BRUSSELS – The ballooning list of genetic markers linked with various cancers is spawning a radical shift in the design of oncology treatment trials.
These days, the trend is to incorporate detailed genetic analysis into the trials, so that once the results are in, researchers can try to correlate treatment responses or failures with variations in each tumor’s genetic profile.
Leaders in the field say that, ideally, the tumor of every single patient now entering a cancer treatment trial should undergo a baseline genetic analysis, either using a large panel of targeted genetic markers or full-genome sequencing – although they acknowledge that, for the time being, complete sequencing provides much more information than can be used practically.
This changing paradigm of cancer treatment trial design comes with a major, built-in limitation that seems solvable only by dramatically increasing the scope of patients enrolled in trials: Each mutational cancer "driver" seems specific for just a few percent of patients. That means making statistically meaningful correlations among the responses of patients to various drugs and their tumors’ genetic profiles requires sifting through thousands of patients, far more than usually enroll in treatment trials today.
"The big challenge is to identify the mutations or genetic alterations that help inform the results of clinical trials. There are a lot of potential genetic markers, but very few have been validated. Tumors are being sequenced, and we find lots of mutations; but we don’t yet know what to do with most of this information," said Dr. Francisco J. Esteva, professor of medicine and director of the breast medical oncology program at New York University in an interview during a meeting on markers in cancer.
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"Finding ‘actionable’ mutations is very complicated because of next-generation sequencing," Dr. Esteva added. "We have some very good inhibitor drugs" aimed at certain mutations that can be highly effective in selected patients, "but when we give these drugs to larger populations of patients, the drugs may not work."
Even though a tumor may carry a genetic mutation identified as a cancer driver and thus an effective target for drug treatment in some patients, the mutation may not be the most important driver in other patients.
"Trying to find the mutations or other genetic changes that can be effective targets for treatment sounds simple, but it’s really not so simple," noted Dr. Esteva, an organizer of the meeting, sponsored by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer, and the National Cancer Institute.
"We’ve been in an era where we looked at one genetic marker at a time. Now it’s pretty clear that this approach will not move us forward fast enough," said Dr. Lisa A. Carey, professor and medical director of the breast center at the University of North Carolina in Chapel Hill, and another organizer of the meeting.
"Looking at a full genetic profile of the tumor has great appeal but is also more complicated," Dr. Carey explained. "Today, we have a limited portfolio of genetic markers with known clinical significance and a limited portfolio of drugs. We’ve had some huge success stories [with targeted therapy], but it’s not simple, and it is far from solved."
"Finding a target in a patient’s tumor and having an agent that inhibits the target does not imply clinical benefit," said Dr. Shivaani Kummar, head of early clinical trials development in the division of cancer treatment and diagnosis of the National Cancer Institute.
The enormous volume of genetic information now available from next-generation sequencing, which can supply data on hundreds or even potentially thousands of individual genes for a relatively affordable price, "is affecting trial design, leading to ‘umbrella’ designs that use a variety of genetic markers and panels of several drugs," said Dr. Robert L. Becker Jr., a chief medical officer at the Center for Devices and Radiological Health of the Food and Drug Administration.
"Is the current model for development of diagnostic markers and drugs sustainable?’" Dr. Becker asked. "Next-generation sequencing is different, because it can query an almost unlimited number of analytes in a single assay."
At the meeting, a series of researchers from the United States and Europe described and discussed several recently designed drug treatment trials prospectively structured to collect wide-ranging genetic data from the tumors of enrolled patients.
One example is the MATCH (Molecular Analysis for Therapy Choice) trial, expected to start in 2014 with a goal of enrolling about 1,000 patients with solid tumors that have progressed following initial treatment with at least one drug. The investigators will use targeted mutations or amplifications as well as whole exome sequencing to try to better assign patients to their next regimen, said Dr. Kummar.