rectal examination (DRE) in the early 1990s. In contrast, the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) did not endorse screening because they believed that the available evidence was insufficient to either recommend or oppose screening. Large randomized screening trials were initiated in Europe (the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer [ERSPC]3) and in America (the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian [PLCO] Cancer Screening Trial4).

The introduction of PSA screening was associated with a decreased incidence of advanced stage disease and a slight decrease in prostate cancer mortality. However, screening often detected indolent localized cancers that did not require treatment. Observational studies also suggested that treating localized cancers could adversely affect urinary, bowel, and sexual function.5 Consequently, while awaiting results from the randomized trials, the guidelines began acknowledging the complexity of screening decisions and encouraging clinicians to help patients make informed decisions.

In 2009, the publication of the long-awaited mortality results from 2 large randomized prostate cancer screening trials did not provide sufficient data to resolve controversies. The ERSPC showed a small benefit from screening after 9 years, but the American PLCO Cancer Screening Trial reported only negative findings. Recent updates with longer follow-ups confirmed the original findings.6,7 Revised guidelines have actually heightened the controversies.8 The ACS and AUA still recommend helping men make informed decisions regarding screening, though the 2009 AUA guideline expanded the age range for screening as well as criteria for biopsy referral.9 Meanwhile, the USPSTF recently recommended against prostate screening under any circumstances.10 Regardless of this, after more than 20 years of use, PSA testing is not going to be suddenly discontinued. Patients and physicians will still face the challenging decisions of whether and how to screen for prostate cancer. We’ve assembled a panel of experts to discuss clinical trial results, guideline controversies, and strategies for supporting informed decision making for prostate cancer screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: I’m Dr. Richard Hoffman, Professor of Medicine at the University of New Mexico and a staff physician at the Albuquerque VA Medical Center. I’ll be moderating this discussion.

DR. PENSON: I am David Penson; I’m Professor of Urologic Surgery at Vanderbilt University. I direct our Center for Surgical Quality and Outcomes Research.

DR. VOLK: I’m Bob Volk. I’m a professor in the Department of General Internal Medicine at the MD Anderson Cancer Center. I’m a decision scientist and a developer of patient decision aids.

DR. WOLF: I’m Andy Wolf. I am an Associate Professor of Medicine at the University of Virginia School of Medicine. I was the first author of the ACS Guideline for the Early Detection of Prostate Cancer that came out in 2010.

DR. HOFFMAN: I want to start briefly by talking about the epidemiology of prostate cancer with regard to PSA screening. We’ve seen a large and persistent increase in cancer incidence rates. Cancer mortality rates initially increased slightly after the introduction of PSA testing followed by a decrease in mortality rates. Dr. Penson, can you comment on this?

DR. PENSON: When we assess prostate cancer mortality rates in the United States, interestingly, we see a spike in the early 1990s, which we have alluded to, that’s consistent with the introduction of PSA testing. We also see a spike for incidence, and as we examine that spike, we see that incidence remains higher than it was before the introduction of PSA testing.

Certainly, that’s what you’d expect with a new screening test, but what’s interesting is that when we follow-up the patients into the late 90s and the early 21st century, we see a decline in prostate cancer mortality when we look at the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) data.11 This gives rise to the question of why we are seeing this decline in mortality.

Proponents of screening will tell you this is proof that screening works and that we’re catching cancers earlier and treating them earlier. However, although it certainly makes those of us who believe that screening is a positive thing feel optimistic, it isn’t conclusive evidence.

The problem is that there are other possible influences that may reduce mortality. The first is the change in the way we treat prostate cancer. There was an increase in the use of hormone therapy in the late 1990s and early 2000s, and some people have said that this may be the cause of the decline in mortality.

Some models have tried to account for changing patterns of treatment and for the potential benefit of hormone therapy. Most of the work has been done by a group called the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET), which is a group of biostatisticians and modelers who are funded by the National Cancer Institute (NCI).

I’ve actually participated in that group, and there was a paper in Cancer Causes and Control12 approximately 3 or 4 years ago that is often quoted. We were able to show that even after accounting for these changes in treatment, over time, you’re going to see that PSA screening or prostate cancer screening is responsible for anywhere from 40% to 70% of the observed drop in mortality.

Again, this is a model. It’s not a randomized clinical trial, so it is looked at quite skeptically. That being said, we are definitely seeing a decline in mortality. There is some preliminary evidence showing that this may be due to screening, but it’s not conclusive.13

DR. WOLF: Dr. Penson, interestingly, when you review the European Randomized trial data, which shows a potential reduction in mortality due to screening, it seemed that the benefit was observed approximately 10 years after the onset of screening.14 And yet, the initial decline in prostate cancer mortality seemed to begin only 2 or 3 years following the advent of PSA screening. The critics of screening say that the mortality decline occurred too soon after the advent of PSA for it to be attributed to PSA screening. I’m sure you’ve thought about that, but is that a legitimate criticism of PSA screening?

DR. PENSON: I think it is a legitimate criticism to some degree. If you only observed a decline in the first few years after screening was introduced, which then dissipated, it would be a very valid criticism, but here, you continue to see the decline. A recently published study from Austria observed a decline within 1 to 2 years of prostate cancer screening.15 No one gives that result credit because of exactly what you said: It occurs too early. When you look at these models that Ruth Etzioni and Alex Tsodikov have developed,16 you notice that some of the decline in mortality, but not all of it, is attributed to screening. The former change may be related directly to treatment that was stopped after the first 2 or 3 years as patients were receiving hormonal treatments earlier. I think that’s what accounts for that initial drop, but the fact is, you see a prolonged drop over time.

When I look at that decline in mortality—and again, this is an opinion because it has not been shown in a randomized clinical trial—my opinion is that prostate cancer screening has an effect, but we can’t say that the entire decline in mortality is due to screening. It’s probably due to other reasons as well, and that’s why the models make more sense to me when you say, “Somewhere between 40% and 70% of the decline can be attributed to screening.”

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Wolf, that’s actually a good lead in, because clearly, the epidemiologic data are not going to be conclusive with regard to whether screening accounts for a decline in mortality. We awaited publication of the results from the ERSPC and PLCO randomized screening trials for many years. Can you tell us about the ERSPC study design and results and how you have interpreted the findings?

DR. WOLF: The European trial was more of a meta-analysis of multiple trials going on simultaneously because it involved 7 European countries. It started in 1991 and included randomized 162,000 men who were between the ages of 55 and 69 years, to PSA screening or routine care.

However, this trial was being conducted in 7 different European countries, and there were some real differences in the methodologies between the countries. In addition, there were differences in the PSA level cutoffs that prompted further evaluation and also differences in screening intervals. Therefore, it wasn’t a pure randomized trial; it was more of a meta-analysis. Nonetheless, it provided a very large cohort of men who were randomized. They were followed up for a mean period of approximately 11 years at the most recent update, which was published in 2012.

In that study, there was a statistically significant difference in prostate cancer mortality in the men who underwent PSA screening compared with those who received routine care. There was a 21% relative risk reduction in prostate cancer death in the screened group as compared to the unscreened group at 11 years of follow-up. Thus, approximately 1000 men needed to be screened to save 1 life and approximately 37 men needed to be diagnosed with prostate cancer to save 1 life over 11 years. These findings highlight an important limitation of prostate cancer screening: overdiagnosis and overtreatment. Although screening may reduce cancer mortality overall, many men who undergo screening will be diagnosed with and treated for prostate cancer, who never would have developed clinically apparent disease if they had not been screened. In other words, they would have lived a normal life and died of an unrelated cause before their prostate cancer became apparent. This is an issue with many conditions that are screened for, but it is a particularly prominent issue for prostate cancer screening, because of the often long latency between cancer onset and the development of clinical illness.

Of note, the European trial did not show any impact on overall all-cause mortality, although this is often the case in most cancer screening trials. They’re aimed at assessing cancer-specific mortality reduction. Therefore, this study did show a statistically significant decline in prostate cancer-specific mortality.

The European study has been criticized for a number of reasons. Perhaps the most serious criticism is that there was some concern that the men in whom prostate cancer was diagnosed in the screening arm were more likely to receive treatment in university settings than those in whom prostate cancer was diagnosed in the routine care arm or control arm, who may have been more likely to receive care in community hospitals. That difference, if big enough, may have affected the outcome.

Another criticism is that the study is, in fact, a meta-analysis and that the methodologies differed significantly between the countries. In fact, one of the concerns of the USPSTF was that only 2 of the countries—Sweden and the Netherlands—showed a statistically significant mortality reduction that was not seen in the other 5 countries. This raised the question of whether the reduction in mortality was a generalizable finding.

The contamination rate, referring to the number of patients who were in the control arm and who were actually screened, was relatively low; it was only 10% compared to an approximately 40% to 50% contamination rate in the American study, which we will discuss further on.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Penson, the American PLCO Cancer Screening Trial is essentially negative. Can you comment on that study?

DR. PENSON: It’s really nice to follow that great discussion of the ERSPC trial. At the same time that ERSPC was being conducted, there was a similar trial in the United States—the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial—involving prostate, lung, colorectal, and ovarian cancer screening.

In the prostate arm of that trial, the researchers randomized just over 76,000 men for either screening or routine care. This was accomplished at 10 centers from 1993 through 2001, and they originally published their results in The New England Journal of Medicine.17 They have published a longer-term follow-up earlier this year in the Journal of the National Cancer Institute.18 This study was essentially a negative study. With 13 years of follow-up, there was no difference between the intervention arm and the control arm.

However, I don’t view this study as a screening versus no-screening one. This is a study of a little bit of screening versus a lot of screening. In the intervention arm, there were patients undergoing annual screening as would be suggested if a patient decided to undergo screening via various guidelines. However, there is high contamination in the control arm because at 3 years of the study, just over 40% of the men in the control arm underwent a PSA screening test, and by the end of the study, more than half the men—I believe it was 52%—had a PSA screening test. So, it’s not really a fair comparison of screening versus no screening, but the study does provide us with some important information.

Screening is not to be performed for everyone. For example, in an older patient who has more comorbid diseases, screening is probably not worth it because, as was discussed earlier, the life expectancy should be adequate in order to see a benefit (if one exists). You have to live long enough to get that benefit—I would say, at least 10 years.

There was another analysis of PLCO Cancer Screening Trial that was published in The Journal of Clinical Oncology,, with David Crawford as the lead author, that looked at the subgroup of patients in the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial who were younger and healthier.19 In that subgroup, they found prostate cancer screening to have a benefit. We should keep in mind that this study was a subgroup analysis, but I think it starts influencing our decision making because it helps us understand which patients are going to benefit from the screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Penson, as a urologist, what do you think about the potential biases in ERSPC in that screened patients were more likely to be treated at university centers? Is that a real concern?

DR. PENSON: I think that’s a very fair criticism of the study. One of the problems that you have with the European study—and to some degree, even the American study—is that there was really no protocol for treatment once a diagnosis was made. There are treatment differences not only in the European study but also in the American study. For example, we know for a fact that there are differences in the quality of surgical interventions between high-volume and low-volume hospitals. I suspect that the same differences exist for radiation therapy. Therefore, I think there are differences with regard to who underwent treatment and where the patients were treated in the European study.

People wish to compare the European study to the American study, but as stated earlier, the European study is a meta-analysis with a number of different screening protocols, and the patients involved in those screening protocols aren’t necessarily a representative population of the United States. So, my take-home message is that we should not generalize the results of either study to all patients. Results of each study can only be applied to patients that reflect those enrolled in that particular study.

DR. HOFFMAN: Over the last 2 decades, professional organizations have issued a number of screening guidelines. Initially, the AUA and ACS were very pro-screening. However, over time, they have acknowledged the fact that screening decisions are complicated, involving tradeoffs between benefits and harms, and that we need to help men make informed decisions. The USPSTF argued for years that there was insufficient evidence either for or against screening.

After the long-awaited publication of the randomized screening trial results, the AUA revised their guidelines. Dr. Penson, can you tell us about these guidelines?

DR. PENSON: As a urologist, I am affiliated with the AUA, which is the primary specialty organization for urology. The AUA’s guidelines are more of best practice statements than guidelines, per se, because they were released immediately after the randomized clinical trials were completed; thus, these trials didn’t have a prominent role in the document as they should have. So, now, AUA is revising the guidelines again, as they do every few years.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Wolf, you were the lead author on the recently revised ACS guidelines. Can you highlight your recommendations and talk about how they contrasted with the AUA guidelines?

DR. WOLF: The ACS guideline, similar to that of the AUA, calls for informed decision making as the centerpiece of the guideline. I think the exact wording was, “Men should have an opportunity to make an informed decision with their healthcare provider about whether to be screened for prostate cancer.” It really does highlight the importance of informed decision making. In fact, in the guideline, it specifically states, “Prostate cancer screening should not occur without an informed decision-making process.”

One difference is the age at which that informed discussion begins. The ACS recommends that the discussion between doctor and patient about whether to screen begin at the age of 50 years. We also recommend that men whose life expectancy is below 10 years not be engaged in that discussion. In other words, the ACS determined that if the patient does not have a 10-year life expectancy, he would not benefit from early detection. In contrast, the AUA guideline, which was just published in 2013, recommends initiating the informed decision-making process at the age of 55 years in average-risk men.20 For men who choose to be screened, they recommend screening until the age of 69 years, rather than following the 10-year life expectancy guideline. In general, the AUA appears to be adhering more strictly to the protocol of the ERSPC.

Other elements of the ACS guideline are also risk-based in the sense that for men whose initial PSA level is below 2.5 ng/mL, the recommendation is now to conduct screening every 2 years rather than annually. If a man’s PSA level is between 2.5 and 4.0 ng/mL, the ACS still calls for annual screening. The AUA guideline, again adhering closely to the European trial protocol, calls for screening every 2 to 4 years.

The ACS guideline also indicates that community-based screening should be discouraged, unless thorough informed decision making can be done at the time of the screening. If that cannot be established, then community-based screening should not be offered. By community-based, I mean in public settings or hospital-based settings where there is a significant chance that decision making would not occur. Such screening should be discouraged.

The ACS guideline includes a delineation of the core elements that should be included in the discussion to assure that informed decision making occurs. These include the potential benefits; for example, prostate cancer can be found earlier with screening than without screening, and early detection may reduce the chance of dying from prostate cancer. However, we also included the disadvantages of screening, including the significant risk of overdiagnosis and overtreatment; the risk of false-positive and false-negative results; the risks of prostate biopsy; and the significant risk of sexual dysfunction, urinary incontinence, and bowel injury that are associated with treatment of screen-detected cancer: these are the key elements.

Another new aspect of the ACS guideline included our recommendation that the DRE be included only as an optional component of screening. This is just based on the lack of data to suggest that it’s an effective screening tool at the population level. The European study did not include the DRE as a part of the screening in most countries, and this study showed a mortality benefit. The PLCO Cancer Screening Trial included the DRE, and it was a negative study. Therefore, on the basis of the randomized trial evidence and other evidence, the ACS elected to make the DRE an optional element of the screening process.

DR. HOFFMAN: To lead the discussion into the last guideline from the USPSTF, I’d like to turn to Dr. Volk, who’s written a number of very thoughtful commentaries on this topic. Dr. Volk, can you summarize the USPSTF recommendation and explain why you question it?

DR. VOLK: First, I’d like to spend a moment describing the Task Force. I think the USPSTF is often misunderstood with respect to their composition, function, etc. The USPSTF was authorized by Congress in 1984 to make evidence-based recommendations about clinical preventive services, including, but not limited to, cancer screening. Members of the USPSTF belong to fields of preventive medicine and primary care, and they volunteer their time to serve on the Task Force. They make these recommendations based on a careful assessment of evidence regarding the benefits and harms of a particular preventive health service.

In 2010, the Affordable Care Act legislation authorized the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) to provide administrative, research, and communications support to the USPSTF. The current prostate cancer-screening recommendation from the Task Force is a result of a careful comparative effectiveness review that was commissioned by the AHRQ.

The USPSTF functions autonomously from other government agencies. Their guidelines are not vetted by the AHRQ or any other entity with the Department of Health and Human Services. They have independent authority to make recommendations.

A couple of things to keep in mind: The recommendations are evidence-based, and the Task Force is looking at the same evidence that the other organizations are considering. The USPSTF does function autonomously, as I mentioned earlier, and an interesting aspect of their work is that they consider the cost of an intervention only because that cost relates to people’s ability to partake in the intervention.

In July 2012, the USPSTF issued its recommendation about screening for prostate cancer, and we did have a heads up about the update. The USPSTF has implemented a new process in which they post drafts of their recommendations and have a comment period where people can indicate their reactions to an upcoming recommendation. Therefore, we knew that this guideline was going to be released.

This is a “D” level recommendation from the Task Force, and it reads, “The Task Force recommends against PSA-based screening for prostate cancer. This recommendation applies to all men in the general US population, regardless of age.”

They go on to talk about the guidelines not addressing issues such as using PSA for surveillance.

In summary, what the USPSTF has done is review the evidence largely from the 2 screening trials that have been mentioned previously. They have concluded that the harms of screening, which are well known and well documented, exceed the potential benefit of screening; in effect, they recommend against prostate cancer screening.

This is different from their recommendation of 2008 where the USPSTF issued an “I” recommendation, arguing that the evidence was insufficient to recommend for or against screening. Therefore, the USPSTF is a bit of an outlier when considering the recommendations of other groups.

This is a controversial recommendation, and there have been quite a few comments and criticisms about it. We’ve talked about the concerns regarding the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial, and perhaps, the USPSTF gave too much importance to the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial findings, especially considering the high (>50%) contamination rate among the control men.

Additionally, there have been concerns about the USPSTF not giving enough importance to the European trial. In particular, the trial from Goteborg21 showed a significant benefit in terms of prostate cancer mortality and a much lower number needed to be screened as compared to the overall trial.

Then again, they released a “D” level recommendation. People would have been much more comfortable with the recommendation if it had been a “C.” A “C” recommendation would recommend against routine screening, which would be very much in line with the recommendation of other groups that endorse an informed or a shared decision-making process.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Wolf, regarding the informed decision-making process, ACS has consistently supported this concept. Can you define informed decision making and explain its importance?

DR. WOLF: In general, whenever there is an intervention or a diagnostic tool where the balance between the benefits and potential harms is too close to call, it is really incumbent on physicians to engage patients in an informed decision as to whether they wish to proceed.

This is particularly relevant to the prostate issue. Because prostate cancer screening, by definition, involves men who are asymptomatic at the time that we’re proposing it, and given that there’s clearly uncertainty regarding the overall balance between benefits and harms, it really is vital to allow the patient to be part of the decision.

This is essentially an ethical issue. Before we potentially cause harm, we should certainly have the patients agreement; we should know that they want to proceed with the intervention—in this case, prostate cancer screening. That’s the reason why informed decision making—and in this case, shared decision making—is so important.

Shared decision making implies not only that the patient is informed but also that the healthcare provider is engaged in the decision-making process by assisting the patient in making the decision whether or not to be tested for prostate cancer.

One element of this process is that the patient has the information to understand why screening is controversial. The patient should understand the potential benefits of screening, which, of course, include potentially preventing death from prostate cancer.

There are many potential harms, including harms related to the initial PSA screening with or without the DRE, which are negligible risks; however, the problems associated with biopsy are not insubstantial, primarily in terms of the infection risk and bleeding risk. One Medicare database study reported a hospitalization rate of up to 0.45% for urinary or prostate infection in men who have had a prostate biopsy.22

The problems associated with treating screen-detected prostate cancer are well known and include sexual dysfunction, urinary incontinence, bowel injury from radiation, death on the operating table, and postoperative death. Patients should be aware of these elements before they launch into the screening process.

Since this is such a value-dependent decision, physicians can play a critical role in helping patients to articulate their values and subsequently integrate these values into the screening decision. For example, is it more important to the patient to try to avert death due to prostate cancer or to avoid complications such as sexual dysfunction, urinary incontinence, or bowel injury incurred while treating a cancer that might never have harmed them?

DR. HOFFMAN: One thing that I really appreciate about the ACS guidelines is that while encouraging informed decision making, they recognize that physicians and patients often don’t have the time to adequately discuss screening. The physicians may also not have readily available information on benefits and harms; therefore, the ACS recommends using decision aids. Dr. Volk, could you describe decision aids and how we should use them? Do we know whether they’re effective?

DR. VOLK: The question really is that with all this wonderful evidence, how can we expect clinicians to have a conversation with patients about the potential harms and benefits of screening, all within the context of a very limited encounter? It just takes a lot of time, and decision aids can be quite helpful in this situation.

Decision aids are tools that help patients think about their choices. They provide patients with information about their options in a balanced way. They help people to deliberate or think about their options, pursue more information, and consider what it would be like if they decided to choose either option.

For prostate cancer screening, some very useful tools have been developed. We mentioned that the ACS developed a prostate cancer-screening decision aid after its guidelines were released, and there are other aids too. The Informed Medical Decisions Foundation has a very useful tool, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has a tool as well. Thus, there are some very helpful decision aids that are available.23–25

Decision aids are developed to help move some of the educational burden off the clinician and help the patient to have a meaningful conversation about what their values and preferences are so that they can make a decision in collaboration with their health care provider that’s best for them.

A large number of randomized trials examining patient decision aids have been completed. Many are specific to prostate cancer screening, and invariably, they show that men learn a lot about the harms and benefits of screening. The tools don’t make men more anxious about cancer or making a decision, and they become more assured about the choices they make.

DR. HOFFMAN: I wanted to get everyone’s thoughts on what the future of screening is. Dr. Penson, what do you think lies ahead for prostate cancer screening?

DR. PENSON: This concept of risk-based screening is the future of prostate cancer screening. Eventually, we are probably performing too many PSA tests. We probably don’t need them on an annual basis, and we need to develop a more intelligent way to approach this topic in the men who want to undergo PSA testing. The biggest problem with screening, which we alluded to earlier, is the problem of overdiagnosis and overtreatment. We know that probably, one-third of the patients who are screened and in whom prostate cancer is detected have an overdiagnosed cancer. So, potentially, screening less often and screening only the patients who are most likely to have an increased risk for prostate cancer may reduce the overdiagnosis rate.

The other point that we really haven’t talked about—and I do think this is important for the future—is the concept of divorcing screening from treatment. We discussed about the harms of screening a little, and people tend to clump the harms of screening and treatment together.

There are harms to screening, specifically the harms of a biopsy if the screening test is positive. However, the harms of treatment (if the biopsy is positive) are avoidable by increasing the use of active surveillance as a treatment strategy. In other words, instead of taking a patient who has been diagnosed with prostate cancer, particularly a low-grade prostate cancer, and immediately operating on him or performing a radiation treatment for him, we manage him with active surveillance. There may be a real role for following those patients closely, with regard to monitoring their PSA levels, repeating biopsies over time, and effectively and actively surveying them. This reduces the complications associated with aggressive intervention and potentially improves the efficacy of screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: Dr. Volk, you have actually worked on a decision aid for prostate cancer treatment. Can you discuss the challenges of convincing men to select active surveillance?

DR. VOLK: I have done some work with the Eisenberg Center and the AHRQ on a web-based decision aid for prostate cancer treatment.26 We released this decision aid before the results of the Prostate Cancer Intervention Versus Observation Trial (PIVOT) were published, but we were certainly aware of the main findings from that important study.27

It takes some rethinking about prostate cancer. For example, a challenging idea for patients is that there is a spectrum of risk: some cancers can have a lesser chance of progressing than others. What we’ve done with our decision aid tool is try to emphasize that patients should understand this spectrum of risk and talk with their healthcare provider about their options, including the option of careful monitoring of their cancer, if the risk is really low.

Active surveillance is more than watchful waiting—it is carefully monitoring the cancer for progression. Thus, it is a challenge to communicate the idea of a spectrum of risk and how this is related to treatment or management decision making. Active surveillance involves carefully monitoring, and if there is progression, there is still time to act.

DR. HOFFMAN: Finally, Dr. Wolf, do you have any other thoughts on the future of prostate cancer screening?

DR. WOLF: I have concerns about it, just because there is now such a divergence of national recommendations. When you have competing recommendations, which is the situation we are now in, physicians understandably don’t know what to do and they tend to continue whatever they were doing before. We don’t want physicians to be conducting blanket screening without informed decision making; on the other hand, we may lose opportunities to target screening for men who might want it and benefit from it but won’t be offered screening based on the USPSTF recommendation.

I think that the USPSTF made an important error in giving prostate cancer screening a “D” recommendation. My feeling is that the evidence would best support a “C” recommendation, meaning that men should not be routinely screened but instead should be informed of the risks and benefits and allowed to decide for themselves.

I also agree with the others in that active surveillance should be part of what is offered if a low- or moderate-grade prostate cancer is detected. That approach is used much more readily in Europe and may partly explain why the Goteborg European trial demonstrated such a low “number needed to treat” (12 men with screen-detected prostate cancer treated to avert one cancer death over 14 years of follow-up).21 This number is much lower than that in the European study overall and compares favorably with other cancer screens such as mammography and even colorectal cancer screening.

DR. HOFFMAN: Thank you, everyone. I really appreciate your participation and very insightful comments.

UPDATE

The AUA recently updated their position on PSA screening.20 The previous AUA recommendations were based upon expert opinion and the consensus process, while the new guidelines are evidence-based developed using a process based upon the Institute of Medicine's recommendations on guideline development. In short, the AUA guidelines now recommend informed decision making for PSA screening for men aged 55-69 years at average risk for the disease. In this setting, men should be informed of the risks and benefits of screening and should undergo screening if they feel it is in their best interests after this discussion. In men over age 70 years at average risk or those with less than a 10-year life expectancy, the guidelines recommend against routine screening, although they do acknowledge that there may be a role for informed decision making in particularly healthy men over the age of 70 years. Perhaps, the most controversial element of the new AUA guidelines is the fact that they do not recommend routine screening in men aged 40-54 years at average risk for prostate cancer. This is somewhat different from explicitly recommending against screening. The panel felt that because there was currently no evidence showing a significant benefit to screening in this age group, while there were some documented harms associated with screening, it could not endorse routine population-wide screening. However, the panel did note some evidence showing a relationship between elevated PSA levels in men in their 40s and increased risk of prostate cancer metastases and death later in life. Because of this, the panel felt that “the absence of evidence does not mean an evidence of absence” and stopped short of explicitly recommending against screening in this younger age group. It is important to remember that the AUA guidelines only apply to men at average risk and that men at an increased risk of disease (strong family history and African-American race) are encouraged to discuss screening with their provider and make an informed decision regarding testing, regardless of their age.

The American College of Physicians (ACP) also recently issued a guidance statement based on their review of screening guidelines developed by other organizations.28 The ACP also supported shared decision making for men between the ages of 50 and 69 years, advising clinicians to inform these men about “the limited potential benefits and substantial harms of [PSA] screening for prostate cancer.” They also recommended against PSA testing for average-risk men under the age of 50 years or over the age of 69 years and for men with a life expectancy less than 10 years. With these new publications, there is now a consensus among professional organizations against routine screening. Instead, men between the ages of 50 and 69 years should be supported in making informed decisions that reflect their preferences.

FoxP2 Media LLC, is the publisher of The Medical Roundtable.

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