, new research suggests.
Investigators found that primary care physicians (PCPs) in states with clinician reporting mandates had a 59% higher probability of underdiagnosing dementia compared with their counterparts in states that require patients to self-report or that have no reporting mandates.
“Our findings in this cross-sectional study raise concerns about potential adverse effects of mandatory clinician reporting for dementia diagnosis and underscore the need for careful consideration of the effect of such policies,” wrote the investigators, led by Soeren Mattke, MD, DSc, director of the USC Brain Health Observatory and research professor of economics at the University of Southern California, Los Angeles.
The study was published online in JAMA Network Open.
Lack of Guidance
As the US population ages, the number of older drivers is increasing, with 55.8 million drivers 65 years old or older. Approximately 7 million people in this age group have dementia — an estimate that is expected to increase to nearly 12 million by 2040.
The aging population raises a “critical policy question” about how to ensure road safety. Although the American Medical Association’s Code of Ethics outlines a physician’s obligation to identify drivers with medical impairments that impede safe driving, guidance restricting cognitively impaired drivers from driving is lacking.
In addition, evidence as to whether cognitive impairment indeed poses a threat to driving safety is mixed and has led to a lack of uniform policies with respect to reporting dementia.
Four states explicitly require clinicians to report dementia diagnoses to the DMV, which will then determine the patient’s fitness to drive, whereas 14 states require people with dementia to self-report. The remaining states have no explicit reporting requirements.
The issue of mandatory reporting is controversial, the researchers noted. On the one hand, physicians could protect patients and others by reporting potentially unsafe drivers.
On the other hand, evidence of an association with lower accident risks in patients with dementia is sparse and mandatory reporting may adversely affect physician-patient relationships. Empirical evidence for unintended consequences of reporting laws is lacking.
To examine the potential link between dementia underdiagnosis and mandatory reporting policies, the investigators analyzed the 100% data from the Medicare fee-for-service program and Medicare Advantage plans from 2017 to 2019, which included 223,036 PCPs with a panel of 25 or more Medicare patients.
The researchers examined dementia diagnosis rates in the patient panel of PCPs, rather than neurologists or gerontologists, regardless of who documented the diagnosis. Dr. Mattke said that it is possible that the diagnosis was established after referral to a specialist.
Each physician’s expected number of dementia cases was estimated using a predictive model based on patient characteristics. The researchers then compared the estimate with observed dementia diagnoses, thereby identifying clinicians who underdiagnosed dementia after sampling errors were accounted for.
‘Heavy-Handed Interference’
The researchers adjusted for several covariates potentially associated with a clinician’s probability of underdiagnosing dementia. These included sex, office location, practice specialty, racial/ethnic composition of the patient panel, and percentage of patients dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid. The table shows PCP characteristics.
Adjusted results showed that PCPs practicing in states with clinician reporting mandates had a 12.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 10.5%-14.2%) probability of underdiagnosing dementia versus 7.8% (95% CI, 6.9%-8.7%) in states with self-reporting and 7.7% (95% CI, 6.9%-8.4%) in states with no mandates, translating into a 4–percentage point difference (P < .001).