Variables that increase the risk of overweight in childhood include formula feeding, high birth weight, high rate of weight gain in the first 4 months of life, low socioeconomic status, and maternal obesity (strength of recommendation [SOR]: A, systematic reviews and consistent cohort studies). No single risk factor predicts overweight, and not all infants with risk factors become overweight children.
Evidence summary
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention defines overweight in children as weight-for-length greater than the 95th percentile for sex in children younger than 24 months and body mass index (BMI) greater than the 95th percentile for age and sex in children >24 months.
Breastfeeding is protective
Breastfed infants are less likely to be over-weight later in life than infants fed formula. A meta-analysis of 9 studies found that 7 showed a significantly lower risk of overweight among children who were breastfed (odds ratio [OR]=0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.71-0.85).1
Four of the studies demonstrated that longer duration of breastfeeding offered greater protection than shorter duration. Two of the 4 studies defined longer duration as more than 6 months, 1 defined it as more than 3 months, and 1 examined breastfeeding for periods of less than 1 week, 1 week to 1 month, 2 to 3 months, 4 to 6 months, 7 to 9 months, and longer than 9 months, showing a duration-dependent decrease in risk. The other studies in the meta-analysis evaluated never-breastfed vs ever-breastfed infants.1
Higher birth weight increases risk
Several meta-analyses report that birth weight is an early risk factor for later overweight. One found a positive association between birth weight and over-weight in childhood in 9 of 11 studies.2 Another meta-analysis found a positive association in 25 of 28 studies that examined birth weight and BMI in childhood.3 These descriptive meta-analyses didn’t calculate pooled odds ratios (ORs) because of heterogeneity of the ages included and methods used to measure obesity.
A high rate of weight gain in infancy is also a risk factor for later overweight. One descriptive meta-analysis reported that 13 of 15 studies found a positive association between weight gain in the first year of life and overweight later in childhood, although overall OR and relative risk weren’t reported.4 A large cohort study found that each 100 g per month increase in weight gain above the mean (820 g per month) during the first 4 months of life increased the odds of overweight at 7 years of age by 38% (OR=1.38; 95% CI, 1.32-1.44).5