VIENNA – An algorithm, the Steatosis-Associated Fibrosis Estimator (SAFE), was developed to detect clinically significant fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). It is effective at detecting chronic liver disease from all causes with or without NAFLD in the general population, according the results of a U.S. population-based study. The algorithm was designed for use in primary care to help slow the steep rise in liver disease burden.
On the basis of the SAFE score, 61.3% of participants were at low risk for clinically significant fibrosis; 11.2% were at high risk; and 27.5% were at intermediate risk. Upon validation, very few of the low-risk participants had liver fibrosis, while nearly a third of those with a high-risk score had clinically significant fibrosis. In addition, a high percentage of the patients with high-risk SAFE scores had viral hepatitis and elevations in ferritin level.
“This is the first time that there has been a test that provides a score to detect low-risk liver disease in primary care,” said Ray Kim, MD, from Stanford (Calif.) University, senior investigator, who was speaking to this news organization at the annual International Liver Congress sponsored by the European Association for the Study of the Liver
“Primary care doctors currently detect liver disease through a serendipitous abnormal finding on ultrasound or blood tests that detect elevated transaminases, and then the patient is referred to a hepatologist, who figures out what is really going on,” said Dr. Kim.
“This approach is limited, so we need to get SAFE into primary care so these doctors can automatically calculate their scores, and if the patient is over 100 [high risk of chronic liver disease], then they need help [referral to a hepatologist].”
Liver deaths sharply rising
Public health data show that more people are dying of liver disease today than previously. Deaths in the United States have doubled over the past 20 years, said Dr. Kim. “If our mission is to help these patients and prevent death, [things are] moving in the wrong direction.”
He stressed that in order to change the direction, “primary care doctors need to engage with the issue and have appropriate tools to identify people with liver disease.”
Most often, the reason for this rise in deaths is that cases are being diagnosed at advanced stages of disease in which reversibility is limited, he added. “We want to move upstream where people might have early-stage disease and where we can intervene and make a difference.”
In an effort to help earlier detection of liver disease, the SAFE score was developed and validated by Dr. Kim and his colleagues to detect clinically significant (greater than stage 2) fibrosis in patients with NAFLD in primary care. The score is based upon age, body mass index, diabetes, platelet level, aspartate and alanine aminotransferase levels, and globulin level. A score of less than zero signifies that a patient is at low risk for liver fibrosis, while a score greater than 100 signifies a high risk of fibrosis. A score between 0 and 99 denotes intermediate risk of fibrosis.
“Unlike other noninvasive tests that detect advanced fibrosis, this one detects early-stage fibrosis. We’ve shown that the SAFE estimator is better than all other blood-based markers,” explained Dr. Kim.