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Although primary care physicians (PCPs) have traditionally treated patients in both ambulatory and hospital settings, many relinquished inpatient duties to hospitalists in recent decades.[1] Little is known about the PCPs who relinquished inpatient care duties or how the transition to the hospitalist model occurred. For example, what are the characteristics of PCPs who change? Do PCPs adopt the hospitalist model enthusiastically or cautiously? Characterizing PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model can help hospitalists understand their specialty's history and also inform health services research.
Much of the interest in the hospitalist model has been generated by studies reporting improved outcomes and lower hospital lengths of stay associated with hospitalist care.[2, 3, 4, 5] Conversely, detractors of the model point to reports of higher postacute care utilization among hospitalist patients.[6] Although these studies usually adjusted for differences among patients and hospitals, they did not account for PCP characteristics. As patients' access to PCPs and their PCP's capabilities are both plausible factors that could influence hospital length of stay (eg, decisions to complete more or less of a workup in the hospital), quality of care transitions, and postdischarge utilization, it is important to determine if PCPs who use hospitalists differ systematically from those who do not to correctly interpret health system utilization patterns that currently are attributed only to hospitalists.[7, 8]
We conducted this study to determine if observable PCP factors are associated with patients' use of hospitalists and to describe the trajectory by which PCPs referred their patients to hospitalists over time.
METHODS
Source of Data
We used claims data from 100% of Texas Medicare beneficiaries from 2000 to 2009, including Medicare beneficiary summary files, Medicare Provider Analysis and Review (MedPAR) files, Outpatient Standard Analytical Files (OutSAF), and Medicare Carrier files. Diagnosis related group (DRG)‐associated information, including weights, and Major Diagnostic Categories, were obtained from Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (
Establishment of the Study Cohort
Using the MedPAR file, we first selected hospital admissions from acute care hospitals in Texas for each year of the study period. We excluded beneficiaries younger than 66 years old, with incomplete Medicare Parts A and B enrollment, or with any health maintenance organization enrollment in the 12 months prior to the admission of interest. For patients with more than 1 admission in a given year, we randomly selected 1 admission. We then attempted to assign each patient to a PCP. We defined a PCP as a generalist (general practitioner, family physician, internist, or geriatrician) who saw a given beneficiary on 3 or more occasions in an outpatient setting in the year prior to the admission of interest.[9] We identified outpatient visits using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes 99201 to 99205 (new patient encounters), and 99211 to 99215 (established patient encounters) from Carrier files. If more than 1 generalist physician saw the beneficiary on 3 or more occasions in a given year, the physician with more than 75% of the total outpatient evaluation and management (E&M) billings was classified as the beneficiary's PCP. Using these criteria, approximately 66% of patients were assigned to a PCP.
For cross‐sectional analyses, we restricted our cohort to beneficiaries whose PCPs were associated with at least 20 inpatients in a given year. To study trends in PCP practice patterns over time, we further restricted the cohort to beneficiaries whose PCPs were associated with at least 20 inpatients in every year of the study period, resulting in 1172 PCPs for the trajectory analyses. The reliability of PCPs' practice profiles increases as the number of patients in their panel increases. We chose 20 inpatients as the minimum because PCPs with 20 hospitalized patients per study year would achieve a reliability of 0.9 for estimating the proportion of their patients that received care from hospitalists.[10]
Identification of Hospitalists
We defined hospitalists as generalists who had at least 100 E&M billings in a given year and generated at least 90% of their total E&M billings in the year from inpatient services.[1] Inpatient E&M billings were identified by CPT codes 99221 to 99223 (new or established patient encounters), 99231 to 99233 (subsequent hospital care), and 99251 to 99255 (inpatient consultations).[1]
Patient Measures
Patient demographic information including, age at admission, gender, race/ethnicity, and Medicaid eligibility were obtained from Medicare beneficiary summary files. We used the Medicaid indicator as a proxy for low socioeconomic status. Information on weekday versus weekend admission, emergent admission, and DRG were obtained from MedPAR files. The DRG category (circulatory system, digestive system, infectious disease, nervous system, respiratory system, or other) was determined based on its Major Diagnostic Category. We determined residence in a nursing facility in the 3 months before the admission of interest from the MedPAR files and by E&M codes 99304 to 99318 (nursing facility services) from Carrier files.[11] Comorbidities were identified using the claims from MedPAR, Carrier, and OutSAF files in the year prior to the admission of interest.[12] Total hospitalizations and outpatient visits in the prior year were identified from MedPAR files and Carrier files, respectively.
PCP Measures
We categorized PCPs by specialty (general practice, gamily practice, geriatric medicine, or internal medicine), years in practice, gender, US‐ versus foreign‐trained, metropolitan statistical area (MSA) of their practice location, and board certification status. The specialty was identified from Carrier files and the other information from AMA data. For each PCP, the total number of outpatient visits and total number of patients seen as outpatients in each year was calculated based on E&M codes (9920199205, 9921199215) from Carrier files. For each year, we computed the average outpatient age, gender, race, and outpatient comorbidity for each PCP's patient panel. We computed hospital volumes using the number of hospitalized patients associated with each PCP in the study cohort.
Study Outcome
To determine whether hospitalized patients received care from hospitalists during a given hospitalization, we identified all inpatient E&M bills from generalist physicians during the admission of interest by linking MedPAR and Carrier files. If more than 50% of the generalist inpatient E&M billings from generalist physicians were from 1 or more hospitalists, the patient was considered to have received care from hospitalists.
Statistical Analyses
Multilevel analyses were used to account for the clustering of patients within PCPs. All multilevel models were adjusted for patient characteristics including age, race/ethnicity, gender, Medicaid eligibility, emergency admission, weekend admission, DRG weight, DRG category, any nursing home stay in the prior 3 months, number of comorbidities, number of hospitalizations, and number of physician visits in the year prior to the admission of interest. To analyze trends in practice patterns, we first used multilevel models to calculate the proportions of inpatients cared for by hospitalists each year for each of the 1172 PCPs with at least 20 patients. Then we employed an SAS procedure (PROC TRAJ) developed by Jones et al. to classify these PCPs into groups based on their trajectories.[13] This group‐based trajectory modeling allowed us to identify relatively homogeneous clusters within a heterogeneous sample population.[14] We chose a model that classified the PCPs into 4 groups.[15] With 4 groups, the average of the posterior probabilities of group membership for the PCPs assigned to each group exceeded 0.93, indicating a low rate of misclassification among these 4 distinct groups. For the 1172 PCPs, we tested interactions between year of hospitalization and PCP characteristics while adjusting for patient characteristics in order to investigate whether or not the impacts of PCP characteristics on how likely their patients being cared for by hospitalists differed with time. All analyses were performed with SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC).
RESULTS
During the 2001 through 2009 study period, between 2252 and 2848 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in any single year. Among these, 1172 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in every year of the study period. These 1172 PCPs were associated with 608,686 hospitalizations over the 9 years.
Table 1 presents the characteristics of the PCPs who contributed to the cross‐sectional analyses in 2001 (N=2252) and 2009 (N=2387), as well as the 1172 PCPs for whom we had data for all 9 years for the longitudinal analyses. Most PCPs were male, trained in the United States, and were board certified. The average number of Medicare patients seen by these PCPs and number of outpatient Medicare visits went up about 7% between 2001 and 2009.
PCP Characteristics | Cross‐Sectional Analysis | Trajectory Analysis, 20012009 | |
---|---|---|---|
2001 | 2009 | ||
| |||
Overall, no. (%) | 2,252 (100%) | 2,387 (100%) | 1,172 (100%) |
Specialty, no. (%) | |||
General practice | 39 (1.7%) | 34 (1.4%) | 15 (1.3%) |
Family practice | 948 (42.1%) | 1,089 (45.6%) | 466 (39.8%) |
Internal medicine | 1,255 (55.7%) | 1,249 (52.3%) | 688 (58.7%) |
Geriatrics | 10 (0.4%) | 15 (0.6%) | 3 (0.3%) |
Gender, no. (%) | |||
Male | 1,990 (88.4%) | 2,015 (84.4%) | 1,072 (91.5%) |
Female | 262 (11.6%) | 372 (15.6%) | 100 (8.5%) |
Trained in the United States, no. (%) | |||
Yes | 1,669 (74.1%) | 1,738 (72.8%) | 844 (72.0%) |
No | 583 (25.9%) | 649 (27.2%) | 328 (28.0%) |
Metropolitan statistical area, no. (%) | |||
99,999 or less | 417 (17.5) | 237 (20.2) | |
100,000249,000 | 438 (18.3) | 234 (20.0) | |
250,000999,999 | 381 (16.0) | 216 (18.4) | |
1,000,000 or more | 1,151 (48.2) | 485 (41.4) | |
Board certification, no. (%) | |||
Yes | 1,657 (69.4%) | 800 (68.3%) | |
No | 730 (30.6%) | 372 (31.7%) | |
Years in practice, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 22.310.6 (15.028.0) | 21.28.9 (15.027.0) | |
Years in practice, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 25.010.2 (17.032.0) | 29.28.9 (23.035.0) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatient visits, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 1,624.8879.2 (1,057.51,970.0) | 1,883.39,48.5 (1,236.52,240.5) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatient visits, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 1,733.81,053.3 (1,080.02,048.0) | 2,020.51,200.9 (1,334.52,373.0) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatients, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 418.6186.9 (284.0522.0) | 473.4189.5 (338.0580.5) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatients, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 448.7217.8 (300.0548.0) | 508.7238.2 (350.5615.0) | |
No. of hospitalized patients, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 46.025.0 (27.057.0) | 53.028.0 (32.066.0) | |
No. of hospitalized patients, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 44.024.0 (26.052.0) | 52.027.0 (33.065.0) | |
Average outpatient age, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 72.82.3 (71.574.2) | 72.82.1 (71.774.1) | |
Average outpatient age, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 72.12.8 (70.673.9) | 72.82.7 (71.474.5) | |
Average outpatient gender (% male), 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 38.17.0 (35.542.3) | 38.56.4 (36.242.3) | |
Average outpatient gender (% male), 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 40.27.6 (37.644.8) | 41.06.5 (38.644.8) | |
Average outpatient race (% white), 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 84.316.4 (79.295.5) | 85.414.3 (79.995.7) | |
Average outpatient race (% white), 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 85.214.4 (79.895.2) | 86.312.9 (80.895.6) | |
Average outpatient comorbidity, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3)a | 1.60.5 (1.21.8) | 1.60.4 (1.21.8) | |
Average outpatient comorbidity, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3)a | 2.20.6 (1.82.5) | 2.20.6 (1.72.5) |
Figure 1 graphs the percentage of PCPs as a function of what percent of their hospitalized patients received care from hospitalists, and how that changed from 2001 to 2009. For 70.9% of PCPs, fewer than 5% of their hospitalized patients received hospitalist care in 2001. By 2009, the percent of PCPs in this category had decreased to 15.2%. In contrast, in 2001, more than half of the patients for 2.1% of PCPs received hospitalist care, and the percent of PCPs in this category increased to 26.3% by 2009.
The pattern in Figure 1 shows that PCPs' use of hospitalists changed continuously and gradually over time. However, this pattern describes the PCPs as a group. When examined at the individual PCP level, different patterns emerge. Figure 2, which presents selected individual PCP's use of hospitalists over time, shows several distinct subpatterns of PCP practice behaviors. First, there are PCPs whose use of hospitalists was high in 2001 and stayed high or increased over time (eg, PCP A). There also were PCPs whose use of hospitalists stayed low over the entire study period (eg, PCP B). Finally, there were PCPs whose use of hospitalists was low in 2001 but high in 2009 (eg, PCP C). For this last group, the pattern of change in hospitalist utilization over time was discontinuous; that is, most of the increase occurred over a 1‐ or 2‐year period, instead of increasing gradually over time.
Among the 1172 PCPs associated with 20 hospitalized beneficiaries each year in all 9 years of the study period, group‐based trajectory modeling classified their practice patterns into 4 distinct trajectories (Figure 3). Among PCPs in group 1, more than one‐third of their hospitalized patients were cared for by hospitalists in 2001, and this increased to 60% by 2009. PCPs in groups 2 and 3 rarely used hospitalist care in 2001 but increased their use over time. The increase started early in the period for PCPs in group 2 and later for those in group 3. PCPs in group 4 were associated with little hospitalist use throughout the study period.
We constructed a model to describe the odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists during the study period using patients associated with these 1172 PCPs. After adjusting for patient characteristics, the residual intraclass correlation coefficient for PCP level was 0.334, which indicates that 33.4% of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. When adjusting for both patient and PCP characteristics, the overall odds of a patient receiving hospitalist care increased by 30% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.29‐1.30) per year from 2001 through 2009.
There were also significant interactions between year of hospitalization and several PCP characteristics. These interactions are illustrated in Table 2, which stratifies each of those PCP characteristics by 3 time periods: 2001 to 2003, 2004 to 2006, and 2007 to 2009. In all time periods, patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was US trained (US vs international medical graduate: odds ratio [OR]: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.19‐1.69 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.23‐1.73 in 20072009), or specialized in family medicine (family medicine vs internal medicine: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.72 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.70 in 20072009). Over time, the relative odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists decreased if their PCP was female (female vs male: OR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.46‐2.50 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.15‐1.95 in 20072009) or practiced in an urban area (largest vs smallest MSA: OR: 3.34, 95% CI: 2.72‐4.09 in 20012003; OR: 2.22, 95% CI: 1.82‐2.71 in 20072009). Although the longest‐practicing PCPs were most likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s, this effect disappeared by 2007 to 2009 (most vs least years in practice: OR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.06‐1.72 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.73‐1.17 in 20072009).
PCP Characteristics | 20012003, OR (95% CI) | 20042006, OR (95% CI) | 20072009, OR (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|
| |||
Family practicea vs. internal medicineb | 1.46 (1.251.72) | 1.50 (1.281.76) | 1.46 (1.251.70) |
Female vs male | 1.91 (1.462.50) | 1.43 (1.091.86) | 1.50 (1.151.95) |
United States trained (yes vs no) | 1.42 (1.191.69) | 1.53 (1.281.81) | 1.46 (1.231.73) |
Metropolitan statistical area | |||
99,999 or less | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
100,000249,000 | 0.83 (0.651.05) | 1.00 (0.791.25) | 1.13 (0.901.41) |
250,000999,999 | 0.92 (0.721.17) | 1.03 (0.821.31) | 0.98 (0.771.23) |
1,000,000 or more | 3.34 (2.724.09) | 2.90 (2.373.54) | 2.22 (1.822.71) |
Years in practice, 2001 | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 0.89 (0.711.12) | 0.83 (0.671.04) | 0.92 (0.741.14) |
Q3 | 1.06 (0.841.34) | 0.99 (0.791.24) | 1.03 (0.821.29) |
Q4 | 1.25 (0.991.59) | 1.13 (0.891.42) | 1.15 (0.921.45) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.35 (1.061.72) | 1.05 (0.831.33) | 0.92 (0.731.17) |
Total no. of outpatient visitsc | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.21 (1.121.30) | 1.07 (1.001.14) | 1.13 (1.071.19) |
Q3 | 1.42 (1.301.54) | 1.18 (1.091.27) | 1.14 (1.071.22) |
Q4 | 1.34 (1.211.47) | 1.34 (1.231.46) | 1.25 (1.161.35) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.46 (1.301.63) | 1.33 (1.211.47) | 1.32 (1.201.44) |
No. of hospitalized patientsc | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.07 (1.001.15) | 0.91 (0.860.96) | 0.85 (0.810.89) |
Q3 | 1.00 (0.921.08) | 0.87 (0.820.93) | 0.74 (0.700.79) |
Q4 | 0.89 (0.810.97) | 0.76 (0.710.82) | 0.62 (0.580.67) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.05 (0.951.18) | 0.67 (0.610.73) | 0.55 (0.510.60) |
Average outpatient agec | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 0.94 (0.871.01) | 1.15 (1.081.23) | 1.18 (1.111.25) |
Q3 | 0.82 (0.760.90) | 1.05 (0.971.13) | 1.17 (1.091.25) |
Q4 | 0.71 (0.650.79) | 1.03 (0.951.12) | 1.10 (1.021.19) |
Q5 (highest) | 0.72 (0.640.81) | 1.12 (1.011.23) | 1.15 (1.051.26) |
Average outpatient gender (% male)c | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.10 (1.021.18) | 1.19 (1.101.27) | 1.27 (1.181.37) |
Q3 | 1.12 (1.031.22) | 1.27 (1.171.37) | 1.43 (1.321.54) |
Q4 | 1.36 (1.251.48) | 1.49 (1.371.61) | 1.52 (1.401.65) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.47 (1.341.61) | 1.84 (1.682.00) | 1.68 (1.541.83) |
Average outpatient race (% white)c | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.08 (0.981.20) | 1.01 (0.921.10) | 1.23 (1.131.34) |
Q3 | 1.27 (1.131.43) | 1.06 (0.951.18) | 1.21 (1.091.34) |
Q4 | 1.47 (1.291.67) | 0.97 (0.861.09) | 1.33 (1.181.48) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.39 (1.211.59) | 1.18 (1.041.34) | 1.25 (1.101.42) |
Average outpatient comorbidityc | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.26 (1.191.35) | 1.23 (1.161.31) | 1.22 (1.141.30) |
Q3 | 1.62 (1.491.75) | 1.61 (1.501.72) | 1.43 (1.341.54) |
Q4 | 1.96 (1.792.15) | 1.86 (1.722.02) | 1.59 (1.471.72) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.79 (1.592.01) | 2.20 (2.002.41) | 2.03 (1.852.22) |
In terms of PCP workload, patients of PCPs with high outpatient activity were more likely to receive hospitalists care throughout the study period, although the association had decreased by 2007 to 2009 (highest vs lowest outpatient volume: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.30‐1.63 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.20‐1.44 in 20072009). In contrast, PCPs with the lowest inpatient volumes became more likely to use hospitalists by the end of the study period (highest vs lowest inpatient volume: OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 0.95‐1.18 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.51‐0.60 in 20072009).
The characteristics of PCPs' practice panels also were associated with patients' likelihood of receiving care from hospitalists. PCPs whose practice panels consisted of patients who were predominantly male, white, or with more outpatient comorbidities were consistently more likely to use hospitalists throughout the study period. PCPs with older patient panels were less likely to use hospitalists in 2001 to 2003, but by 2007 to 2009, they were slightly more likely to do so (oldest vs youngest average outpatient panel age: OR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.64‐0.81 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.05‐1.26 in 20072009).
CONCLUSIONS
Prior studies of the hospitalist model have shown that the likelihood of a patient receiving inpatient care from hospitalists is associated with patient characteristics, hospital characteristics, geographic region, and type of admission.[1, 16, 17] We found that PCP characteristics also predict whether patients receive care from hospitalists and that their use of hospitalists developed dynamically between 2001 to 2009. Although many factors (such as whether patients were admitted to a hospital where their PCP had admitting privileges) can influence the decision to use hospitalists, we found that over one‐third of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. In showing that systemic differences exist among PCPs who use hospitalists and those who do not, our study suggests that future research on the hospitalist model should, if possible, adjust for PCP characteristics in addition to hospital and patient factors.
Although this study identifies the existence and magnitude of differences in whether or not PCPs use hospitalists, it cannot explain why the differences exist. We only can offer hypotheses. For example, our finding that PCPs with the most years of practice experience were more likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s but not in more recent years suggests that in hospital medicine's early years, long‐practicing generalist physicians were choosing between practicing traditionalist medicine and adopting the hospitalists model, but by 2009, experienced generalist physicians had already specialized to either inpatient or outpatient settings earlier in their careers. On the other hand, the decreasing odds of urban PCPs using hospitalists may reflect a relative growth in hospitalist use in less populated areas rather than a change in urban PCPs' practice patterns.
PCPs trained in family medicine have reported less inpatient training and less comfort with providing hospital care,[18, 19] thus it is unsurprising that family physicians were more likely to refer patients to hospitalists. Although a recent study reported that family physicians' inpatient volumes remained constant, whereas those of outpatient internists declined between 2003 and 2012, the analysis used University Health Consortium data and thus reflects practice patterns in academic medical centers.[20] Our data suggest that outside of academia, family physicians have embraced the hospitalists as clinical partners.
Meltzer and Chung had previously proposed an economic model to describe the growing use of hospitalists in the United States. They posited that decisions to adopt the hospitalist model are governed by trade‐offs between coordination costs (eg, time and effort spent coordinating multiple providers across different settings) and switching costs (eg, time spent traveling between the office and the hospital or the effort of adjusting to different work settings).[16] The authors hypothesized that empirical testing of this model would show PCPs are more likely to use hospitalists if they have less available professional time (ie, work fewer hours per week), are female (due to competing demands from domestic responsibilities), have relatively few hospitalized patients, or live in areas with high traffic congestion. Our findings provide empirical evidence to support their division‐of‐labor model in showing that patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was female, practiced in an urban location, had higher outpatient practice volumes, or had lower inpatient volumes.
At first glance, some of our findings appear to contradict our earlier study, which showed that younger, black, male patients are more likely to receive inpatient care from hospitalists.[1] However, that study included patients regardless of whether they had a PCP. This study shows that when patients have a PCP, their PCPs are more likely to refer them to hospitalists if they are older, white, male, and have more comorbid conditions. A potential explanation for this finding is that PCPs may preferentially use hospitalists when caring for older and sicker hospitalized patients. For example, commentators often cite hospitalists' constant availability in the hospital as a valuable resource when caring for acutely ill patients.[21, 22]
Another potential explanation is that despite their preferences, PCPs who care for younger, minority patients lack access to hospitalist services. One large study of Medicare beneficiaries reported that physicians who care for black patients are less well‐trained clinically and often lack access to important clinical resources such as diagnostic imaging and nonemergency hospital admissions.[23] Similarly, international medical graduates are more likely than their US‐trained counterparts to care for underserved patients and to practice in small, independent offices.[24, 25, 26] As hospitalist groups often rely on cross‐subsidization from sources within a large healthcare organization, independent PCPs may have less access to their services when compared with PCPs in managed care organizations or large integrated groups. Viewed in this context, our findings imply that although hospitalists often care for socioeconomically vulnerable patients (eg, younger, uninsured, black men) who lack access to primary care services,[1] they also appear to share care responsibilities for more complex hospitalized patients with PCPs in more affluent communities. Further research may determine if the availability of hospitalists influences racial disparities in hospital care.
Our study has limitations. It is an observational study and thus subject to bias and confounding. As our cohort was formed using fee‐for‐service Medicare data in a single, large state, it may not be generalizable to PCPs who practice in other states, who care for a younger population, or who do not accept Medicare. Our findings also may not reflect the practice patterns of physicians‐in‐training, PCP populations with high board‐certification rates, those employed in temporary positions, or those who interrupt their practices for personal reasons, as we restricted our study to established PCPs who had been in practice long and consistently enough to be associated with 20 hospitalized patients during every year of the study. For example, the lower proportion of female PCPs in our cohort (15.6% in our study in 2009 vs 27.5% reported in a nationally representative 2008 survey[27]) may be explained by our exclusion of women who take prolonged time off for childcare duties. We also did not establish whether patient outcomes or healthcare costs differ between PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model and traditionalists. Finally, we could not examine the effect of a number of PCP factors that could plausibly influence whether or not PCPs relinquish inpatient care to hospitalists, such as their comfort with providing inpatient care, having hospital admitting privileges, having office‐based access to hospitals' electronic medical records, or the distance between their office and the hospital. However, this study lays the groundwork for future studies to explore these factors.
In summary, this study is the first, to our knowledge, to characterize PCPs who relinquished inpatient responsibilities to hospitalists. Our findings suggest that some groups of PCPs are more likely to refer patient to hospitalists, that the relationship between hospitalists and PCPs has evolved over time, and that the hospitalist model still has ample room to grow.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Disclosures: This study was supported by grants from the National Institute on Aging (1RO1‐AG033134 and P30‐AG024832) and the National Cancer Institute (K05‐CA124923). The authors have no financial conflicts of interest to disclose. An oral abstract of this article was presented on May 18, 2013 at the Society of Hospital Medicine Annual Meeting in National Harbor, Maryland.
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- , . Coordination, switching costs and the division of labor in general medicine: an economic explanation for the emergence of hospitalists in the United States. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series No. 16040. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research; 2010.
- Continuity of outpatient and inpatient care by primary care physicians for hospitalized older adults. JAMA. 2009;301(16):1671–1680. , , , , , .
- Hospitalists and family physicians: understanding opportunities and risks. J Fam Pract. 2004;53(6):473–481. .
- Preparedness of internal medicine and family practice residents for treating common conditions. JAMA. 2002;288(20):2609–2614. , , , , , .
- The status of adult inpatient care by family physicians at US academic medical centers and affiliated teaching hospitals 2003 to 2012: the impact of the hospitalist movement. Fam Med. 2014;46(2):94–99. , , , .
- Hospitalists and the hospital medicine system of care are good for patient care. Arch Intern Med. 2008;168(12):1254–1256; discussion 1259–1260. .
- Hospitalists in the United States—mission accomplished or work in progress? N Engl J Med. 2004;350(19):1935–1936. .
- Primary care physicians who treat blacks and whites. N Engl J Med. 2004;351(6):575–584. , , , , .
- International medical graduates and the primary care workforce for rural underserved areas. Health Aff (Millwood). 2003;22(2):255–262. , , , .
- Medical migration and the physician workforce. International medical graduates and American medicine. JAMA. 1995;273(19):1521–1527. , , .
- International medical graduates in family medicine in the United States of America: an exploration of professional characteristics and attitudes. Hum Resour Health. 2006;4:17. , , , , .
- A snapshot of U.S. physicians: key findings from the 2008 Health Tracking Physician Survey. Data Bull (Cent Stud Health Syst Change). 2009(35):1–11. , , .
Although primary care physicians (PCPs) have traditionally treated patients in both ambulatory and hospital settings, many relinquished inpatient duties to hospitalists in recent decades.[1] Little is known about the PCPs who relinquished inpatient care duties or how the transition to the hospitalist model occurred. For example, what are the characteristics of PCPs who change? Do PCPs adopt the hospitalist model enthusiastically or cautiously? Characterizing PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model can help hospitalists understand their specialty's history and also inform health services research.
Much of the interest in the hospitalist model has been generated by studies reporting improved outcomes and lower hospital lengths of stay associated with hospitalist care.[2, 3, 4, 5] Conversely, detractors of the model point to reports of higher postacute care utilization among hospitalist patients.[6] Although these studies usually adjusted for differences among patients and hospitals, they did not account for PCP characteristics. As patients' access to PCPs and their PCP's capabilities are both plausible factors that could influence hospital length of stay (eg, decisions to complete more or less of a workup in the hospital), quality of care transitions, and postdischarge utilization, it is important to determine if PCPs who use hospitalists differ systematically from those who do not to correctly interpret health system utilization patterns that currently are attributed only to hospitalists.[7, 8]
We conducted this study to determine if observable PCP factors are associated with patients' use of hospitalists and to describe the trajectory by which PCPs referred their patients to hospitalists over time.
METHODS
Source of Data
We used claims data from 100% of Texas Medicare beneficiaries from 2000 to 2009, including Medicare beneficiary summary files, Medicare Provider Analysis and Review (MedPAR) files, Outpatient Standard Analytical Files (OutSAF), and Medicare Carrier files. Diagnosis related group (DRG)‐associated information, including weights, and Major Diagnostic Categories, were obtained from Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (
Establishment of the Study Cohort
Using the MedPAR file, we first selected hospital admissions from acute care hospitals in Texas for each year of the study period. We excluded beneficiaries younger than 66 years old, with incomplete Medicare Parts A and B enrollment, or with any health maintenance organization enrollment in the 12 months prior to the admission of interest. For patients with more than 1 admission in a given year, we randomly selected 1 admission. We then attempted to assign each patient to a PCP. We defined a PCP as a generalist (general practitioner, family physician, internist, or geriatrician) who saw a given beneficiary on 3 or more occasions in an outpatient setting in the year prior to the admission of interest.[9] We identified outpatient visits using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes 99201 to 99205 (new patient encounters), and 99211 to 99215 (established patient encounters) from Carrier files. If more than 1 generalist physician saw the beneficiary on 3 or more occasions in a given year, the physician with more than 75% of the total outpatient evaluation and management (E&M) billings was classified as the beneficiary's PCP. Using these criteria, approximately 66% of patients were assigned to a PCP.
For cross‐sectional analyses, we restricted our cohort to beneficiaries whose PCPs were associated with at least 20 inpatients in a given year. To study trends in PCP practice patterns over time, we further restricted the cohort to beneficiaries whose PCPs were associated with at least 20 inpatients in every year of the study period, resulting in 1172 PCPs for the trajectory analyses. The reliability of PCPs' practice profiles increases as the number of patients in their panel increases. We chose 20 inpatients as the minimum because PCPs with 20 hospitalized patients per study year would achieve a reliability of 0.9 for estimating the proportion of their patients that received care from hospitalists.[10]
Identification of Hospitalists
We defined hospitalists as generalists who had at least 100 E&M billings in a given year and generated at least 90% of their total E&M billings in the year from inpatient services.[1] Inpatient E&M billings were identified by CPT codes 99221 to 99223 (new or established patient encounters), 99231 to 99233 (subsequent hospital care), and 99251 to 99255 (inpatient consultations).[1]
Patient Measures
Patient demographic information including, age at admission, gender, race/ethnicity, and Medicaid eligibility were obtained from Medicare beneficiary summary files. We used the Medicaid indicator as a proxy for low socioeconomic status. Information on weekday versus weekend admission, emergent admission, and DRG were obtained from MedPAR files. The DRG category (circulatory system, digestive system, infectious disease, nervous system, respiratory system, or other) was determined based on its Major Diagnostic Category. We determined residence in a nursing facility in the 3 months before the admission of interest from the MedPAR files and by E&M codes 99304 to 99318 (nursing facility services) from Carrier files.[11] Comorbidities were identified using the claims from MedPAR, Carrier, and OutSAF files in the year prior to the admission of interest.[12] Total hospitalizations and outpatient visits in the prior year were identified from MedPAR files and Carrier files, respectively.
PCP Measures
We categorized PCPs by specialty (general practice, gamily practice, geriatric medicine, or internal medicine), years in practice, gender, US‐ versus foreign‐trained, metropolitan statistical area (MSA) of their practice location, and board certification status. The specialty was identified from Carrier files and the other information from AMA data. For each PCP, the total number of outpatient visits and total number of patients seen as outpatients in each year was calculated based on E&M codes (9920199205, 9921199215) from Carrier files. For each year, we computed the average outpatient age, gender, race, and outpatient comorbidity for each PCP's patient panel. We computed hospital volumes using the number of hospitalized patients associated with each PCP in the study cohort.
Study Outcome
To determine whether hospitalized patients received care from hospitalists during a given hospitalization, we identified all inpatient E&M bills from generalist physicians during the admission of interest by linking MedPAR and Carrier files. If more than 50% of the generalist inpatient E&M billings from generalist physicians were from 1 or more hospitalists, the patient was considered to have received care from hospitalists.
Statistical Analyses
Multilevel analyses were used to account for the clustering of patients within PCPs. All multilevel models were adjusted for patient characteristics including age, race/ethnicity, gender, Medicaid eligibility, emergency admission, weekend admission, DRG weight, DRG category, any nursing home stay in the prior 3 months, number of comorbidities, number of hospitalizations, and number of physician visits in the year prior to the admission of interest. To analyze trends in practice patterns, we first used multilevel models to calculate the proportions of inpatients cared for by hospitalists each year for each of the 1172 PCPs with at least 20 patients. Then we employed an SAS procedure (PROC TRAJ) developed by Jones et al. to classify these PCPs into groups based on their trajectories.[13] This group‐based trajectory modeling allowed us to identify relatively homogeneous clusters within a heterogeneous sample population.[14] We chose a model that classified the PCPs into 4 groups.[15] With 4 groups, the average of the posterior probabilities of group membership for the PCPs assigned to each group exceeded 0.93, indicating a low rate of misclassification among these 4 distinct groups. For the 1172 PCPs, we tested interactions between year of hospitalization and PCP characteristics while adjusting for patient characteristics in order to investigate whether or not the impacts of PCP characteristics on how likely their patients being cared for by hospitalists differed with time. All analyses were performed with SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC).
RESULTS
During the 2001 through 2009 study period, between 2252 and 2848 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in any single year. Among these, 1172 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in every year of the study period. These 1172 PCPs were associated with 608,686 hospitalizations over the 9 years.
Table 1 presents the characteristics of the PCPs who contributed to the cross‐sectional analyses in 2001 (N=2252) and 2009 (N=2387), as well as the 1172 PCPs for whom we had data for all 9 years for the longitudinal analyses. Most PCPs were male, trained in the United States, and were board certified. The average number of Medicare patients seen by these PCPs and number of outpatient Medicare visits went up about 7% between 2001 and 2009.
PCP Characteristics | Cross‐Sectional Analysis | Trajectory Analysis, 20012009 | |
---|---|---|---|
2001 | 2009 | ||
| |||
Overall, no. (%) | 2,252 (100%) | 2,387 (100%) | 1,172 (100%) |
Specialty, no. (%) | |||
General practice | 39 (1.7%) | 34 (1.4%) | 15 (1.3%) |
Family practice | 948 (42.1%) | 1,089 (45.6%) | 466 (39.8%) |
Internal medicine | 1,255 (55.7%) | 1,249 (52.3%) | 688 (58.7%) |
Geriatrics | 10 (0.4%) | 15 (0.6%) | 3 (0.3%) |
Gender, no. (%) | |||
Male | 1,990 (88.4%) | 2,015 (84.4%) | 1,072 (91.5%) |
Female | 262 (11.6%) | 372 (15.6%) | 100 (8.5%) |
Trained in the United States, no. (%) | |||
Yes | 1,669 (74.1%) | 1,738 (72.8%) | 844 (72.0%) |
No | 583 (25.9%) | 649 (27.2%) | 328 (28.0%) |
Metropolitan statistical area, no. (%) | |||
99,999 or less | 417 (17.5) | 237 (20.2) | |
100,000249,000 | 438 (18.3) | 234 (20.0) | |
250,000999,999 | 381 (16.0) | 216 (18.4) | |
1,000,000 or more | 1,151 (48.2) | 485 (41.4) | |
Board certification, no. (%) | |||
Yes | 1,657 (69.4%) | 800 (68.3%) | |
No | 730 (30.6%) | 372 (31.7%) | |
Years in practice, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 22.310.6 (15.028.0) | 21.28.9 (15.027.0) | |
Years in practice, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 25.010.2 (17.032.0) | 29.28.9 (23.035.0) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatient visits, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 1,624.8879.2 (1,057.51,970.0) | 1,883.39,48.5 (1,236.52,240.5) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatient visits, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 1,733.81,053.3 (1,080.02,048.0) | 2,020.51,200.9 (1,334.52,373.0) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatients, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 418.6186.9 (284.0522.0) | 473.4189.5 (338.0580.5) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatients, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 448.7217.8 (300.0548.0) | 508.7238.2 (350.5615.0) | |
No. of hospitalized patients, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 46.025.0 (27.057.0) | 53.028.0 (32.066.0) | |
No. of hospitalized patients, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 44.024.0 (26.052.0) | 52.027.0 (33.065.0) | |
Average outpatient age, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 72.82.3 (71.574.2) | 72.82.1 (71.774.1) | |
Average outpatient age, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 72.12.8 (70.673.9) | 72.82.7 (71.474.5) | |
Average outpatient gender (% male), 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 38.17.0 (35.542.3) | 38.56.4 (36.242.3) | |
Average outpatient gender (% male), 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 40.27.6 (37.644.8) | 41.06.5 (38.644.8) | |
Average outpatient race (% white), 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 84.316.4 (79.295.5) | 85.414.3 (79.995.7) | |
Average outpatient race (% white), 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 85.214.4 (79.895.2) | 86.312.9 (80.895.6) | |
Average outpatient comorbidity, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3)a | 1.60.5 (1.21.8) | 1.60.4 (1.21.8) | |
Average outpatient comorbidity, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3)a | 2.20.6 (1.82.5) | 2.20.6 (1.72.5) |
Figure 1 graphs the percentage of PCPs as a function of what percent of their hospitalized patients received care from hospitalists, and how that changed from 2001 to 2009. For 70.9% of PCPs, fewer than 5% of their hospitalized patients received hospitalist care in 2001. By 2009, the percent of PCPs in this category had decreased to 15.2%. In contrast, in 2001, more than half of the patients for 2.1% of PCPs received hospitalist care, and the percent of PCPs in this category increased to 26.3% by 2009.
The pattern in Figure 1 shows that PCPs' use of hospitalists changed continuously and gradually over time. However, this pattern describes the PCPs as a group. When examined at the individual PCP level, different patterns emerge. Figure 2, which presents selected individual PCP's use of hospitalists over time, shows several distinct subpatterns of PCP practice behaviors. First, there are PCPs whose use of hospitalists was high in 2001 and stayed high or increased over time (eg, PCP A). There also were PCPs whose use of hospitalists stayed low over the entire study period (eg, PCP B). Finally, there were PCPs whose use of hospitalists was low in 2001 but high in 2009 (eg, PCP C). For this last group, the pattern of change in hospitalist utilization over time was discontinuous; that is, most of the increase occurred over a 1‐ or 2‐year period, instead of increasing gradually over time.
Among the 1172 PCPs associated with 20 hospitalized beneficiaries each year in all 9 years of the study period, group‐based trajectory modeling classified their practice patterns into 4 distinct trajectories (Figure 3). Among PCPs in group 1, more than one‐third of their hospitalized patients were cared for by hospitalists in 2001, and this increased to 60% by 2009. PCPs in groups 2 and 3 rarely used hospitalist care in 2001 but increased their use over time. The increase started early in the period for PCPs in group 2 and later for those in group 3. PCPs in group 4 were associated with little hospitalist use throughout the study period.
We constructed a model to describe the odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists during the study period using patients associated with these 1172 PCPs. After adjusting for patient characteristics, the residual intraclass correlation coefficient for PCP level was 0.334, which indicates that 33.4% of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. When adjusting for both patient and PCP characteristics, the overall odds of a patient receiving hospitalist care increased by 30% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.29‐1.30) per year from 2001 through 2009.
There were also significant interactions between year of hospitalization and several PCP characteristics. These interactions are illustrated in Table 2, which stratifies each of those PCP characteristics by 3 time periods: 2001 to 2003, 2004 to 2006, and 2007 to 2009. In all time periods, patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was US trained (US vs international medical graduate: odds ratio [OR]: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.19‐1.69 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.23‐1.73 in 20072009), or specialized in family medicine (family medicine vs internal medicine: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.72 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.70 in 20072009). Over time, the relative odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists decreased if their PCP was female (female vs male: OR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.46‐2.50 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.15‐1.95 in 20072009) or practiced in an urban area (largest vs smallest MSA: OR: 3.34, 95% CI: 2.72‐4.09 in 20012003; OR: 2.22, 95% CI: 1.82‐2.71 in 20072009). Although the longest‐practicing PCPs were most likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s, this effect disappeared by 2007 to 2009 (most vs least years in practice: OR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.06‐1.72 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.73‐1.17 in 20072009).
PCP Characteristics | 20012003, OR (95% CI) | 20042006, OR (95% CI) | 20072009, OR (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|
| |||
Family practicea vs. internal medicineb | 1.46 (1.251.72) | 1.50 (1.281.76) | 1.46 (1.251.70) |
Female vs male | 1.91 (1.462.50) | 1.43 (1.091.86) | 1.50 (1.151.95) |
United States trained (yes vs no) | 1.42 (1.191.69) | 1.53 (1.281.81) | 1.46 (1.231.73) |
Metropolitan statistical area | |||
99,999 or less | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
100,000249,000 | 0.83 (0.651.05) | 1.00 (0.791.25) | 1.13 (0.901.41) |
250,000999,999 | 0.92 (0.721.17) | 1.03 (0.821.31) | 0.98 (0.771.23) |
1,000,000 or more | 3.34 (2.724.09) | 2.90 (2.373.54) | 2.22 (1.822.71) |
Years in practice, 2001 | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 0.89 (0.711.12) | 0.83 (0.671.04) | 0.92 (0.741.14) |
Q3 | 1.06 (0.841.34) | 0.99 (0.791.24) | 1.03 (0.821.29) |
Q4 | 1.25 (0.991.59) | 1.13 (0.891.42) | 1.15 (0.921.45) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.35 (1.061.72) | 1.05 (0.831.33) | 0.92 (0.731.17) |
Total no. of outpatient visitsc | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.21 (1.121.30) | 1.07 (1.001.14) | 1.13 (1.071.19) |
Q3 | 1.42 (1.301.54) | 1.18 (1.091.27) | 1.14 (1.071.22) |
Q4 | 1.34 (1.211.47) | 1.34 (1.231.46) | 1.25 (1.161.35) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.46 (1.301.63) | 1.33 (1.211.47) | 1.32 (1.201.44) |
No. of hospitalized patientsc | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.07 (1.001.15) | 0.91 (0.860.96) | 0.85 (0.810.89) |
Q3 | 1.00 (0.921.08) | 0.87 (0.820.93) | 0.74 (0.700.79) |
Q4 | 0.89 (0.810.97) | 0.76 (0.710.82) | 0.62 (0.580.67) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.05 (0.951.18) | 0.67 (0.610.73) | 0.55 (0.510.60) |
Average outpatient agec | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 0.94 (0.871.01) | 1.15 (1.081.23) | 1.18 (1.111.25) |
Q3 | 0.82 (0.760.90) | 1.05 (0.971.13) | 1.17 (1.091.25) |
Q4 | 0.71 (0.650.79) | 1.03 (0.951.12) | 1.10 (1.021.19) |
Q5 (highest) | 0.72 (0.640.81) | 1.12 (1.011.23) | 1.15 (1.051.26) |
Average outpatient gender (% male)c | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.10 (1.021.18) | 1.19 (1.101.27) | 1.27 (1.181.37) |
Q3 | 1.12 (1.031.22) | 1.27 (1.171.37) | 1.43 (1.321.54) |
Q4 | 1.36 (1.251.48) | 1.49 (1.371.61) | 1.52 (1.401.65) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.47 (1.341.61) | 1.84 (1.682.00) | 1.68 (1.541.83) |
Average outpatient race (% white)c | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.08 (0.981.20) | 1.01 (0.921.10) | 1.23 (1.131.34) |
Q3 | 1.27 (1.131.43) | 1.06 (0.951.18) | 1.21 (1.091.34) |
Q4 | 1.47 (1.291.67) | 0.97 (0.861.09) | 1.33 (1.181.48) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.39 (1.211.59) | 1.18 (1.041.34) | 1.25 (1.101.42) |
Average outpatient comorbidityc | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.26 (1.191.35) | 1.23 (1.161.31) | 1.22 (1.141.30) |
Q3 | 1.62 (1.491.75) | 1.61 (1.501.72) | 1.43 (1.341.54) |
Q4 | 1.96 (1.792.15) | 1.86 (1.722.02) | 1.59 (1.471.72) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.79 (1.592.01) | 2.20 (2.002.41) | 2.03 (1.852.22) |
In terms of PCP workload, patients of PCPs with high outpatient activity were more likely to receive hospitalists care throughout the study period, although the association had decreased by 2007 to 2009 (highest vs lowest outpatient volume: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.30‐1.63 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.20‐1.44 in 20072009). In contrast, PCPs with the lowest inpatient volumes became more likely to use hospitalists by the end of the study period (highest vs lowest inpatient volume: OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 0.95‐1.18 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.51‐0.60 in 20072009).
The characteristics of PCPs' practice panels also were associated with patients' likelihood of receiving care from hospitalists. PCPs whose practice panels consisted of patients who were predominantly male, white, or with more outpatient comorbidities were consistently more likely to use hospitalists throughout the study period. PCPs with older patient panels were less likely to use hospitalists in 2001 to 2003, but by 2007 to 2009, they were slightly more likely to do so (oldest vs youngest average outpatient panel age: OR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.64‐0.81 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.05‐1.26 in 20072009).
CONCLUSIONS
Prior studies of the hospitalist model have shown that the likelihood of a patient receiving inpatient care from hospitalists is associated with patient characteristics, hospital characteristics, geographic region, and type of admission.[1, 16, 17] We found that PCP characteristics also predict whether patients receive care from hospitalists and that their use of hospitalists developed dynamically between 2001 to 2009. Although many factors (such as whether patients were admitted to a hospital where their PCP had admitting privileges) can influence the decision to use hospitalists, we found that over one‐third of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. In showing that systemic differences exist among PCPs who use hospitalists and those who do not, our study suggests that future research on the hospitalist model should, if possible, adjust for PCP characteristics in addition to hospital and patient factors.
Although this study identifies the existence and magnitude of differences in whether or not PCPs use hospitalists, it cannot explain why the differences exist. We only can offer hypotheses. For example, our finding that PCPs with the most years of practice experience were more likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s but not in more recent years suggests that in hospital medicine's early years, long‐practicing generalist physicians were choosing between practicing traditionalist medicine and adopting the hospitalists model, but by 2009, experienced generalist physicians had already specialized to either inpatient or outpatient settings earlier in their careers. On the other hand, the decreasing odds of urban PCPs using hospitalists may reflect a relative growth in hospitalist use in less populated areas rather than a change in urban PCPs' practice patterns.
PCPs trained in family medicine have reported less inpatient training and less comfort with providing hospital care,[18, 19] thus it is unsurprising that family physicians were more likely to refer patients to hospitalists. Although a recent study reported that family physicians' inpatient volumes remained constant, whereas those of outpatient internists declined between 2003 and 2012, the analysis used University Health Consortium data and thus reflects practice patterns in academic medical centers.[20] Our data suggest that outside of academia, family physicians have embraced the hospitalists as clinical partners.
Meltzer and Chung had previously proposed an economic model to describe the growing use of hospitalists in the United States. They posited that decisions to adopt the hospitalist model are governed by trade‐offs between coordination costs (eg, time and effort spent coordinating multiple providers across different settings) and switching costs (eg, time spent traveling between the office and the hospital or the effort of adjusting to different work settings).[16] The authors hypothesized that empirical testing of this model would show PCPs are more likely to use hospitalists if they have less available professional time (ie, work fewer hours per week), are female (due to competing demands from domestic responsibilities), have relatively few hospitalized patients, or live in areas with high traffic congestion. Our findings provide empirical evidence to support their division‐of‐labor model in showing that patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was female, practiced in an urban location, had higher outpatient practice volumes, or had lower inpatient volumes.
At first glance, some of our findings appear to contradict our earlier study, which showed that younger, black, male patients are more likely to receive inpatient care from hospitalists.[1] However, that study included patients regardless of whether they had a PCP. This study shows that when patients have a PCP, their PCPs are more likely to refer them to hospitalists if they are older, white, male, and have more comorbid conditions. A potential explanation for this finding is that PCPs may preferentially use hospitalists when caring for older and sicker hospitalized patients. For example, commentators often cite hospitalists' constant availability in the hospital as a valuable resource when caring for acutely ill patients.[21, 22]
Another potential explanation is that despite their preferences, PCPs who care for younger, minority patients lack access to hospitalist services. One large study of Medicare beneficiaries reported that physicians who care for black patients are less well‐trained clinically and often lack access to important clinical resources such as diagnostic imaging and nonemergency hospital admissions.[23] Similarly, international medical graduates are more likely than their US‐trained counterparts to care for underserved patients and to practice in small, independent offices.[24, 25, 26] As hospitalist groups often rely on cross‐subsidization from sources within a large healthcare organization, independent PCPs may have less access to their services when compared with PCPs in managed care organizations or large integrated groups. Viewed in this context, our findings imply that although hospitalists often care for socioeconomically vulnerable patients (eg, younger, uninsured, black men) who lack access to primary care services,[1] they also appear to share care responsibilities for more complex hospitalized patients with PCPs in more affluent communities. Further research may determine if the availability of hospitalists influences racial disparities in hospital care.
Our study has limitations. It is an observational study and thus subject to bias and confounding. As our cohort was formed using fee‐for‐service Medicare data in a single, large state, it may not be generalizable to PCPs who practice in other states, who care for a younger population, or who do not accept Medicare. Our findings also may not reflect the practice patterns of physicians‐in‐training, PCP populations with high board‐certification rates, those employed in temporary positions, or those who interrupt their practices for personal reasons, as we restricted our study to established PCPs who had been in practice long and consistently enough to be associated with 20 hospitalized patients during every year of the study. For example, the lower proportion of female PCPs in our cohort (15.6% in our study in 2009 vs 27.5% reported in a nationally representative 2008 survey[27]) may be explained by our exclusion of women who take prolonged time off for childcare duties. We also did not establish whether patient outcomes or healthcare costs differ between PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model and traditionalists. Finally, we could not examine the effect of a number of PCP factors that could plausibly influence whether or not PCPs relinquish inpatient care to hospitalists, such as their comfort with providing inpatient care, having hospital admitting privileges, having office‐based access to hospitals' electronic medical records, or the distance between their office and the hospital. However, this study lays the groundwork for future studies to explore these factors.
In summary, this study is the first, to our knowledge, to characterize PCPs who relinquished inpatient responsibilities to hospitalists. Our findings suggest that some groups of PCPs are more likely to refer patient to hospitalists, that the relationship between hospitalists and PCPs has evolved over time, and that the hospitalist model still has ample room to grow.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Disclosures: This study was supported by grants from the National Institute on Aging (1RO1‐AG033134 and P30‐AG024832) and the National Cancer Institute (K05‐CA124923). The authors have no financial conflicts of interest to disclose. An oral abstract of this article was presented on May 18, 2013 at the Society of Hospital Medicine Annual Meeting in National Harbor, Maryland.
Although primary care physicians (PCPs) have traditionally treated patients in both ambulatory and hospital settings, many relinquished inpatient duties to hospitalists in recent decades.[1] Little is known about the PCPs who relinquished inpatient care duties or how the transition to the hospitalist model occurred. For example, what are the characteristics of PCPs who change? Do PCPs adopt the hospitalist model enthusiastically or cautiously? Characterizing PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model can help hospitalists understand their specialty's history and also inform health services research.
Much of the interest in the hospitalist model has been generated by studies reporting improved outcomes and lower hospital lengths of stay associated with hospitalist care.[2, 3, 4, 5] Conversely, detractors of the model point to reports of higher postacute care utilization among hospitalist patients.[6] Although these studies usually adjusted for differences among patients and hospitals, they did not account for PCP characteristics. As patients' access to PCPs and their PCP's capabilities are both plausible factors that could influence hospital length of stay (eg, decisions to complete more or less of a workup in the hospital), quality of care transitions, and postdischarge utilization, it is important to determine if PCPs who use hospitalists differ systematically from those who do not to correctly interpret health system utilization patterns that currently are attributed only to hospitalists.[7, 8]
We conducted this study to determine if observable PCP factors are associated with patients' use of hospitalists and to describe the trajectory by which PCPs referred their patients to hospitalists over time.
METHODS
Source of Data
We used claims data from 100% of Texas Medicare beneficiaries from 2000 to 2009, including Medicare beneficiary summary files, Medicare Provider Analysis and Review (MedPAR) files, Outpatient Standard Analytical Files (OutSAF), and Medicare Carrier files. Diagnosis related group (DRG)‐associated information, including weights, and Major Diagnostic Categories, were obtained from Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (
Establishment of the Study Cohort
Using the MedPAR file, we first selected hospital admissions from acute care hospitals in Texas for each year of the study period. We excluded beneficiaries younger than 66 years old, with incomplete Medicare Parts A and B enrollment, or with any health maintenance organization enrollment in the 12 months prior to the admission of interest. For patients with more than 1 admission in a given year, we randomly selected 1 admission. We then attempted to assign each patient to a PCP. We defined a PCP as a generalist (general practitioner, family physician, internist, or geriatrician) who saw a given beneficiary on 3 or more occasions in an outpatient setting in the year prior to the admission of interest.[9] We identified outpatient visits using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes 99201 to 99205 (new patient encounters), and 99211 to 99215 (established patient encounters) from Carrier files. If more than 1 generalist physician saw the beneficiary on 3 or more occasions in a given year, the physician with more than 75% of the total outpatient evaluation and management (E&M) billings was classified as the beneficiary's PCP. Using these criteria, approximately 66% of patients were assigned to a PCP.
For cross‐sectional analyses, we restricted our cohort to beneficiaries whose PCPs were associated with at least 20 inpatients in a given year. To study trends in PCP practice patterns over time, we further restricted the cohort to beneficiaries whose PCPs were associated with at least 20 inpatients in every year of the study period, resulting in 1172 PCPs for the trajectory analyses. The reliability of PCPs' practice profiles increases as the number of patients in their panel increases. We chose 20 inpatients as the minimum because PCPs with 20 hospitalized patients per study year would achieve a reliability of 0.9 for estimating the proportion of their patients that received care from hospitalists.[10]
Identification of Hospitalists
We defined hospitalists as generalists who had at least 100 E&M billings in a given year and generated at least 90% of their total E&M billings in the year from inpatient services.[1] Inpatient E&M billings were identified by CPT codes 99221 to 99223 (new or established patient encounters), 99231 to 99233 (subsequent hospital care), and 99251 to 99255 (inpatient consultations).[1]
Patient Measures
Patient demographic information including, age at admission, gender, race/ethnicity, and Medicaid eligibility were obtained from Medicare beneficiary summary files. We used the Medicaid indicator as a proxy for low socioeconomic status. Information on weekday versus weekend admission, emergent admission, and DRG were obtained from MedPAR files. The DRG category (circulatory system, digestive system, infectious disease, nervous system, respiratory system, or other) was determined based on its Major Diagnostic Category. We determined residence in a nursing facility in the 3 months before the admission of interest from the MedPAR files and by E&M codes 99304 to 99318 (nursing facility services) from Carrier files.[11] Comorbidities were identified using the claims from MedPAR, Carrier, and OutSAF files in the year prior to the admission of interest.[12] Total hospitalizations and outpatient visits in the prior year were identified from MedPAR files and Carrier files, respectively.
PCP Measures
We categorized PCPs by specialty (general practice, gamily practice, geriatric medicine, or internal medicine), years in practice, gender, US‐ versus foreign‐trained, metropolitan statistical area (MSA) of their practice location, and board certification status. The specialty was identified from Carrier files and the other information from AMA data. For each PCP, the total number of outpatient visits and total number of patients seen as outpatients in each year was calculated based on E&M codes (9920199205, 9921199215) from Carrier files. For each year, we computed the average outpatient age, gender, race, and outpatient comorbidity for each PCP's patient panel. We computed hospital volumes using the number of hospitalized patients associated with each PCP in the study cohort.
Study Outcome
To determine whether hospitalized patients received care from hospitalists during a given hospitalization, we identified all inpatient E&M bills from generalist physicians during the admission of interest by linking MedPAR and Carrier files. If more than 50% of the generalist inpatient E&M billings from generalist physicians were from 1 or more hospitalists, the patient was considered to have received care from hospitalists.
Statistical Analyses
Multilevel analyses were used to account for the clustering of patients within PCPs. All multilevel models were adjusted for patient characteristics including age, race/ethnicity, gender, Medicaid eligibility, emergency admission, weekend admission, DRG weight, DRG category, any nursing home stay in the prior 3 months, number of comorbidities, number of hospitalizations, and number of physician visits in the year prior to the admission of interest. To analyze trends in practice patterns, we first used multilevel models to calculate the proportions of inpatients cared for by hospitalists each year for each of the 1172 PCPs with at least 20 patients. Then we employed an SAS procedure (PROC TRAJ) developed by Jones et al. to classify these PCPs into groups based on their trajectories.[13] This group‐based trajectory modeling allowed us to identify relatively homogeneous clusters within a heterogeneous sample population.[14] We chose a model that classified the PCPs into 4 groups.[15] With 4 groups, the average of the posterior probabilities of group membership for the PCPs assigned to each group exceeded 0.93, indicating a low rate of misclassification among these 4 distinct groups. For the 1172 PCPs, we tested interactions between year of hospitalization and PCP characteristics while adjusting for patient characteristics in order to investigate whether or not the impacts of PCP characteristics on how likely their patients being cared for by hospitalists differed with time. All analyses were performed with SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC).
RESULTS
During the 2001 through 2009 study period, between 2252 and 2848 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in any single year. Among these, 1172 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in every year of the study period. These 1172 PCPs were associated with 608,686 hospitalizations over the 9 years.
Table 1 presents the characteristics of the PCPs who contributed to the cross‐sectional analyses in 2001 (N=2252) and 2009 (N=2387), as well as the 1172 PCPs for whom we had data for all 9 years for the longitudinal analyses. Most PCPs were male, trained in the United States, and were board certified. The average number of Medicare patients seen by these PCPs and number of outpatient Medicare visits went up about 7% between 2001 and 2009.
PCP Characteristics | Cross‐Sectional Analysis | Trajectory Analysis, 20012009 | |
---|---|---|---|
2001 | 2009 | ||
| |||
Overall, no. (%) | 2,252 (100%) | 2,387 (100%) | 1,172 (100%) |
Specialty, no. (%) | |||
General practice | 39 (1.7%) | 34 (1.4%) | 15 (1.3%) |
Family practice | 948 (42.1%) | 1,089 (45.6%) | 466 (39.8%) |
Internal medicine | 1,255 (55.7%) | 1,249 (52.3%) | 688 (58.7%) |
Geriatrics | 10 (0.4%) | 15 (0.6%) | 3 (0.3%) |
Gender, no. (%) | |||
Male | 1,990 (88.4%) | 2,015 (84.4%) | 1,072 (91.5%) |
Female | 262 (11.6%) | 372 (15.6%) | 100 (8.5%) |
Trained in the United States, no. (%) | |||
Yes | 1,669 (74.1%) | 1,738 (72.8%) | 844 (72.0%) |
No | 583 (25.9%) | 649 (27.2%) | 328 (28.0%) |
Metropolitan statistical area, no. (%) | |||
99,999 or less | 417 (17.5) | 237 (20.2) | |
100,000249,000 | 438 (18.3) | 234 (20.0) | |
250,000999,999 | 381 (16.0) | 216 (18.4) | |
1,000,000 or more | 1,151 (48.2) | 485 (41.4) | |
Board certification, no. (%) | |||
Yes | 1,657 (69.4%) | 800 (68.3%) | |
No | 730 (30.6%) | 372 (31.7%) | |
Years in practice, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 22.310.6 (15.028.0) | 21.28.9 (15.027.0) | |
Years in practice, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 25.010.2 (17.032.0) | 29.28.9 (23.035.0) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatient visits, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 1,624.8879.2 (1,057.51,970.0) | 1,883.39,48.5 (1,236.52,240.5) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatient visits, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 1,733.81,053.3 (1,080.02,048.0) | 2,020.51,200.9 (1,334.52,373.0) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatients, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 418.6186.9 (284.0522.0) | 473.4189.5 (338.0580.5) | |
Total no. of Medicare outpatients, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 448.7217.8 (300.0548.0) | 508.7238.2 (350.5615.0) | |
No. of hospitalized patients, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 46.025.0 (27.057.0) | 53.028.0 (32.066.0) | |
No. of hospitalized patients, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 44.024.0 (26.052.0) | 52.027.0 (33.065.0) | |
Average outpatient age, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 72.82.3 (71.574.2) | 72.82.1 (71.774.1) | |
Average outpatient age, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 72.12.8 (70.673.9) | 72.82.7 (71.474.5) | |
Average outpatient gender (% male), 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 38.17.0 (35.542.3) | 38.56.4 (36.242.3) | |
Average outpatient gender (% male), 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 40.27.6 (37.644.8) | 41.06.5 (38.644.8) | |
Average outpatient race (% white), 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 84.316.4 (79.295.5) | 85.414.3 (79.995.7) | |
Average outpatient race (% white), 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3) | 85.214.4 (79.895.2) | 86.312.9 (80.895.6) | |
Average outpatient comorbidity, 2001, meanSD (Q1Q3)a | 1.60.5 (1.21.8) | 1.60.4 (1.21.8) | |
Average outpatient comorbidity, 2009, meanSD (Q1Q3)a | 2.20.6 (1.82.5) | 2.20.6 (1.72.5) |
Figure 1 graphs the percentage of PCPs as a function of what percent of their hospitalized patients received care from hospitalists, and how that changed from 2001 to 2009. For 70.9% of PCPs, fewer than 5% of their hospitalized patients received hospitalist care in 2001. By 2009, the percent of PCPs in this category had decreased to 15.2%. In contrast, in 2001, more than half of the patients for 2.1% of PCPs received hospitalist care, and the percent of PCPs in this category increased to 26.3% by 2009.
The pattern in Figure 1 shows that PCPs' use of hospitalists changed continuously and gradually over time. However, this pattern describes the PCPs as a group. When examined at the individual PCP level, different patterns emerge. Figure 2, which presents selected individual PCP's use of hospitalists over time, shows several distinct subpatterns of PCP practice behaviors. First, there are PCPs whose use of hospitalists was high in 2001 and stayed high or increased over time (eg, PCP A). There also were PCPs whose use of hospitalists stayed low over the entire study period (eg, PCP B). Finally, there were PCPs whose use of hospitalists was low in 2001 but high in 2009 (eg, PCP C). For this last group, the pattern of change in hospitalist utilization over time was discontinuous; that is, most of the increase occurred over a 1‐ or 2‐year period, instead of increasing gradually over time.
Among the 1172 PCPs associated with 20 hospitalized beneficiaries each year in all 9 years of the study period, group‐based trajectory modeling classified their practice patterns into 4 distinct trajectories (Figure 3). Among PCPs in group 1, more than one‐third of their hospitalized patients were cared for by hospitalists in 2001, and this increased to 60% by 2009. PCPs in groups 2 and 3 rarely used hospitalist care in 2001 but increased their use over time. The increase started early in the period for PCPs in group 2 and later for those in group 3. PCPs in group 4 were associated with little hospitalist use throughout the study period.
We constructed a model to describe the odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists during the study period using patients associated with these 1172 PCPs. After adjusting for patient characteristics, the residual intraclass correlation coefficient for PCP level was 0.334, which indicates that 33.4% of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. When adjusting for both patient and PCP characteristics, the overall odds of a patient receiving hospitalist care increased by 30% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.29‐1.30) per year from 2001 through 2009.
There were also significant interactions between year of hospitalization and several PCP characteristics. These interactions are illustrated in Table 2, which stratifies each of those PCP characteristics by 3 time periods: 2001 to 2003, 2004 to 2006, and 2007 to 2009. In all time periods, patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was US trained (US vs international medical graduate: odds ratio [OR]: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.19‐1.69 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.23‐1.73 in 20072009), or specialized in family medicine (family medicine vs internal medicine: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.72 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.70 in 20072009). Over time, the relative odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists decreased if their PCP was female (female vs male: OR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.46‐2.50 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.15‐1.95 in 20072009) or practiced in an urban area (largest vs smallest MSA: OR: 3.34, 95% CI: 2.72‐4.09 in 20012003; OR: 2.22, 95% CI: 1.82‐2.71 in 20072009). Although the longest‐practicing PCPs were most likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s, this effect disappeared by 2007 to 2009 (most vs least years in practice: OR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.06‐1.72 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.73‐1.17 in 20072009).
PCP Characteristics | 20012003, OR (95% CI) | 20042006, OR (95% CI) | 20072009, OR (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|
| |||
Family practicea vs. internal medicineb | 1.46 (1.251.72) | 1.50 (1.281.76) | 1.46 (1.251.70) |
Female vs male | 1.91 (1.462.50) | 1.43 (1.091.86) | 1.50 (1.151.95) |
United States trained (yes vs no) | 1.42 (1.191.69) | 1.53 (1.281.81) | 1.46 (1.231.73) |
Metropolitan statistical area | |||
99,999 or less | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
100,000249,000 | 0.83 (0.651.05) | 1.00 (0.791.25) | 1.13 (0.901.41) |
250,000999,999 | 0.92 (0.721.17) | 1.03 (0.821.31) | 0.98 (0.771.23) |
1,000,000 or more | 3.34 (2.724.09) | 2.90 (2.373.54) | 2.22 (1.822.71) |
Years in practice, 2001 | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 0.89 (0.711.12) | 0.83 (0.671.04) | 0.92 (0.741.14) |
Q3 | 1.06 (0.841.34) | 0.99 (0.791.24) | 1.03 (0.821.29) |
Q4 | 1.25 (0.991.59) | 1.13 (0.891.42) | 1.15 (0.921.45) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.35 (1.061.72) | 1.05 (0.831.33) | 0.92 (0.731.17) |
Total no. of outpatient visitsc | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.21 (1.121.30) | 1.07 (1.001.14) | 1.13 (1.071.19) |
Q3 | 1.42 (1.301.54) | 1.18 (1.091.27) | 1.14 (1.071.22) |
Q4 | 1.34 (1.211.47) | 1.34 (1.231.46) | 1.25 (1.161.35) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.46 (1.301.63) | 1.33 (1.211.47) | 1.32 (1.201.44) |
No. of hospitalized patientsc | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.07 (1.001.15) | 0.91 (0.860.96) | 0.85 (0.810.89) |
Q3 | 1.00 (0.921.08) | 0.87 (0.820.93) | 0.74 (0.700.79) |
Q4 | 0.89 (0.810.97) | 0.76 (0.710.82) | 0.62 (0.580.67) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.05 (0.951.18) | 0.67 (0.610.73) | 0.55 (0.510.60) |
Average outpatient agec | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 0.94 (0.871.01) | 1.15 (1.081.23) | 1.18 (1.111.25) |
Q3 | 0.82 (0.760.90) | 1.05 (0.971.13) | 1.17 (1.091.25) |
Q4 | 0.71 (0.650.79) | 1.03 (0.951.12) | 1.10 (1.021.19) |
Q5 (highest) | 0.72 (0.640.81) | 1.12 (1.011.23) | 1.15 (1.051.26) |
Average outpatient gender (% male)c | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.10 (1.021.18) | 1.19 (1.101.27) | 1.27 (1.181.37) |
Q3 | 1.12 (1.031.22) | 1.27 (1.171.37) | 1.43 (1.321.54) |
Q4 | 1.36 (1.251.48) | 1.49 (1.371.61) | 1.52 (1.401.65) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.47 (1.341.61) | 1.84 (1.682.00) | 1.68 (1.541.83) |
Average outpatient race (% white)c | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.08 (0.981.20) | 1.01 (0.921.10) | 1.23 (1.131.34) |
Q3 | 1.27 (1.131.43) | 1.06 (0.951.18) | 1.21 (1.091.34) |
Q4 | 1.47 (1.291.67) | 0.97 (0.861.09) | 1.33 (1.181.48) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.39 (1.211.59) | 1.18 (1.041.34) | 1.25 (1.101.42) |
Average outpatient comorbidityc | |||
Q1 (lowest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Q2 | 1.26 (1.191.35) | 1.23 (1.161.31) | 1.22 (1.141.30) |
Q3 | 1.62 (1.491.75) | 1.61 (1.501.72) | 1.43 (1.341.54) |
Q4 | 1.96 (1.792.15) | 1.86 (1.722.02) | 1.59 (1.471.72) |
Q5 (highest) | 1.79 (1.592.01) | 2.20 (2.002.41) | 2.03 (1.852.22) |
In terms of PCP workload, patients of PCPs with high outpatient activity were more likely to receive hospitalists care throughout the study period, although the association had decreased by 2007 to 2009 (highest vs lowest outpatient volume: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.30‐1.63 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.20‐1.44 in 20072009). In contrast, PCPs with the lowest inpatient volumes became more likely to use hospitalists by the end of the study period (highest vs lowest inpatient volume: OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 0.95‐1.18 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.51‐0.60 in 20072009).
The characteristics of PCPs' practice panels also were associated with patients' likelihood of receiving care from hospitalists. PCPs whose practice panels consisted of patients who were predominantly male, white, or with more outpatient comorbidities were consistently more likely to use hospitalists throughout the study period. PCPs with older patient panels were less likely to use hospitalists in 2001 to 2003, but by 2007 to 2009, they were slightly more likely to do so (oldest vs youngest average outpatient panel age: OR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.64‐0.81 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.05‐1.26 in 20072009).
CONCLUSIONS
Prior studies of the hospitalist model have shown that the likelihood of a patient receiving inpatient care from hospitalists is associated with patient characteristics, hospital characteristics, geographic region, and type of admission.[1, 16, 17] We found that PCP characteristics also predict whether patients receive care from hospitalists and that their use of hospitalists developed dynamically between 2001 to 2009. Although many factors (such as whether patients were admitted to a hospital where their PCP had admitting privileges) can influence the decision to use hospitalists, we found that over one‐third of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. In showing that systemic differences exist among PCPs who use hospitalists and those who do not, our study suggests that future research on the hospitalist model should, if possible, adjust for PCP characteristics in addition to hospital and patient factors.
Although this study identifies the existence and magnitude of differences in whether or not PCPs use hospitalists, it cannot explain why the differences exist. We only can offer hypotheses. For example, our finding that PCPs with the most years of practice experience were more likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s but not in more recent years suggests that in hospital medicine's early years, long‐practicing generalist physicians were choosing between practicing traditionalist medicine and adopting the hospitalists model, but by 2009, experienced generalist physicians had already specialized to either inpatient or outpatient settings earlier in their careers. On the other hand, the decreasing odds of urban PCPs using hospitalists may reflect a relative growth in hospitalist use in less populated areas rather than a change in urban PCPs' practice patterns.
PCPs trained in family medicine have reported less inpatient training and less comfort with providing hospital care,[18, 19] thus it is unsurprising that family physicians were more likely to refer patients to hospitalists. Although a recent study reported that family physicians' inpatient volumes remained constant, whereas those of outpatient internists declined between 2003 and 2012, the analysis used University Health Consortium data and thus reflects practice patterns in academic medical centers.[20] Our data suggest that outside of academia, family physicians have embraced the hospitalists as clinical partners.
Meltzer and Chung had previously proposed an economic model to describe the growing use of hospitalists in the United States. They posited that decisions to adopt the hospitalist model are governed by trade‐offs between coordination costs (eg, time and effort spent coordinating multiple providers across different settings) and switching costs (eg, time spent traveling between the office and the hospital or the effort of adjusting to different work settings).[16] The authors hypothesized that empirical testing of this model would show PCPs are more likely to use hospitalists if they have less available professional time (ie, work fewer hours per week), are female (due to competing demands from domestic responsibilities), have relatively few hospitalized patients, or live in areas with high traffic congestion. Our findings provide empirical evidence to support their division‐of‐labor model in showing that patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was female, practiced in an urban location, had higher outpatient practice volumes, or had lower inpatient volumes.
At first glance, some of our findings appear to contradict our earlier study, which showed that younger, black, male patients are more likely to receive inpatient care from hospitalists.[1] However, that study included patients regardless of whether they had a PCP. This study shows that when patients have a PCP, their PCPs are more likely to refer them to hospitalists if they are older, white, male, and have more comorbid conditions. A potential explanation for this finding is that PCPs may preferentially use hospitalists when caring for older and sicker hospitalized patients. For example, commentators often cite hospitalists' constant availability in the hospital as a valuable resource when caring for acutely ill patients.[21, 22]
Another potential explanation is that despite their preferences, PCPs who care for younger, minority patients lack access to hospitalist services. One large study of Medicare beneficiaries reported that physicians who care for black patients are less well‐trained clinically and often lack access to important clinical resources such as diagnostic imaging and nonemergency hospital admissions.[23] Similarly, international medical graduates are more likely than their US‐trained counterparts to care for underserved patients and to practice in small, independent offices.[24, 25, 26] As hospitalist groups often rely on cross‐subsidization from sources within a large healthcare organization, independent PCPs may have less access to their services when compared with PCPs in managed care organizations or large integrated groups. Viewed in this context, our findings imply that although hospitalists often care for socioeconomically vulnerable patients (eg, younger, uninsured, black men) who lack access to primary care services,[1] they also appear to share care responsibilities for more complex hospitalized patients with PCPs in more affluent communities. Further research may determine if the availability of hospitalists influences racial disparities in hospital care.
Our study has limitations. It is an observational study and thus subject to bias and confounding. As our cohort was formed using fee‐for‐service Medicare data in a single, large state, it may not be generalizable to PCPs who practice in other states, who care for a younger population, or who do not accept Medicare. Our findings also may not reflect the practice patterns of physicians‐in‐training, PCP populations with high board‐certification rates, those employed in temporary positions, or those who interrupt their practices for personal reasons, as we restricted our study to established PCPs who had been in practice long and consistently enough to be associated with 20 hospitalized patients during every year of the study. For example, the lower proportion of female PCPs in our cohort (15.6% in our study in 2009 vs 27.5% reported in a nationally representative 2008 survey[27]) may be explained by our exclusion of women who take prolonged time off for childcare duties. We also did not establish whether patient outcomes or healthcare costs differ between PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model and traditionalists. Finally, we could not examine the effect of a number of PCP factors that could plausibly influence whether or not PCPs relinquish inpatient care to hospitalists, such as their comfort with providing inpatient care, having hospital admitting privileges, having office‐based access to hospitals' electronic medical records, or the distance between their office and the hospital. However, this study lays the groundwork for future studies to explore these factors.
In summary, this study is the first, to our knowledge, to characterize PCPs who relinquished inpatient responsibilities to hospitalists. Our findings suggest that some groups of PCPs are more likely to refer patient to hospitalists, that the relationship between hospitalists and PCPs has evolved over time, and that the hospitalist model still has ample room to grow.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Disclosures: This study was supported by grants from the National Institute on Aging (1RO1‐AG033134 and P30‐AG024832) and the National Cancer Institute (K05‐CA124923). The authors have no financial conflicts of interest to disclose. An oral abstract of this article was presented on May 18, 2013 at the Society of Hospital Medicine Annual Meeting in National Harbor, Maryland.
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- Comorbidity measures for use with administrative data. Med Care. 1998;36(1):8–27. , , , .
- A SAS procedure based on mixture models for estimating developmental trajectories. Sociol Methods Res. 2001;29(3):374–393. , , .
- Group‐Based Modeling of Development. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press; 2005. .
- Group‐based trajectory modeling in clinical research. Annu Rev Clin Psychol. 2010;6:109–138. , .
- , . Coordination, switching costs and the division of labor in general medicine: an economic explanation for the emergence of hospitalists in the United States. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series No. 16040. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research; 2010.
- Continuity of outpatient and inpatient care by primary care physicians for hospitalized older adults. JAMA. 2009;301(16):1671–1680. , , , , , .
- Hospitalists and family physicians: understanding opportunities and risks. J Fam Pract. 2004;53(6):473–481. .
- Preparedness of internal medicine and family practice residents for treating common conditions. JAMA. 2002;288(20):2609–2614. , , , , , .
- The status of adult inpatient care by family physicians at US academic medical centers and affiliated teaching hospitals 2003 to 2012: the impact of the hospitalist movement. Fam Med. 2014;46(2):94–99. , , , .
- Hospitalists and the hospital medicine system of care are good for patient care. Arch Intern Med. 2008;168(12):1254–1256; discussion 1259–1260. .
- Hospitalists in the United States—mission accomplished or work in progress? N Engl J Med. 2004;350(19):1935–1936. .
- Primary care physicians who treat blacks and whites. N Engl J Med. 2004;351(6):575–584. , , , , .
- International medical graduates and the primary care workforce for rural underserved areas. Health Aff (Millwood). 2003;22(2):255–262. , , , .
- Medical migration and the physician workforce. International medical graduates and American medicine. JAMA. 1995;273(19):1521–1527. , , .
- International medical graduates in family medicine in the United States of America: an exploration of professional characteristics and attitudes. Hum Resour Health. 2006;4:17. , , , , .
- A snapshot of U.S. physicians: key findings from the 2008 Health Tracking Physician Survey. Data Bull (Cent Stud Health Syst Change). 2009(35):1–11. , , .
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