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Later follow-up colonoscopy equals higher colorectal cancer risk

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No rush, but sooner is better

The study by Corley et al. provides important reassurance for patients and physicians. The findings indicate that there is no immediate need to rush to have a colonoscopy after a positive FIT result, reflecting the clinical understanding that colorectal cancer is a disease that generally develops slowly. Longer time to follow-up will reduce the benefit of FIT, with detection of more cancers and more late-stage disease.

The study had one important limitation: The authors were unable to adjust for an important confounder – the indication for colonoscopy. The problem with not being able to account for indication is that patients who wish to avoid colonoscopy may delay the procedure until the onset of symptoms. Patients who return later could disproportionately represent symptomatic patients if colonoscopy-avoidant patients without symptoms are less likely to return for follow-up colonoscopy as they get further from the time of their positive FIT result.

Carolyn M. Rutter, PhD, is at the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. John M. Inadomi, MD, is at the University of Washington, Seattle. Dr. Inadomi reported receiving grants from NinePoint Medical. Dr. Rutter reported having no disclosures. These comments are adapted from an accompanying editorial (JAMA 2107;317[16]:1627-8).


 

Patients who undergo follow-up colonoscopy 10 months or more after a positive fecal immunochemical test are at higher risk for colorectal cancer, and for having more advanced disease at diagnosis, than are those who undergo immediate (within 30 days) follow-up colonoscopy, according to a new report.

Clinical practice guidelines recommend follow-up colonoscopy after a positive fecal immunochemical test (FIT) result but differ about how quickly the procedure should be done, chiefly because there is little evidence on which to base any recommendation regarding timing, reported Douglas A. Corley, MD, PhD, of Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, and his associates. The study results were published in JAMA.

Dr. Douglas A. Corley

Dr. Douglas A. Corley

To examine whether the length of the interval between FIT testing and colonoscopy affected diagnosis, they analyzed clinical data for 70,124 adults aged 50-75 years who were members of two large health organizations and who completed FIT testing during a 3-year period. The investigators compared outcomes among the 27,176 patients who had follow-up colonoscopy within 30 days (the reference group) against those of patients who had follow-up colonoscopy after 2 months (24,644 patients), 3 months (8,666 patients), 4-6 months (5,251 patients), 7-9 months (1,335 patients), 10-12 months (748 patients), or more than 12 months (2,304 patients).

A total of 2,191 colorectal cancers were diagnosed at follow-up colonoscopy, including 601 cases of advanced disease, the investigators reported (JAMA. 2017;317[16]:1631-41).

There was no significant increase in risk for any colorectal cancer or for advanced colorectal cancer among patients who had follow-up colonoscopy within 9 months, compared with the reference group. However, the risks of any colorectal cancer and of advanced colorectal cancer increased significantly at 10 months, with odds ratios of 1.48 and 1.97, respectively.

These risks continued to rise as the interval between testing and colonoscopy lengthened, so that after 1 year, the odds ratios were 2.25 for any colorectal cancer and 3.22 for advanced-stage disease. After 1 year, the odds ratios were 1.32 for advanced adenomas, 2.94 for stage II, 3.07 for stage III, and 3.86 for stage IV colorectal cancer.

The National Cancer Institute supported the study. Dr. Corley reported receiving grant support from Wyeth/Pfizer.

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