Routine use of the Oncotype DX recurrence score to personalize treatment of early breast cancer could reduce the first-year costs of care, according to results of a population-based cohort study.
“Practice changes based on evidence from the TAILORx trial on using tumor genomic profiles to personalize care could result in small decreases in U.S. national cancer care costs in the initial 12 months post breast cancer diagnosis,” Angela Mariotto, PhD, and colleagues concluded in a study published in JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute. “Longer-term studies will be needed to evaluate the true long-term economic impact and nonmonetary benefits of personalized breast cancer care.”
Findings of the landmark TAILORx trial showed that, with use of the 21-gene score, the majority of women who have node-negative, hormone receptor–positive, HER2-negative breast cancers could safely skip adjuvant chemotherapy (N Engl J Med. 2018;379:111-21). But cost impact of its uptake into routine practice is unclear.
Dr. Mariotto, of the National Cancer Institute and her colleagues used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER), SEER-Medicare, and SEER–Genomic Health datasets to assess how expected changes in practice after the trial might affect costs. They estimated Oncotype DX testing and chemotherapy rates and mean initial costs in 2018 dollars in the pre-TAILORx period (2010-2015) and post-TAILORx period (2018), assuming all women in the latter period received the test and score-suggested therapy.
Going from the pretrial period to the posttrial period, Oncotype DX testing costs were projected to increase from $115 million to $231 million, but chemotherapy use was projected to decrease from 25% to 17%. Mean total initial costs of care fell from $2.816 billion in the pretrial period to $2.766 billion in the posttrial period, for a net savings of $49 million (a 1.8% decrease).
Findings were similar in a variety of sensitivity scenarios entailing alternative compliance with testing, score-suggested treatment, and estimation methods. The only exception was the scenario in which all women aged 50 years or younger having a recurrence score of 16-25 opted to receive chemotherapy, wherein initial care costs could increase by $105 million (a 4% increase).
The investigators reported that they had no relevant conflicts of interest. The study was supported by the National Cancer Institute and its Coordinating Center For Clinical Trials; a Lombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center American Cancer Society Young Investigator Award; and the Cancer Prevention Research Fellowship, sponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology and Breast Cancer Research Foundation.
SOURCE: Mariotto A et al. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2019 Apr 24. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djz068.