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Study IDs predictors of unplanned hospital readmission after CEA


 

AT THE SVS ANNUAL MEETING

SAN FRANCISCO – The 30-day unplanned readmission rate following carotid endarterectomy was 6.5% in a single-center study.

In addition, four variables were significantly associated with unplanned readmission: in-hospital postoperative congestive heart failure (CHF) exacerbation; in-hospital postoperative stroke; in-hospital postoperative hematoma; and prior coronary artery bypass graft (CABG).

"Whether these complications are completely avoidable is unknown, but we do identify a group of patients who would probably benefit from more comprehensive discharge planning and careful postdischarge care," Dr. Karen J. Ho said at the Society for Vascular Surgery annual meeting.

According to a study of Medicare claims data from 2003 to 2004, 20% of Medicare beneficiaries discharged from a hospital were rehospitalized within 30 days (N. Eng. J. Med. 2009;360:1418-28). The 30-day rehospitalization rate after vascular surgery was 24%, "the highest of all surgical specialties examined in the study," said Dr. Ho of the surgery department at Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, who was not involved with the published study. "Medicare has started to decrease reimbursements for hospitals with excess readmissions after acute MI, heart failure, and pneumonia. Hip and knee replacements and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease will be added in 2014, and we anticipate that additional surgical procedures will be added thereafter," she said.

In an effort to determine the rate of 30-day unplanned readmission after carotid endarterectomy (CEA), Dr. Ho and her associates conducted a retrospective study of a prospectively collected vascular surgery database at Brigham and Women’s Hospital. The cohort included 896 consecutive CEAs performed between 2002 and 2011. Combined CABG/CEA procedures were excluded.

The primary endpoint was unplanned readmission within 30 days, defined as "any unanticipated, nonelective hospital readmission," she said. The secondary endpoint was 1-year survival.

The mean age of the patients was 70 years, 60% were male, and 95% were white. More than half (65%) had asymptomatic evidence of carotid artery disease.

Dr. Ho reported that the median postoperative length of stay was 1 day and that 9.9% of patients had at least one in-hospital complication. The most frequent in-hospital complication was bleeding/hematoma (4.1%), followed by arrhythmia (2.1%), dysphagia (1.7%), stroke (1.3%), and myocardial infarction (1.2%). Only 3% of patients required a reoperation, while most (94%) were discharged to home. The 30-day stroke rate was 1.7%, while the 30-day death rate was 0.6%.

The overall 30-day readmission rate was 8.6%, while the unplanned 30-day readmission rate was 6.5%. "Most of the overall readmissions (80%) occurred in the first 10 days, and the median time to unplanned readmission was 4 days," Dr. Ho said.

The most common reason for an unplanned readmission was a cardiac complication, followed by headache, bleeding/hematoma, stroke/transient ischemic attack/intracerebral hemorrhage, or other medical emergency. More than one-quarter of patients (27.5%) had more than one reason for an unplanned readmission, while 87.9% of patients had a CEA-related unplanned readmission.

When the researchers performed a univariate analysis followed by analysis with a multivariable Cox model for unplanned readmission, four variables were independently associated with unplanned readmission: in-hospital postoperative CHF exacerbation (hazard ratio, 15.1), in-hospital postoperative stroke (HR, 5.0), in-hospital postoperative hematoma (HR, 3.1), and prior CABG (HR, 2.0).

They also observed a significant difference in survival at 1 year between patients who had an unplanned readmission and those who did not (91% vs. 96%, respectively; P less than .01.) "It’s unclear whether these deaths in the unplanned readmission group were preventable or if they were related to carotid disease or to a procedure-related complication," Dr. Ho said. "Our guess is that the increased overall burden of comorbid disease in these patients, rather than the readmission itself, predicted decreased survival."

Limitations of the study included its retrospective design and the fact that it was conducted at a single center, she said, "but we do know that our unplanned readmission rate is comparable to estimates from recent Medicare data."

Dr. Ho said she had no relevant financial disclosures.

dbrunk@frontlinemedcom.com

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