Family and Community Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Missouri–Columbia (Dr. LeFevre); Cascades East Family Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Klamath Falls (Dr. Chase) nlefevre@health.missouri.edu
The authors reported no potential conflict of interest relevant to this article.
While declines in AAA and AAA-related death are largely attributed to lower smoking rates, other likely contributing factors include the implementation of screening programs, incidental detection during cross-sectional imaging, and improved surgical techniques and management of CV risk factors (eg, hypertension, hyperlipidemia).9,10
The benefits of screening older men
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have demonstrated the benefits of AAA screening programs. A meta-analysis of 4 populationbased RCTs of AAA screening in men ≥ 65 years demonstrated statistically significant reductions in AAA rupture (OR = 0.62; 95% CI, 0.55-0.70) and death from AAA (OR = 0.65; 95% CI, 0.57-0.74) over 12 to 15 years, with a number needed to screen (NNS) of 305 (95% CI, 248-411) to prevent 1 AAA-related death.18 The study also found screening decreases the rate of emergent surgeries for AAA (OR = 0.57; 95% CI, 0.48-0.68) while increasing the number of elective surgeries (OR = 1.44; 95% CI, 1.34-1.55) over 4 to 15 years.18
Only 1 study has demonstrated an improvement in all-cause mortality with screening programs, with a relatively small benefit (OR = 0.97; 95% CI, 0.94-0.99).19 Only 1 of the studies included women and, while underpowered, showed no difference in AAA-related death or rupture.20Guidelines and recommendations of various countries and professional societies focus screening on subgroups at highest risk for AAA.4,6-8,18
Screening recommendations from USPSTF and others
The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) currently recommends one-time ultrasound screening for AAA in men ages 65 to 75 years who have ever smoked (commonly defined as having smoked > 100 cigarettes) in their lifetime.6 This grade “B” recommendation, initially made in 2005 and reaffirmed in the 2014 and 2019 USPSTF updates, recommends screening the highest-risk segment of the population (ie, older male smokers).6
In men ages 65 to 75 years with no smoking history, rather than routine screening, the USPSTF recommends selectively offering screening based on the patient’s medical history, family history, risk factors, and personal values (with a “C” grade).6The USPSTF continues to recommend against screening for AAA in women with no smoking history and no family history of AAA.6 According to the USPSTF, the evidence is insufficient to recommend for or against screening women ages 65 to 75 years who have ever smoked or have a family history of AAA (“I” statement).6
Continue to: One critique of the USPSTF recommendations