Article

Analysis of Incidence and Outcome Predictors for Patients Admitted to US Hospitals with Acetabular Fractures from 1990 to 2010

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DISCUSSION

This study evaluates the incidence of acetabular fractures in the US between 1990 and 2010, and identifies prognostic factors associated with complications and death. The study demonstrates an increase in the population-adjusted incidence of acetabular fractures between 1990 and 2010 (7.84 cases per 100,000 capita to 9.5 cases per 100,000 capita), in contrast to the decreasing trend reported by Mauffrey and colleagues.11 Some studies suggest that up to 80% of acetabular fractures are associated with motor vehicle collisions and motorcycle accidents.9,27 While the rate of motor vehicle accidents has remained stable over the study period, motorcycle ownership and deaths more than doubled between 2001 and 2008,28 primarily among individuals over 40 years of age. In this study, the mean age of patients with acetabular fractures ranged from 48 to 57 years. The dramatic increase in motorcycle ownership and deaths in these age groups may partially explain the rising incidence of acetabular fractures. The other possibility is that changes in automobile design and safety equipment may have altered the injury patterns observed in patients surviving motor vehicle crashes. Compared to the United Kingdom, in which studies report a fixed incidence of 3 per 100,000 capita1 between 1988 and 2003, the incidence of acetabular fractures in the US is greater. In contrast, the incidence of acetabular fractures reported in this study is less than the 20 per 100,000 reported in Sweden between 1976 and 1985,29 or the 37 per 100,000 reported in Rochester, Minnesota between 1968 and 1977,30 which may be due to increased seatbelt usage.31

In addition to the national incidence, this study demonstrated that the proportion of patients with acetabular fractures treated with ORIF increased from 12.6% to 20.4% between 1990 and 2010. This is substantially lower than the 77% reported by Ochs and colleagues32 in a German population. Concurrent with the increase in ORIF, there was a decrease in in-hospital mortality from 5.9% in 1990 to 0.4% in 2010. The initial mortality rates in this study are comparable to much earlier reports and some small studies,9,32-37 but the rates reported in the later years of this study show a substantial decrease that is likely a more accurate estimation of the current incidence. The improved survival rates may be due to advances in the operative treatment of acetabular fractures, in which mechanical stabilization allows for early patient mobilization and facilitation of optimal nursing care.38 With ORIF becoming the standard of care for displaced acetabular fractures,9 numerous reports have demonstrated an association between early definitive fixation and improved survival.17,39,40 This is similar to our study, which found ORIF to be associated with the lowest odds of mortality in multivariate logistic regression analysis. It is possible that advances in patient care by intensivists over this period have also contributed to the decrease in mortality, but the correlation with operative treatment in this study is very strong and agrees well with prior studies.16 Moreover, multiple studies have demonstrated decreased in-hospital mortality among patients undergoing various orthopedic surgical procedures during this period.41-43 The correlation with operative treatment in this study agrees well with prior studies.16

In contrast, higher odds of mortality were seen in patients over the age of 85 years with pulmonary insufficiency, congestive heart failure, pneumonia, or an associated femur or pelvic fracture. This is similar to prior reports in which patients with combined acetabulum and pelvic ring injuries fared worse than those with isolated injures,44,45 as did patients with associated non-musculoskeletal injuries.46 The finding that age over 85 years was associated with higher odds of mortality likely reflects the increased number of comorbidities and decreased physiologic reserve seen in this patient population. Finally, male gender was associated with higher odds of in-hospital mortality. There are 2 possible explanations for this: Either there is gender dimorphism in sex hormones and cytokine activity in response to hemorrhage and sepsis,38,47 or there is a greater tendency for males to be involved in higher energy accidents with more severe concomitant injuries.

The results of multivariable regression analysis demonstrated that patients were more likely to require blood transfusion if they were managed surgically or had atrial fibrillation, congestive heart failure, or associated femur fracture. Not surprisingly, concurrent pelvic fracture was also associated with higher odds of blood transfusion, as pelvic hemorrhage is reported to be the cause of death in up to half of patients who die following a pelvic fracture.46

Between 1990 and 2010, in-hospital days of care decreased from 17.0 days to 10.3 days. While a decreased length of stay has been demonstrated in other orthopedic conditions over the study period,41 it is possible the decrease in length of stay demonstrated in this study is due to improved surgical technique and the implementation of early surgical intervention.39,48-50 Plaisier and colleagues17 demonstrated superior functional outcomes, quicker return to baseline function, and decreased length of stay in patients treated with early ORIF of their acetabular fractures. Other studies have shown that the benefits of early surgery include improved reduction quality and ease of reduction,51 as well as control of bleeding, pain relief, and mobilization of the patient.39 Another possible explanation for the decreased length of stay is the increased rate of discharge to other inpatient facilities, such as rehabilitation facilities, which was demonstrated in this study.

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